Tue, Mar 30, 2010·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 18 | 15 | 05 | 218 |
| CBJ | 14 | 06 | 215 | 325 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:50TBLMike LundinAssists: Nate Thompson, Andrej Meszaros · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–0
- P1 18:04CBJRick NashUnassisted · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 8:06TBLVincent LecavalierPPAssists: Martin St. Louis, Kurtis Foster · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–1
- P3 6:21CBJFedor TyutinAssists: Antoine Vermette, Kristian Huselius · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
- P3 7:37CBJRick NashPPGWGAssists: R.J. Umberger, Kristian Huselius · Snap, 0.10 xG2–3
Penalties (14)
- P1 7:28CBJMike Commodore: Holding2 min
- P1 14:39CBJDerek Dorsett: High sticking2 min
- P2 5:09TBLSteve Downie: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:47CBJGrant Clitsome: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 11:39TBLMattias Ohlund: Cross checking2 min
- P2 11:39TBLMattias Ohlund: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:39CBJDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:00TBLZenon Konopka: Elbowing2 min
- P3 3:00TBLZenon Konopka: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P3 3:00CBJMike Blunden: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:00TBLKurtis Foster: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:04TBLVincent Lecavalier: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:54TBLSteve Downie: High sticking2 min
- P3 15:26CBJDerek Dorsett: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pahlsson won the faceoff against Lecavalier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it TBL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − TBL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).