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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 15, 2010·Honda Center, Anaheim

Atlanta Thrashers 5, Anaheim Ducks 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 64% of the time.

ANA winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Goal by Stewart (Ladd, Little)+17 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Koivu, Mara, Blake, Fowler · ATL Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Little

  3. P1 1:00Shot by Hainsey, saved by Hiller
  4. P1 2:52Shot by Antropov, saved by Hiller
  5. P1 4:25Shot by Oduya, saved by Hiller
  6. P1 5:14Shot by Enstrom, saved by Hiller
  7. P1 6:21Shot by Lydman, saved by Mason
  8. P1 6:25Shot by Perry, saved by Mason
  9. P1 7:08Shot by Little, saved by Hiller
  10. P1 7:54Thorburn: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: ANA Marchant, Parros, Brookbank, Bodie, Mikkelson · ATL Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Burmistrov

  11. P1 7:54Parros: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: ANA Marchant, Parros, Brookbank, Bodie, Mikkelson · ATL Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Burmistrov

  12. P1 7:54Thorburn: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: ANA Marchant, Parros, Brookbank, Bodie, Mikkelson · ATL Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Burmistrov

  13. P1 8:43Goal by Perry (Visnovsky, Getzlaf)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan · ATL Modin, Sopel, Oduya, Little

  14. P1 10:04Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Mason
  15. P1 10:15Shot by Mara, saved by Mason
  16. P1 10:19Shot by Selanne, saved by Mason
  17. P1 10:50Shot by Little, saved by Hiller
  18. P1 11:10Shot by Dawes, saved by Hiller
  19. P1 14:22Shot by Little, saved by Hiller
  20. P1 15:35Shot by Modin, saved by Hiller
  21. P1 17:26Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Mason
  22. P1 17:35Shot by Sexton, saved by Mason
  23. P1 17:52Little: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Lydman, Visnovsky, Chipchura, Beleskey, Sexton · ATL Oduya, Meyer, Stewart, Ladd, Little

  24. P1 18:01Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason5v4
  25. P1 18:22Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason5v4
  26. P1 18:24Shot by Selanne, saved by Mason5v4
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:37Shot by Oduya, saved by Hiller
  30. P2 0:42Shot by Eager, saved by Hiller
  31. P2 2:52Shot by Slater, saved by Hiller
  32. P2 3:02Shot by Fowler, saved by Mason
  33. P2 3:30Peverley: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Mara, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Fowler · ATL Sopel, Antropov, Hainsey, Peverley, Kane

  34. P2 3:58Shot by Beleskey, saved by Mason5v4
  35. P2 4:15Shot by Selanne, saved by Mason5v4
  36. P2 5:35Shot by Sexton, saved by Mason
  37. P2 5:57Shot by Peverley, saved by Hiller
  38. P2 6:17Shot by Mara, saved by Mason
  39. P2 8:16Shot by Ladd, saved by Hiller
  40. P2 9:04Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason
  41. P2 9:43Goal by Lydman (Selanne, Beleskey)+22 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Koivu, Lydman, Beleskey, Fowler · ATL Modin, Oduya, Slater, Dawes, Byfuglien

  42. P2 9:41Shot by Selanne, saved by Mason
  43. P2 10:36Thorburn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Brookbank, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Mikkelson · ATL Sopel, Hainsey, Thorburn, Eager, Burmistrov

  44. P2 10:58Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Mason5v4
  45. P2 11:17Shot by Selanne, saved by Mason5v4
  46. P2 11:31Shot by Selanne, saved by Mason5v4
  47. P2 11:54Shot by Perry, saved by Mason5v4
  48. P2 12:19Visnovsky: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan · ATL Hainsey, Enstrom, Ladd, Peverley, Kane

  49. P2 13:21Goal by Thorburn (Byfuglien, Enstrom)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Koivu, Marchant, Lydman, Brookbank · ATL Thorburn, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Little

