Sat, Mar 27, 2010·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New York Islanders 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 29 | 08 | 19 | 12 | 428 |
| CBJ | 08 | 115 | 213 | 01 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:32NYIKyle OkposoAssists: Matt Moulson · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 5:34NYISean BergenheimAssists: Tim Jackman, Freddy Meyer · Deflected, 0.10 xG2–0
- P2 0:51CBJR.J. UmbergerPPAssists: Rick Nash, Anton Stralman · Slap, 0.03 xG2–1
- P3 0:33CBJRick NashAssists: Kristian Huselius, Antoine Vermette · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–2
- P3 1:18CBJGrant ClitsomeAssists: Chris Clark, Samuel Pahlsson · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–3
- P3 4:14NYIJon SimAssists: Jack Hillen, Josh Bailey · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–3
- OT 2:58NYIJosh BaileyGWGAssists: John Tavares, Mark Streit · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–3
Penalties (4)
- P1 7:23NYIJohn Tavares: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:39NYIJack Hillen: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 18:01NYIDylan Reese: Interference2 min
- P3 7:55NYIFreddy Meyer: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pahlsson won the faceoff against Park
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).