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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 27, 2010·Centre Bell, Montreal

New York Islanders 3, Montréal Canadiens 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 87% of the time.

MTL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Price
  3. P1 1:44Shot by Tavares, saved by Price
  4. P1 2:28Shot by Eller, saved by Roloson
  5. P1 2:30Shot by Eller, saved by Roloson
  6. P1 3:31Shot by Gomez, saved by Roloson
  7. P1 3:32Hillen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gomez, Gionta, Moen, Picard, Subban · NYI Sim, Jurcina, Nielsen, Hillen, Bailey

  8. P1 4:35Shot by Pouliot, saved by Roloson5v4
  9. P1 5:16Shot by Subban, saved by Roloson5v4
  10. P1 7:48Hamrlik: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Hamrlik, Spacek, Cammalleri, Plekanec, Kostitsyn · NYI Eaton, Martinek, Moulson, Comeau, Tavares

  11. P1 9:39Shot by Martinek, saved by Price4v5
  12. P1 9:50Shot by Hillen, saved by Price
  13. P1 9:52Shot by Sim, saved by Price
  14. P1 10:34Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Roloson
  15. P1 10:35Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Roloson
  16. P1 12:15Shot by Picard, saved by Roloson
  17. P1 12:16Shot by Picard, saved by Roloson
  18. P1 12:18Shot by Gionta, saved by Roloson
  19. P1 13:19Goal by Darche (Halpern, Subban)+17 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Halpern, Darche, Picard, Pouliot, Subban · NYI Sim, Mottau, Gillies, Jurcina, Konopka

  20. P1 13:57Shot by Comeau, saved by Price
  21. P1 14:26Shot by Gionta, saved by Roloson
  22. P1 15:25Shot by Eller, saved by Roloson
  23. P1 17:32Subban: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Gill, Gomez, Gionta, Moen, Subban · NYI Weight, Mottau, Wisniewski, Martin, Tavares, Niederreiter

  24. P1 17:54Goal by Moen (Plekanec, Gill)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gill, Moen, Plekanec, Gorges · NYI Weight, Parenteau, Wisniewski, Comeau, Tavares

  25. P1 19:16Goal by Wisniewski (Weight, Moulson)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gill, Gomez, Gionta, Gorges · NYI Weight, Nielsen, Wisniewski, Moulson, Bailey

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:44Shot by Moulson, saved by Price
  29. P2 2:40Shot by Eller, saved by Roloson
  30. P2 3:24Shot by Gill, saved by Roloson
  31. P2 5:04Shot by Comeau, saved by Price
  32. P2 5:19Shot by Tavares, saved by Price
  33. P2 6:17Shot by Pyatt, saved by Roloson
  34. P2 6:43Shot by Sim, saved by Price
  35. P2 6:57Shot by Martinek, saved by Price
  36. P2 7:33Goal by Plekanec (Kostitsyn, Hamrlik)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Hamrlik, Spacek, Cammalleri, Plekanec, Kostitsyn · NYI Jurcina, Moulson, Comeau, Hillen, Tavares

  37. P2 7:51Shot by Mottau, saved by Price
  38. P2 8:27Shot by Gionta, saved by Roloson
  39. P2 8:43Moen: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gill, Gomez, Gionta, Moen, Gorges · NYI Weight, Mottau, Wisniewski, Martin, Niederreiter

  40. P2 10:48Konopka: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Gill, Gionta, Moen, Plekanec, Gorges · NYI Martinek, Parenteau, Konopka, Comeau, Hillen

  41. P2 10:48Moen: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Gill, Gionta, Moen, Plekanec, Gorges · NYI Martinek, Parenteau, Konopka, Comeau, Hillen

  42. P2 11:09Shot by Gionta, saved by Roloson
  43. P2 12:53Shot by Pyatt, saved by Roloson
  44. P2 13:02Shot by Tavares, saved by Price
  45. P2 14:31Bailey: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MTL Hamrlik, Gomez, Spacek, Darche, Cammalleri, Plekanec · NYI Martinek, Moulson, Hillen, Bailey, Tavares

  46. P2 15:45Shot by Nielsen, saved by Price5v4
  47. P2 18:10Shot by Lapierre, saved by Roloson
  48. P2 18:41Spacek: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Hamrlik, Gomez, Gionta, Spacek, Moen · NYI Jurcina, Comeau, Hillen, Bailey, Tavares

  49. P2 19:59Shot by Subban, saved by Roloson4v5
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:13Goal by Tavares (Wisniewski)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gill, Moen, Plekanec, Gorges · NYI Mottau, Parenteau, Wisniewski, Comeau, Tavares

  53. P3 1:01Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Roloson
  54. P3 1:45Shot by Subban, saved by Roloson
  55. P3 3:49Shot by Picard, saved by Roloson
  56. P3 3:54Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Roloson
  57. P3 4:33Shot by Subban, saved by Roloson
  58. P3 5:35Shot by Jurcina, saved by Price
  59. P3 5:45Shot by Gomez, saved by Roloson
  60. P3 6:29Shot by Hillen, saved by Price
  61. P3 6:56Goal by Halpern (Pouliot, Price)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Halpern, Darche, Picard, Pouliot, Subban · NYI Sim, Eaton, Martinek, Parenteau, Nielsen

  62. P3 7:11Martinek: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: MTL Halpern, Darche, Picard, Pouliot, Subban · NYI Eaton, Martinek, Moulson, Comeau, Tavares

  63. P3 7:11Shot by Pouliot, saved by Rolosonother
  64. P3 10:23Bailey: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gill, Darche, Plekanec, Gorges, Pouliot · NYI Parenteau, Nielsen, Wisniewski, Hillen, Bailey

  65. P3 10:50Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Roloson5v4
  66. P3 11:47Shot by Spacek, saved by Roloson5v4
  67. P3 12:56Goal by Weight (Wisniewski, Hillen)+12 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gionta, Spacek, Pouliot, Subban, Eller · NYI Weight, Wisniewski, Hillen, Bailey, Martin

  68. P3 13:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Price
  69. P3 14:44Shot by Subban, saved by Roloson
  70. P3 15:58Shot by Mottau, saved by Price
  71. P3 18:58Goal by Kostitsyn, unassisted5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Hamrlik, Gill, Cammalleri, Plekanec, Kostitsyn · NYI Weight, Wisniewski, Moulson, Comeau, Hillen, Tavares

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final