  50. P2 14:47Shot by Perry, saved by Mason
  51. P2 14:56Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason
  52. P2 15:02Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason
  53. P2 16:24Shot by Peverley, saved by Hiller
  54. P2 16:32Shot by Ladd, saved by Hiller
  55. P2 17:49Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Mason
  56. P2 17:50Antropov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Lydman, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan · ATL Antropov, Oduya, Meyer, Peverley, Kane

  57. P2 18:57Shot by Selanne, saved by Mason5v4
  58. P2 19:08Goal by Selanne (Koivu, Perry)5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Koivu, Visnovsky, Perry, Ryan · ATL Modin, Sopel, Oduya, Slater

  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:09Shot by Bodie, saved by Mason
  62. P3 2:15Lydman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Marchant, Lydman, Parros, Visnovsky, Bodie · ATL Slater, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Peverley, Kane

  63. P3 4:18Shot by Eager, saved by Hiller
  64. P3 4:13Shot by Peverley, saved by Hiller4v5
  65. P3 5:24Shot by Sexton, saved by Mason
  66. P3 5:44Shot by Beleskey, saved by Mason
  67. P3 6:22Meyer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Koivu, Lydman, Blake, Visnovsky · ATL Modin, Oduya, Slater, Meyer, Dawes

  68. P3 6:35Goal by Getzlaf (Perry, Selanne)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan · ATL Sopel, Hainsey, Thorburn, Burmistrov

  69. P3 7:44Shot by Thorburn, saved by Hiller
  70. P3 8:15Shot by Eager, saved by Hiller
  71. P3 8:17Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Hiller
  72. P3 8:50Mikkelson: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: ANA Brookbank, Chipchura, Mikkelson, Beleskey, Sexton · ATL Thorburn, Oduya, Eager, Meyer, Peverley, Burmistrov

  73. P3 9:36Shot by Mara, saved by Mason4v5
  74. P3 10:33Shot by Oduya, saved by Hiller4v5
  75. P3 10:35Goal by Stewart (Peverley, Oduya)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Koivu, Lydman, Brookbank, Bodie · ATL Antropov, Oduya, Stewart, Enstrom, Peverley

  76. P3 11:25Shot by Enstrom, saved by Hiller
  77. P3 12:06Shot by Beleskey, saved by Mason
  78. P3 13:48Perry: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Brookbank, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Mikkelson · ATL Hainsey, Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Burmistrov

  79. P3 14:25Shot by Little, saved by Hiller4v5
  80. P3 14:38Goal by Stewart (Byfuglien, Enstrom)4v5+39 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Marchant, Lydman, Brookbank, Chipchura · ATL Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Peverley, Kane

  81. P3 14:54Shot by Perry, saved by Mason
  82. P3 14:55Eager: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Mara, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Fowler · ATL Thorburn, Oduya, Eager, Meyer, Burmistrov

  83. P3 15:35Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Mason5v4
  84. P3 16:02Shot by Ladd, saved by Hiller5v4
  85. P3 18:15Shot by Lydman, saved by Mason
  86. P3 18:30Shot by Blake, saved by Mason
  87. P3 18:38Shot by Lydman, saved by Mason
  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. OT 0:00Period start
  90. OT 1:06Shot by Stewart, saved by Hiller4v4
  91. OT 3:12Shot by Enstrom, saved by Hiller4v4
  92. OT 3:16Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Hiller4v4
  93. OT 4:07Shot by Lydman, saved by Mason4v4
  94. OT 4:56Shot by Stewart, saved by Hiller4v4
  95. OT 5:00Period end
  96. SO Period start
  97. SO Shot by Kane, saved by Hillerother
  98. SO Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Masonother
  99. SO Shot by Peverley, saved by Hillerother
  100. SO Shot by Selanne, saved by Masonother
  101. SO Shot by Little, saved by Hillerother
  102. SO Shot by Koivu, saved by Masonother
  103. SO Goal by Dawes, unassistedother
  104. SO Period end
  105. SO Final