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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 30, 2010·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Atlanta Thrashers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Atlanta Thrashers

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Atlanta Thrashers win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:44Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Pavelec
  3. P1 3:38Shot by MacArthur, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 4:57Shot by Bergfors, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 5:04Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec
  6. P1 6:31Little: Hooking (2 min)
  7. P1 9:20Orr: High sticking (2 min)
  8. P1 9:39Shot by Bogosian, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  9. P1 10:03Shot by Wallin, saved by Pavelec4v5
  10. P1 12:55Shot by Reasoner, saved by Gustavsson
  11. P1 13:31Shot by Mitchell, saved by Pavelec
  12. P1 13:56Shot by Hanson, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 19:05Shot by Kaberle, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 19:11Shot by Kaberle, saved by Pavelec
  15. P1 19:22Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:12Shot by Peverley, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P2 0:53Shot by Slater, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P2 2:24Shot by Oduya, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P2 2:46Shot by Wallin, saved by Pavelec
  22. P2 2:54Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Pavelec
  23. P2 4:31Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  24. P2 6:18Goal by Afinogenov (Bergfors, Antropov)+20 pts WP
  25. P2 7:04Goal by Artyukhin (Reasoner, Thorburn)+16 pts WP
  26. P2 7:30Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  27. P2 10:15Shot by Oduya, saved by Gustavsson
  28. P2 11:02Shot by Artyukhin, saved by Gustavsson
  29. P2 11:37Shot by Schenn, saved by Pavelec
  30. P2 12:44Shot by Armstrong, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P2 12:46Gunnarsson: Holding (2 min)
  32. P2 13:01Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  33. P2 14:14Shot by Enstrom, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  34. P2 17:01Shot by Hainsey, saved by Gustavsson
  35. P2 17:24Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 17:43Goal by Stalberg (Bozak)+16 pts WP
  37. P2 18:35Shot by Peverley, saved by Gustavsson
  38. P2 19:40Shot by Kaberle, saved by Pavelec
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 1:04Shot by Slater, saved by Gustavsson
  42. P3 1:42Shot by Slater, saved by Gustavsson
  43. P3 2:18Shot by Mitchell, saved by Pavelec
  44. P3 2:29Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  45. P3 2:37Shot by Sjostrom, saved by Pavelec
  46. P3 3:03Shot by Thorburn, saved by Gustavsson
  47. P3 3:47Goal by Stalberg (Hanson)+27 pts WP
  48. P3 4:27Shot by Schenn, saved by Pavelec
  49. P3 4:37Shot by Bergfors, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P3 4:44Goal by Antropov (Hainsey, Afinogenov)+28 pts WP
  51. P3 6:22Shot by Kaberle, saved by Pavelec
  52. P3 7:41Shot by Lundmark, saved by Pavelec
  53. P3 7:46Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  54. P3 7:51Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  55. P3 10:01Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  56. P3 10:43Shot by Caputi, saved by Pavelec
  57. P3 11:04Shot by Mitchell, saved by Pavelec
  58. P3 11:12Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec
  59. P3 11:33Shot by Hanson, saved by Pavelec
  60. P3 14:18Shot by Armstrong, saved by Gustavsson
  61. P3 15:07Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P3 15:34Shot by Bergfors, saved by Gustavsson
  63. P3 18:00Slater: Tripping (2 min)