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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 7, 2010·Wachovia Center, Philadelphia

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Philadelphia Flyers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 73% of the time.

PHI winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Richards, saved by Giguere
  3. P1 2:28Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Leighton
  4. P1 4:04Shot by Bozak, saved by Leighton
  5. P1 4:07Shot by Stalberg, saved by Leighton
  6. P1 5:49Shot by Betts, saved by Giguere
  7. P1 7:52Orr: Roughing (2 min)
  8. P1 7:52Orr: Cross checking (2 min)5v4
  9. P1 11:23Phaneuf: High sticking (2 min)6v4
  10. P1 12:07Shot by Carter, saved by Giguere5v4
  11. P1 12:26Orr: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v4
  12. P1 13:22Goal by Carter (Pronger, Richards)5v3+16 pts WP
  13. P1 13:54Shot by Hartnell, saved by Giguere5v4
  14. P1 14:01Shot by Timonen, saved by Giguere5v4
  15. P1 14:25Shot by Gagne, saved by Giguere5v4
  16. P1 14:55Shot by Betts, saved by Giguere
  17. P1 17:30Shot by Caputi, saved by Leighton
  18. P1 17:49Powe: Tripping (2 min)
  19. P1 18:31Shot by Kulemin, saved by Leighton4v5
  20. P1 18:42Shot by Kaberle, saved by Leighton4v5
  21. P1 19:46Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Leighton4v5
  22. P1 19:49Stalberg: High sticking (2 min)
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:55Shot by Wallin, saved by Leighton5v4
  26. P2 2:42Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Giguere
  27. P2 3:55Goal by Kulemin (Gunnarsson, Finger)+19 pts WP
  28. P2 5:24Shot by Carcillo, saved by Giguere
  29. P2 5:26Giroux: High sticking (2 min)
  30. P2 5:41Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Leighton4v5
  31. P2 6:12Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Leighton4v5
  32. P2 6:58Shot by Mitchell, saved by Leighton4v5
  33. P2 7:46Shot by Wallin, saved by Leighton
  34. P2 8:52Shot by Caputi, saved by Leighton
  35. P2 10:44Shot by Kessel, saved by Leighton
  36. P2 12:18Shot by Carter, saved by Giguere
  37. P2 13:53Lundmark: Hooking (2 min)
  38. P2 13:53Asham: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4
  39. P2 14:12Shot by Kessel, saved by Leighton4v4
  40. P2 14:53Shot by Richards, saved by Giguere4v4
  41. P2 15:25Shot by Schenn, saved by Leighton4v4
  42. P2 17:02Shot by Betts, saved by Giguere
  43. P2 17:09Goal by Gagne (Carcillo, Pronger)+23 pts WP
  44. P2 17:24Carcillo: Roughing (2 min)
  45. P2 17:24Phaneuf: Slashing (2 min)
  46. P2 18:25Goal by Brière (Coburn, Carle)4v4+14 pts WP
  47. P2 19:07Shot by Mitchell, saved by Leighton4v4
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:09Shot by Gagne, saved by Giguere
  51. P3 0:28Pronger: Slashing (2 min)
  52. P3 0:28Kessel: Slashing (2 min)4v5
  53. P3 0:47Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Leighton4v4
  54. P3 1:30Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Leighton4v4
  55. P3 2:21Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Leighton4v4
  56. P3 2:52Shot by Schenn, saved by Leighton
  57. P3 4:06Shot by Brière, saved by Giguere
  58. P3 4:15Carter: Holding (2 min)
  59. P3 6:45Shot by Lundmark, saved by Leighton
  60. P3 8:02Shot by Asham, saved by Giguere
  61. P3 8:07Rosehill: Misconduct (10 min)
  62. P3 8:06Shot by Coburn, saved by Giguere
  63. P3 8:41Shot by Stalberg, saved by Leighton
  64. P3 8:49Shot by Kulemin, saved by Leighton
  65. P3 8:50Phaneuf: Fighting (5 min)
  66. P3 8:50Hartnell: Fighting (5 min)5v4
  67. P3 10:47Shot by Giroux, saved by Giguere
  68. P3 10:48Stalberg: Hooking (2 min)
  69. P3 12:46Shot by Carle, saved by Giguere5v4
  70. P3 12:53Shot by Gagne, saved by Giguere
  71. P3 12:56Shot by Giroux, saved by Giguere
  72. P3 13:28Shot by Schenn, saved by Leighton
  73. P3 14:00Carter: Slashing (2 min)
  74. P3 15:42Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Leighton4v5
  75. P3 16:42Shot by Hartnell, saved by Giguere
  76. P3 17:33Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Leighton
  77. P3 18:16Shot by Brière, saved by Giguere
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final