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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 25, 2010·Philips Arena, Atlanta

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Atlanta Thrashers 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.

ATL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:56Shot by Boulton, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 3:03Shot by Chelios, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 3:50Armstrong: Interference (2 min)
  5. P1 5:06Shot by Caputi, saved by Pavelec4v5
  6. P1 5:18Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec4v5
  7. P1 6:49Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Pavelec
  8. P1 7:44Shot by Schenn, saved by Pavelec
  9. P1 7:45Exelby: Cross checking (2 min)
  10. P1 7:45Artyukhin: Roughing (2 min)
  11. P1 8:25Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec4v4
  12. P1 9:26Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Pavelec4v4
  13. P1 9:46Primeau: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
  14. P1 10:40Goal by Bogosian (Peverley, Hainsey)5v4+15 pts WP
  15. P1 11:12Shot by Slater, saved by Gustavsson
  16. P1 11:45Goal by Kessel (Kulemin, Bozak)+16 pts WP
  17. P1 12:24Artyukhin: Hooking (2 min)
  18. P1 12:43Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec4v5
  19. P1 15:42Shot by Hanson, saved by Pavelec
  20. P1 16:37Shot by MacArthur, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P1 18:00Shot by Slater, saved by Gustavsson
  22. P1 19:38Shot by Primeau, saved by Pavelec
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:25Shot by Slater, saved by Gustavsson
  26. P2 1:23Shot by Caputi, saved by Pavelec
  27. P2 1:30Exelby: Boarding (2 min)
  28. P2 4:27Shot by Reasoner, saved by Gustavsson
  29. P2 5:05Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Pavelec
  30. P2 6:50Shot by Stalberg, saved by Pavelec
  31. P2 7:43Bogosian: Roughing (2 min)
  32. P2 7:43Stalberg: Roughing (2 min)4v5
  33. P2 7:43Bogosian: Roughing (2 min)4v4
  34. P2 7:43Stalberg: Roughing (2 min)4v4
  35. P2 10:20Shot by Little, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 10:42Shot by Reasoner, saved by Gustavsson
  37. P2 13:47Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec
  38. P2 14:49Shot by Slater, saved by Gustavsson
  39. P2 14:52Shot by Reasoner, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 15:58Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec
  41. P2 19:09Shot by Armstrong, saved by Gustavsson
  42. P2 19:26Shot by Wallin, saved by Pavelec
  43. P2 19:54Shot by Slater, saved by Gustavsson
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:45Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  47. P3 4:28Shot by Bergfors, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P3 5:34Shot by Stalberg, saved by Pavelec
  49. P3 5:48Shot by Bozak, saved by Pavelec
  50. P3 5:57Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  51. P3 6:26Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec
  52. P3 6:59Shot by Bergfors, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P3 8:07Shot by Slater, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P3 9:08Shot by Caputi, saved by Pavelec
  55. P3 12:10Shot by Sjostrom, saved by Pavelec
  56. P3 13:31Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  57. P3 13:32Shot by Kulemin, saved by Pavelec
  58. P3 13:59Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec
  59. P3 14:09Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec
  60. P3 14:24Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec
  61. P3 14:46Shot by Kubina, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P3 15:06Shot by Enstrom, saved by Gustavsson
  63. P3 15:50Shot by Little, saved by Gustavsson
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. OT 0:00Period start
  66. OT 0:16Shot by Kulemin, saved by Pavelec4v4
  67. OT 0:39Goal by Grabovski (Phaneuf)4v4+50 pts WP
  68. OT 0:39Period end
  69. OT 0:39Final