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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 12, 2010·Verizon Center, Washington

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Washington Capitals 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 72% of the time.

WSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by St. Louis, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 5:17Shot by Backstrom, saved by Niittymaki
  4. P1 6:15Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Niittymaki
  5. P1 8:35Shot by Veilleux, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 8:38Bradley: Slashing (2 min)5v6
  7. P1 10:02Shot by Erskine, saved by Niittymaki4v5
  8. P1 10:46Shot by Parrish, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 12:19Shot by Fehr, saved by Niittymaki
  10. P1 12:45Shot by Fehr, saved by Niittymaki
  11. P1 12:54Shot by Green, saved by Niittymaki
  12. P1 15:12Shot by Laich, saved by Niittymaki
  13. P1 16:05Szczechura: Holding (2 min)
  14. P1 16:54Goal by Fleischmann (Ovechkin, Knuble)5v4+16 pts WP
  15. P1 17:47Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 19:11Goal by Bochenski (Fedoruk, Lundin)+18 pts WP
  17. P1 19:44Shot by Meszaros, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 19:49Shot by Meszaros, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:52Shot by Fehr, saved by Niittymaki
  22. P2 0:55Shot by Chimera, saved by Niittymaki
  23. P2 0:54Shot by Morrison, saved by Niittymaki
  24. P2 2:09Purcell: Hooking (2 min)
  25. P2 2:53Shot by Laich, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  26. P2 3:01Shot by Green, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  27. P2 3:31Shot by Laich, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  28. P2 3:59Shot by Fehr, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  29. P2 4:35Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Niittymaki
  30. P2 5:35Shot by Sloan, saved by Niittymaki
  31. P2 6:09Shot by Morrison, saved by Niittymaki
  32. P2 6:16Foster: Tripping (2 min)
  33. P2 7:07Shot by Backstrom, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  34. P2 8:03Shot by Backstrom, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  35. P2 9:17Shot by Fehr, saved by Niittymaki
  36. P2 9:29Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 11:08Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 11:30Goal by Walker (Veilleux, Thompson)+22 pts WP
  39. P2 12:48Shot by Szczechura, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 13:46Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 13:54Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 14:54Shot by Smaby, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 15:12Goal by Lecavalier (Walker, Purcell)+16 pts WP
  44. P2 17:06Shot by Knuble, saved by Niittymaki
  45. P2 17:33Shot by Purcell, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 17:38Shot by Walker, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 2:45Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Niittymaki
  50. P3 3:57Shot by St. Louis, saved by Varlamov
  51. P3 6:11Shot by Walker, saved by Niittymaki
  52. P3 6:45Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 7:35Shot by Szczechura, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 10:40Walker: Slashing (2 min)
  55. P3 11:08Shot by Laich, saved by Niittymaki5v4
  56. P3 11:09Goal by Laich (Green, Ovechkin)5v4+13 pts WP
  57. P3 11:47Shot by Chimera, saved by Niittymaki
  58. P3 12:10Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 12:54Shot by Meszaros, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 13:22Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 13:25Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 14:35Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 14:40Shot by Downie, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 15:09Shot by Knuble, saved by Niittymaki
  65. P3 16:31Shot by Corvo, saved by Niittymaki
  66. P3 18:18Shot by Semin, saved by Niittymaki
  67. P3 18:50Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final