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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 27, 2010·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Buffalo Sabres 7

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:24Goal by Gaustad (Rivet, Grier)+14 pts WP
  3. P1 2:30Shot by Mair, saved by Niittymaki
  4. P1 3:32Shot by Montador, saved by Niittymaki
  5. P1 4:32Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lalime
  6. P1 4:42Shot by Hecht, saved by Niittymaki
  7. P1 6:35Lecavalier: Spearing (5 min)
  8. P1 6:35Lecavalier: Misconduct (10 min)5v4
  9. P1 8:02Goal by Roy (Ennis, Pominville)5v4+11 pts WP
  10. P1 8:52Goal by Hecht (Myers, Butler)5v4+8 pts WP
  11. P1 11:18Shot by Hedman, saved by Lalime5v4
  12. P1 14:27Shot by Walker, saved by Lalime
  13. P1 14:49Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lalime
  14. P1 15:33Shot by Montador, saved by Smith
  15. P1 16:05Shot by Stafford, saved by Smith
  16. P1 18:14Shot by Szczechura, saved by Lalime
  17. P1 18:19Lydman: Interference (2 min)
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 2:42Shot by Ennis, saved by Smith
  21. P2 4:47Shot by Meszaros, saved by Lalime
  22. P2 5:38Shot by Pominville, saved by Smith
  23. P2 6:09Shot by Purcell, saved by Lalime
  24. P2 6:30Shot by Downie, saved by Lalime
  25. P2 6:57Goal by Pominville (Tallinder, Roy)6v5+4 pts WP
  26. P2 7:31Shot by Parrish, saved by Lalime
  27. P2 9:25Shot by Kennedy, saved by Smith
  28. P2 9:45Goal by Roy (Kennedy, Vanek)+1 pts WP
  29. P2 11:06Shot by Konopka, saved by Lalime
  30. P2 11:16Goal by Mair (Ennis, Ellis)+1 pts WP
  31. P2 11:30Shot by Roy, saved by Smith
  32. P2 11:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Lalime
  33. P2 12:09Shot by Grier, saved by Smith
  34. P2 13:11Shot by Pominville, saved by Smith
  35. P2 14:45Shot by Gaustad, saved by Smith
  36. P2 16:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lalime
  37. P2 19:17Goal by Downie (Lundin)0 pts WP
  38. P2 19:42Shot by Hedman, saved by Lalime
  39. P2 19:59Gaustad: Cross checking (2 min)5v6
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lalime4v5
  43. P3 2:57Shot by Downie, saved by Lalime
  44. P3 5:16Meszaros: Cross checking (2 min)6v5
  45. P3 6:10Goal by Roy (Pominville)5v40 pts WP
  46. P3 6:43Shot by Tanguay, saved by Lalime
  47. P3 8:10Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lalime
  48. P3 8:16Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lalime
  49. P3 9:41Shot by Parrish, saved by Lalime
  50. P3 10:14Shot by Roy, saved by Smith
  51. P3 10:56Shot by Myers, saved by Smith
  52. P3 12:46Shot by Grier, saved by Smith
  53. P3 13:48Shot by Ennis, saved by Smith
  54. P3 13:52Shot by Pominville, saved by Smith
  55. P3 14:09Shot by Stafford, saved by Smith
  56. P3 15:23Shot by Montador, saved by Smith
  57. P3 17:11Shot by Hedman, saved by Lalime
  58. P3 17:44Shot by Konopka, saved by Lalime
  59. P3 17:51Shot by Smaby, saved by Lalime