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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 14, 2010·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

PHI winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Leino, saved by Ellis
  3. P1 1:45Downie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Pronger, Zherdev, Carle, Carcillo, Giroux · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Jones, Vernace, Downie

  4. P1 2:32Bergenheim: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Pronger, Timonen, Carter, Richards, van Riemsdyk · TBL Moore, Bergenheim, Jones, Lundin

  5. P1 3:07Shot by Timonen, saved by Ellis5v3
  6. P1 4:46Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ellis
  7. P1 6:46Shot by Malone, saved by Boucher
  8. P1 8:14Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Boucher
  9. P1 8:42Shot by Richards, saved by Ellis
  10. P1 9:30Shot by O'Donnell, saved by Ellis
  11. P1 10:21Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Boucher
  12. P1 12:33Shot by Zherdev, saved by Ellis
  13. P1 12:44Shot by Carle, saved by Ellis
  14. P1 13:12Shot by Giroux, saved by Ellis
  15. P1 13:18Shot by Giroux, saved by Ellis
  16. P1 14:09Shot by Carter, saved by Ellis
  17. P1 15:11Goal by Stamkos (Downie, St. Louis)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Pronger, Carter, Richards, Carle, Carcillo · TBL St. Louis, Jones, Vernace, Downie, Stamkos

  18. P1 15:35Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Boucher
  19. P1 17:03Goal by Zherdev (van Riemsdyk, Giroux)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Zherdev, Coburn, Giroux, van Riemsdyk · TBL Lecavalier, Gagne, Malone, Jones, Vernace

  20. P1 18:34Shot by Brière, saved by Ellis
  21. P1 19:26Shot by Carle, saved by Ellis
  22. P1 19:58Shot by Coburn, saved by Ellis
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:39Shot by Stamkos, saved by Boucher
  26. P2 1:05Shot by Malone, saved by Boucher
  27. P2 1:07Coburn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Hartnell, Coburn, Leino · TBL Lecavalier, Gagne, Malone, Jones, Lundin

  28. P2 1:51Shot by Richards, saved by Ellis4v5
  29. P2 2:29Shot by Stamkos, saved by Boucher4v5
  30. P2 2:41Pronger: Holding (2 min)4v6

    On ice: PHI Pronger, Timonen, Betts, Powe · TBL Clark, Hall, Malone, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman

  31. P2 3:59Shot by Kubina, saved by Boucher4v5
  32. P2 3:59O'Donnell: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI O'Donnell, Timonen, Betts, Powe · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman

  33. P2 3:59Downie: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI O'Donnell, Timonen, Betts, Powe · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman

  34. P2 4:49Hedman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Pronger, Coburn, Carter, Meszaros, Giroux · TBL Clark, Hall, Malone, Purcell, Hedman

  35. P2 7:10Coburn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Richards, Carle, Giroux, Leino · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Jones, Stamkos, Hedman

  36. P2 8:04Shot by Giroux, saved by Ellis4v5
  37. P2 9:14Shot by Powe, saved by Ellis
  38. P2 10:40Hedman: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Hartnell, Meszaros, Giroux, Leino · TBL Clark, Hall, Bergenheim, Thompson, Hedman

  39. P2 11:40Shot by Brière, saved by Ellis5v4
  40. P2 11:41Shot by Brière, saved by Ellis5v4
  41. P2 12:48Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ellis
  42. P2 14:48Shot by Hall, saved by Boucher
  43. P2 14:49Goal by Moore (Hall, Clark)+27 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hartnell, Zherdev, Carle, Meszaros, Giroux · TBL Clark, Hall, Moore, Thompson, Jones

  44. P2 15:24Shot by O'Donnell, saved by Ellis
  45. P2 15:53Shot by Carle, saved by Ellis
  46. P2 16:31Richards: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Pronger, Carter, Richards, Carle, van Riemsdyk · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos

  47. P2 17:23Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Boucher4v5
  48. P2 17:54Shot by Clark, saved by Boucher4v5
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:20Shot by Brière, saved by Ellis
  52. P3 0:30Shot by Hall, saved by Boucher
  53. P3 1:27Goal by Kubina (Downie, St. Louis)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Coburn, Carter, Richards, Carcillo · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos

  54. P3 1:50Shot by Zherdev, saved by Ellis
  55. P3 2:33Shot by Thompson, saved by Boucher
  56. P3 6:22Shot by Hall, saved by Boucher
  57. P3 7:56Shot by Purcell, saved by Boucher
  58. P3 9:59Goal by Brière (Leino, Carle)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Pronger, Brière, Hartnell, Carle, Leino · TBL Clark, Hall, Malone, Thompson, Hedman

  59. P3 10:33van Riemsdyk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Zherdev, Coburn, Giroux, van Riemsdyk · TBL St. Louis, Jones, Vernace, Downie, Stamkos

  60. P3 10:59Shot by Malone, saved by Boucher4v5
  61. P3 12:07Shot by Gagne, saved by Boucher4v5
  62. P3 12:50Shot by Hedman, saved by Boucher
  63. P3 14:33Shot by Purcell, saved by Boucher
  64. P3 14:41Carle: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Pronger, Carle, Giroux, Powe, van Riemsdyk · TBL Kubina, Lecavalier, Gagne, Jones, Purcell

  65. P3 15:43Shot by Kubina, saved by Boucher4v5
  66. P3 17:04Shot by Hall, saved by Boucher
  67. P3 17:16Shot by Richards, saved by Ellis
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final