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Tue, Mar 30, 2010·Verizon Center, Washington

Ottawa Senators 5, Washington Capitals 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.

WSH winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Shot by Spezza, saved by Theodore
  3. P1 1:24Goal by Regin (Spezza, Alfredsson)+14 pts WP
  4. P1 1:53Karlsson: Tripping (2 min)
  5. P1 2:06Shot by Ruutu, saved by Theodore5v4
  6. P1 3:01Goal by Semin (Theodore)5v4+15 pts WP
  7. P1 3:46Bradley: Tripping (2 min)
  8. P1 4:12Shot by Karlsson, saved by Theodore4v5
  9. P1 4:18Shot by Cullen, saved by Theodore4v5
  10. P1 4:31Goal by Spezza (Cullen, Karlsson)4v5+15 pts WP
  11. P1 6:59Shot by Winchester, saved by Theodore
  12. P1 8:33Shot by Green, saved by Elliott
  13. P1 11:24Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Elliott
  14. P1 13:05Shot by Fisher, saved by Theodore
  15. P1 13:14Shot by Phillips, saved by Theodore
  16. P1 16:06Goal by Campoli (Alfredsson, Spezza)+15 pts WP
  17. P1 17:10Shot by Sutton, saved by Theodore
  18. P1 17:26Shot by Karlsson, saved by Theodore
  19. P1 17:32Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Elliott
  20. P1 19:27Shot by Regin, saved by Theodore
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:36Karlsson: Boarding (2 min)
  24. P2 1:01Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Elliott5v4
  25. P2 3:24Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore
  26. P2 3:47Shot by Green, saved by Elliott
  27. P2 3:51Shot by Schultz, saved by Elliott
  28. P2 3:53Shot by Bradley, saved by Elliott
  29. P2 4:32Shot by Cullen, saved by Theodore
  30. P2 5:01Foligno: Hooking (2 min)
  31. P2 7:26Shot by Kovalev, saved by Theodore
  32. P2 7:53Shot by Carkner, saved by Theodore
  33. P2 8:55Semin: Tripping (2 min)
  34. P2 10:56Shot by Kovalev, saved by Theodore
  35. P2 11:13Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Elliott
  36. P2 11:19Shot by Winchester, saved by Theodore
  37. P2 12:04Goal by Semin (Ovechkin, Backstrom)+16 pts WP
  38. P2 12:38Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore
  39. P2 12:58Goal by Green (Poti, Chimera)+22 pts WP
  40. P2 13:37Shot by Bradley, saved by Elliott
  41. P2 13:53Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore
  42. P2 14:28Neil: Slashing (2 min)
  43. P2 16:24Shot by Knuble, saved by Elliott5v4
  44. P2 17:33Shot by Foligno, saved by Theodore
  45. P2 17:41Shot by Foligno, saved by Theodore
  46. P2 19:16Shot by Fisher, saved by Theodore
  47. P2 19:29Shot by Semin, saved by Elliott
  48. P2 19:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Theodore
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:19Shot by Schultz, saved by Elliott
  52. P3 0:24Goal by Perreault (Fehr)+24 pts WP
  53. P3 1:33Fisher: Holding (2 min)
  54. P3 1:54Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Elliott5v4
  55. P3 2:48Shot by Belanger, saved by Elliott5v4
  56. P3 3:49Perreault: Interference (2 min)
  57. P3 5:13Goal by Spezza (Fisher, Karlsson)4v5+26 pts WP
  58. P3 13:11Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore
  59. P3 14:56Shot by Belanger, saved by Elliott
  60. P3 19:03Shot by Semin, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 19:14Shot by Spezza, saved by Theodore
  62. P3 19:54Shot by Phillips, saved by Theodore
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. OT 0:00Period start
  65. OT 2:41Shot by Green, saved by Elliott4v4
  66. OT 3:21Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore4v4
  67. OT 4:27Backstrom: Tripping (2 min)4v4
  68. OT 4:41Goal by Kovalev (Karlsson, Alfredsson)3v4+50 pts WP
  69. OT 4:41Period end