Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 2, 2010·Prudential Center, Newark

Chicago Blackhawks 2, New Jersey Devils 1 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 70% of the time.

NJD winsCHI wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
CHI090719011226
NJD11201008030133

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 5:49NJDIlya KovalchukAssists: Patrik Elias, Vladimir Zharkov · Snap, 0.08 xG0–1
  2. P3 19:34CHIKris VersteegAssists: Dustin Byfuglien, Marian Hossa · Slap, 0.32 xG1–1

Shootout

  1. 1. NJD Jamie Langenbrunner stopped
  2. 2. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
  3. 3. NJD Zach Parise stopped
  4. 4. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
  5. 5. NJD Ilya Kovalchuk stopped

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CHI00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0NJD
43% to win57% to win
← CHI attackNJD attack →
  1. P1 20:00Madden won the faceoff against Niedermayer
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CHINJD
26Shots on goal33
1.2Expected goals2.1
42Shot attempts52
26Faceoffs won15
0Power plays0
0Penalty minutes0
19Hits28
7Blocked shots13
6Giveaways17
8Takeaways12

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

NJD 2.1 xGCHI 1.2 xG
00.511.52P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

NJDCHI

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.

Excitement 40/100 · #733 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.38 · 2 goals in reachComeback index 3% (winner's lowest chance)
CHI 100%5050%50NJD 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +46 pts

Did the better team win?

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 70% of the time.

NJD winsCHI wins

Simulated goal difference (NJD − CHI), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).