Thu, Apr 8, 2010·Mellon Arena, Pittsburgh
New York Islanders 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 213 | 114 | 08 | 335 |
| PIT | 410 | 214 | 111 | 735 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:23PITBrooks OrpikAssists: Tyler Kennedy, Matt Cooke · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P1 5:01PITAlex GoligoskiPPAssists: Sidney Crosby, Sergei Gonchar · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–2
- P1 8:29NYIMatt MoulsonPPAssists: Mark Streit, John Tavares · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–2
- P1 15:15PITEvgeni MalkinUnassisted · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–3
- P1 17:08NYIKyle OkposoAssists: Jeff Tambellini, Freddy Meyer · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–3
- P1 19:02PITSidney CrosbyGWGAssists: Pascal Dupuis, Bill Guerin · Snap, 0.07 xG2–4
- P2 6:49NYIJosh BaileyAssists: Mark Streit, Andrew MacDonald · Tip-in, 0.08 xG3–4
- P2 14:34PITSidney CrosbyPPAssists: Sergei Gonchar, Evgeni Malkin · Slap, 0.05 xG3–5
- P2 16:41PITTyler KennedyAssists: Jordan Staal, Mark Eaton · Slap, 0.05 xG3–6
- P3 1:46PITBill GuerinAssists: Pascal Dupuis, Sidney Crosby · Wrist, 0.39 xG3–7
Penalties (18)
- P1 1:58PITEvgeni Malkin: Roughing2 min
- P1 3:17NYIAndrew MacDonald: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 6:04NYITim Jackman: Holding2 min
- P1 7:14PITSidney Crosby: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 10:20PITRuslan Fedotenko: Interference2 min
- P1 18:17NYITrevor Gillies: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:17PITMike Rupp: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:38NYIJon Sim: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:22NYIMark Streit: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 17:51PITKris Letang: Holding2 min
- P3 3:01PITAlexei Ponikarovsky: Boarding5 min
- P3 3:01PITAlexei Ponikarovsky: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 8:09NYIJeff Tambellini: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:26PITMarc-Andre Fleury: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:53PITBrooks Orpik: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:53NYITim Jackman: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:19NYITrevor Gillies: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:43PITSidney Crosby: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Staal won the faceoff against Nielsen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).