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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 2, 2010·Honda Center, Anaheim

Vancouver Canucks 5, Anaheim Ducks 4 (SO)

Away

Vancouver Canucks

5

Final

Shootout

Home

Anaheim Ducks

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 61% of the time.

ANA winsVAN wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
VAN01718313022540
ANA01228213011434

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 3:01ANASaku KoivuAssists: Jason Blake · Backhand, 0.12 xG0–1
  2. P2 10:07VANMichael GrabnerAssists: Ryan Kesler · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
  3. P2 14:31ANATeemu SelannePPAssists: Lubomir Visnovsky, Scott Niedermayer · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–2
  4. P3 1:22VANMichael GrabnerAssists: Ryan Kesler, Pavol Demitra · Snap, 0.13 xG2–2
  5. P3 3:55VANMichael GrabnerAssists: Christian Ehrhoff, Ryan Kesler · Deflected, 0.05 xG3–2
  6. P3 9:20ANATeemu SelannePPAssists: Saku Koivu, Lubomir Visnovsky · Tip-in, 0.27 xG3–3
  7. P3 13:33VANJannik HansenAssists: Christian Ehrhoff, Daniel Sedin · Slap, 0.18 xG4–3
  8. P3 18:36ANASaku KoivuPPAssists: Teemu Selanne, Bobby Ryan · Wrist, 0.12 xG4–4

Shootout

  1. 1. ANA Corey Perry scored
  2. 2. VAN Kyle Wellwood scored
  3. 3. ANA Teemu Selanne stopped
  4. 4. VAN Pavol Demitra scored
  5. 5. ANA Bobby Ryan stopped
Penalties (14)
  1. P1 3:21VANAndrew Alberts: Hooking2 min
  2. P1 9:09ANASteve Eminger: High sticking2 min
  3. P1 15:01VANAlexandre Burrows: Hooking2 min
  4. P1 17:42ANASheldon Brookbank: Roughing2 min
  5. P2 3:04VANDarcy Hordichuk: Fighting5 min
  6. P2 3:04ANAGeorge Parros: Fighting5 min
  7. P2 5:11ANANathan Oystrick: Roughing2 min
  8. P2 13:20VANAlexandre Burrows: Tripping2 min · PPG
  9. P2 14:03VANJannik Hansen: High sticking double minor4 min
  10. P3 4:13VANAndrew Raycroft: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  11. P3 8:04VANSami Salo: Holding2 min · PPG
  12. P3 18:21VANRyan Kesler: Hooking2 min · PPG
  13. OT 3:03ANABobby Ryan: Tripping2 min
  14. OT 5:00ANASheldon Brookbank: Cross checking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

VAN00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0ANA
43% to win57% to win
← VAN attackANA attack →
  1. P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Koivu
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

VANANA
40Shots on goal34
3.8Expected goals4.6
61Shot attempts65
32Faceoffs won27
4Power plays8
21Penalty minutes15
22Hits17
13Blocked shots10
10Giveaways8
6Takeaways3

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

ANA 4.6 xGVAN 3.8 xG
012345P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

ANAVAN

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.

Excitement 97/100 · #24 of 1230 this seasonSwing 3.19 · 8 goals in reachComeback index 23% (winner's lowest chance)
VAN 100%5050%50ANA 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +41 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 61% of the time.

ANA winsVAN wins

Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).