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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 20, 2010·Philips Arena, Atlanta

Buffalo Sabres 4, Atlanta Thrashers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 91% of the time.

ATL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by McCormick, saved by Mason
  3. P1 3:11Shot by Gerbe, saved by Mason
  4. P1 4:41Shot by Vanek, saved by Mason
  5. P1 5:03Goal by Ennis (Montador, Butler)+18 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Sopel, Hainsey, Slater, Dawes, Kane · BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Montador, Butler, Ennis

  6. P1 5:09Shot by Ennis, saved by Mason
  7. P1 5:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Mason
  8. P1 6:25Shot by Connolly, saved by Mason
  9. P1 7:10Shot by Myers, saved by Mason
  10. P1 10:22Shot by Montador, saved by Mason
  11. P1 12:17Myers: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Burmistrov · BUF Hecht, Connolly, Leopold, McCormick, Myers

  12. P1 14:27Shot by Antropov, saved by Miller
  13. P1 14:31Shot by Modin, saved by Miller
  14. P1 15:57Shot by Gaustad, saved by Mason
  15. P1 16:55Mason: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Oduya, Meyer, Peverley, Kane · BUF Grier, Hecht, Connolly, Sekera, Butler

  16. P1 18:14Shot by Sekera, saved by Mason4v5
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:50Shot by Connolly, saved by Mason
  20. P2 1:06Shot by Connolly, saved by Mason
  21. P2 1:24Dawes: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Dawes, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Peverley, Kane · BUF Leopold, Roy, Vanek, Stafford, Myers

  22. P2 1:30Goal by Myers (Butler, Roy)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Sopel, Thorburn, Oduya, Burmistrov · BUF Roy, Vanek, Butler, Gerbe, Myers

  23. P2 2:11Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Mason
  24. P2 2:15Shot by Myers, saved by Mason
  25. P2 2:30Shot by Gaustad, saved by Mason
  26. P2 2:34Goal by McCormick (Gaustad, Rivet)+8 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Modin, Hainsey, Slater, Meyer, Dawes · BUF Rivet, Gaustad, McCormick, Sekera, Kaleta

  27. P2 2:51Shot by Antropov, saved by Miller
  28. P2 3:58Hecht: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Oduya, Meyer, Stewart, Ladd, Little · BUF Hecht, Montador, Roy, Stafford, Butler

  29. P2 4:45Shot by Kane, saved by Miller5v4
  30. P2 5:33Shot by Oduya, saved by Miller5v4
  31. P2 6:07Shot by Modin, saved by Miller
  32. P2 6:43Stafford: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Sopel, Hainsey, Eager, Peverley, Burmistrov · BUF Montador, Roy, Vanek, Stafford, Butler

  33. P2 7:29Shot by Peverley, saved by Miller5v4
  34. P2 8:11Ladd: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ATL Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Little · BUF Connolly, Gaustad, Montador, Sekera

  35. P2 8:24Shot by Montador, saved by Mason4v4
  36. P2 9:26Shot by Thorburn, saved by Miller4v5
  37. P2 10:11Shot by Vanek, saved by Mason4v5
  38. P2 10:14Shot by Myers, saved by Mason
  39. P2 12:11Shot by McCormick, saved by Mason
  40. P2 13:24Shot by Sekera, saved by Mason5v6
  41. P2 13:25Eager: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: ATL Antropov, Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Byfuglien · BUF Rivet, Roy, Vanek, Stafford, Sekera, Myers

  42. P2 13:38Shot by Leopold, saved by Mason4v5
  43. P2 14:53Shot by Ennis, saved by Mason4v5
  44. P2 15:32Shot by Thorburn, saved by Miller
  45. P2 16:22Shot by Peverley, saved by Miller
  46. P2 16:48Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Miller
  47. P2 18:34Shot by Slater, saved by Miller
  48. P2 18:58Shot by Rivet, saved by Mason
  49. P2 19:39Shot by Hecht, saved by Mason
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:08Hecht: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Burmistrov · BUF Hecht, Connolly, Leopold, Montador, McCormick

  53. P3 1:47Goal by Enstrom (Byfuglien, Ladd)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Little · BUF Grier, Leopold, Roy, Myers

  54. P3 2:51Shot by Kaleta, saved by Mason
  55. P3 2:54Shot by Ennis, saved by Mason
  56. P3 2:59Shot by Montador, saved by Mason
  57. P3 4:07Shot by Stafford, saved by Mason
  58. P3 4:17Byfuglien: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Thorburn, Eager, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Burmistrov · BUF Rivet, Gaustad, Sekera, Kaleta, Gerbe

  59. P3 6:16Shot by Sekera, saved by Mason4v5
  60. P3 7:24Shot by Myers, saved by Mason
  61. P3 7:25Shot by Stafford, saved by Mason
  62. P3 8:36Shot by Oduya, saved by Miller
  63. P3 8:58Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Mason
  64. P3 10:15Shot by Modin, saved by Miller
  65. P3 10:25Goal by Vanek (Stafford, Montador)+3 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Little · BUF Montador, Roy, Vanek, Stafford, Butler

  66. P3 10:55Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Miller
  67. P3 11:28Shot by Modin, saved by Miller
  68. P3 13:00Shot by Sekera, saved by Mason
  69. P3 13:39Shot by Kaleta, saved by Mason
  70. P3 15:07Shot by Hecht, saved by Mason
  71. P3 15:48Shot by Rivet, saved by Mason
  72. P3 16:14Eager: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: ATL Sopel, Hainsey, Thorburn, Eager, Burmistrov · BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Montador, Butler, Ennis

  73. P3 19:16Shot by Connolly, saved by Mason4v5
  74. P3 19:43Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Mason4v5
  75. P3 19:55Shot by Ladd, saved by Miller4v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final