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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 17, 2010·Pepsi Center, Denver

Calgary Flames 3, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

Calgary Flames

3

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 59% of the time.

COL winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:25Kotalik: Boarding (2 min)
  3. P1 3:12Goal by Bourque (Stajan)5v4+15 pts WP
  4. P1 3:45Shot by Duchene, saved by Toskala
  5. P1 3:54Shot by Mueller, saved by Toskala
  6. P1 4:09Shot by Duchene, saved by Toskala
  7. P1 6:32Shot by Mueller, saved by Toskala
  8. P1 7:33Goal by Nystrom (Mayers, Glencross)+14 pts WP
  9. P1 9:01Shot by Sarich, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 9:50Shot by Kotalik, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 9:52Shot by Langkow, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 12:49Shot by Hejduk, saved by Toskala
  13. P1 13:28Shot by Langkow, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 13:47Shot by Wilson, saved by Toskala
  15. P1 13:48Durno: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)
  16. P1 13:48Durno: Roughing (2 min)3v5
  17. P1 13:48Staios: Roughing (2 min)3v5
  18. P1 14:14Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Toskala4v5
  19. P1 14:31Shot by Bourque, saved by Anderson4v5
  20. P1 14:53Shot by Sarich, saved by Anderson4v5
  21. P1 14:58Shot by Stajan, saved by Anderson4v5
  22. P1 16:37Wilson: Fighting (5 min)
  23. P1 16:37Mayers: Fighting (5 min)4v5
  24. P1 18:00Shot by Langkow, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 18:41Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Toskala
  26. P1 19:41Shot by Stastny, saved by Toskala
  27. P1 19:55Shot by Stajan, saved by Anderson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:11Shot by Moss, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 1:28Shot by White, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 2:22Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Toskala
  33. P2 2:47Shot by Bourque, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 3:51Shot by Nystrom, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 4:32Shot by Svatos, saved by Toskala
  36. P2 5:05Shot by Dawes, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 5:37Shot by Kotalik, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 6:33Stastny: Hooking (2 min)
  39. P2 6:42Shot by Galiardi, saved by Toskala4v5
  40. P2 6:55Goal by Bourque (Giordano, White)4v5+10 pts WP
  41. P2 6:53Shot by Giordano, saved by Anderson4v5
  42. P2 8:42Shot by Porter, saved by Toskala
  43. P2 9:00Shot by Porter, saved by Toskala
  44. P2 9:56Shot by Iginla, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 11:47Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Toskala
  46. P2 12:02Shot by Quincey, saved by Toskala
  47. P2 12:26Shot by Durno, saved by Toskala
  48. P2 12:59Shot by Stastny, saved by Toskala
  49. P2 13:34Shot by Sarich, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 13:43Shot by Hendricks, saved by Toskala
  51. P2 13:44Goal by Durno (Hendricks, Tucker)+8 pts WP
  52. P2 14:37Shot by Galiardi, saved by Toskala
  53. P2 15:24Galiardi: Boarding (2 min)
  54. P2 17:38Shot by Dawes, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 17:52Shot by Mueller, saved by Toskala
  56. P2 17:54Shot by Mueller, saved by Toskala
  57. P2 18:25Shot by Stewart, saved by Toskala
  58. P2 19:22Shot by Svatos, saved by Toskala
  59. P2 19:30Shot by Glencross, saved by Anderson
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:50Shot by Kotalik, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 1:09Shot by White, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 1:39Shot by Giordano, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 5:14Shot by Stastny, saved by Toskala
  66. P3 5:17Shot by Stastny, saved by Toskala
  67. P3 5:33Shot by Galiardi, saved by Toskala
  68. P3 6:30Shot by Liles, saved by Toskala
  69. P3 6:40Shot by Dawes, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 7:34Shot by Kotalik, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 7:39Shot by Kotalik, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 8:11White: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
  73. P3 8:42Shot by Duchene, saved by Toskala5v4
  74. P3 8:52Shot by Hejduk, saved by Toskala5v4
  75. P3 9:06Shot by Nystrom, saved by Anderson5v4
  76. P3 11:26Shot by Hagman, saved by Anderson
  77. P3 11:27Stastny: Slashing (2 min)
  78. P3 11:51Shot by Iginla, saved by Anderson4v5
  79. P3 12:22Shot by Giordano, saved by Anderson4v5
  80. P3 13:54Shot by Mueller, saved by Toskala
  81. P3 14:47Stajan: Tripping (2 min)
  82. P3 15:14Shot by Nystrom, saved by Anderson5v4
  83. P3 17:15Shot by Hannan, saved by Toskala
  84. P3 19:27Goal by Hejduk (Stastny, Stewart)6v5+3 pts WP
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final