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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 3, 2010·RBC Center, Raleigh

New York Islanders 2, Carolina Hurricanes 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 58% of the time.

CAR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Cole, saved by DiPietro
  3. P1 1:32Shot by Hillen, saved by Ward
  4. P1 3:08Shot by Tavares, saved by Ward
  5. P1 3:48Shot by Tlusty, saved by DiPietro
  6. P1 4:39Shot by Hunter, saved by Ward
  7. P1 4:46Konopka: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, LaRose, Babchuk, Staal, Skinner · NYI Mottau, Hunter, Konopka, Wisniewski, Martin

  8. P1 4:46Harrison: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Harrison, LaRose, Babchuk, Staal, Skinner · NYI Mottau, Hunter, Konopka, Wisniewski, Martin

  9. P1 6:45Shot by Grabner, saved by Ward
  10. P1 7:15Shot by Gleason, saved by DiPietro
  11. P1 7:20Shot by Gleason, saved by DiPietro
  12. P1 7:46Mottau: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Cole, Ruutu, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Babchuk · NYI Mottau, Wisniewski, Schremp, Comeau

  13. P1 8:10Shot by Moulson, saved by Ward5v4
  14. P1 10:12Goal by Corvo (Skinner, LaRose)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Staal, Skinner · NYI Weight, Martinek, Wisniewski, Martin, Tavares

  15. P1 11:35Shot by Wisniewski, saved by Ward
  16. P1 11:57Shot by Pitkanen, saved by DiPietro
  17. P1 12:30Shot by Weight, saved by Ward
  18. P1 12:40Shot by Matsumoto, saved by DiPietro
  19. P1 12:48Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ward
  20. P1 13:02Shot by LaRose, saved by DiPietro
  21. P1 13:04Shot by LaRose, saved by DiPietro
  22. P1 14:37Shot by Harrison, saved by DiPietro
  23. P1 15:48Goal by Matsumoto (Samsonov, Kostopoulos)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Corvo, Kostopoulos, Pitkanen, Matsumoto · NYI Weight, Mottau, Wisniewski, Schremp, Bailey

  24. P1 15:52Shot by Sutter, saved by DiPietro
  25. P1 16:07Shot by Tlusty, saved by DiPietro
  26. P1 17:45Shot by Comeau, saved by Ward
  27. P1 18:51Goal by Staal (Samsonov, Kostopoulos)+8 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Corvo, Kostopoulos, Staal, McBain · NYI Weight, Eaton, Martinek, Nielsen, Grabner

  28. P1 19:18Shot by LaRose, saved by DiPietro
  29. P1 19:57Wisniewski: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Cole, Ruutu, Harrison, Jokinen, Babchuk · NYI Mottau, Hunter, Konopka, Wisniewski, Martin

  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:27Shot by Comeau, saved by Ward5v4
  33. P2 0:31Shot by Gervais, saved by Ward5v4
  34. P2 0:54Shot by Corvo, saved by DiPietro5v4
  35. P2 2:22Shot by Tavares, saved by Ward
  36. P2 2:34Shot by Harrison, saved by DiPietro
  37. P2 2:59Shot by Babchuk, saved by DiPietro
  38. P2 4:52Shot by Babchuk, saved by DiPietro
  39. P2 6:35Weight: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Corvo, Kostopoulos, Matsumoto, McBain · NYI Weight, Mottau, Eaton, Nielsen, Grabner

  40. P2 9:06Shot by Hillen, saved by Ward
  41. P2 9:40Goal by Sutter, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Kostopoulos, Harrison, Tlusty, McBain, Sutter · NYI Wisniewski, Schremp, Comeau, Hillen, Bailey

  42. P2 10:23Goal by Tlusty (Harrison, Babchuk)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Babchuk, Dwyer, Tlusty, Sutter · NYI Eaton, Martinek, Schremp, Comeau, Bailey

  43. P2 10:47Shot by Skinner, saved by DiPietro
  44. P2 11:45Shot by Staal, saved by DiPietro
  45. P2 12:12Shot by Babchuk, saved by DiPietro
  46. P2 14:31Shot by Tavares, saved by Ward
  47. P2 14:51Shot by Weight, saved by Ward
  48. P2 14:59Matsumoto: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Kostopoulos, Harrison, Matsumoto, McBain · NYI Hunter, Konopka, Wisniewski, Hillen, Martin

  49. P2 15:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Ward4v5
  50. P2 15:36Shot by Weight, saved by Ward4v5
  51. P2 15:39LaRose: High sticking double minor (4 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Staal · NYI Weight, Parenteau, Wisniewski, Moulson, Tavares

  52. P2 15:49Shot by Parenteau, saved by Ward3v5
  53. P2 16:05Shot by Moulson, saved by Ward3v5
  54. P2 16:38Shot by Parenteau, saved by Ward3v5
  55. P2 17:05Shot by Comeau, saved by Ward4v5
  56. P2 18:54Shot by Corvo, saved by DiPietro4v5
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:16Shot by Martinek, saved by Ward
  60. P3 0:24Shot by Konopka, saved by Ward
  61. P3 2:12Goal by Grabner (Weight, Gervais)0 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Cole, Ruutu, Harrison, Jokinen, McBain · NYI Weight, Nielsen, Gervais, Grabner, Hillen

  62. P3 2:37Shot by Parenteau, saved by Ward
  63. P3 3:12Shot by Samsonov, saved by DiPietro
  64. P3 6:22Shot by Parenteau, saved by Ward
  65. P3 7:37Shot by Grabner, saved by Ward
  66. P3 8:25Shot by Tlusty, saved by DiPietro
  67. P3 9:12Schremp: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Cole, Ruutu, Jokinen, Babchuk, McBain · NYI Mottau, Parenteau, Wisniewski, Schremp, Comeau

  68. P3 10:09Goal by Skinner (Staal, LaRose)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, LaRose, Babchuk, Staal, Skinner · NYI Eaton, Gervais, Moulson, Comeau

  69. P3 10:07Shot by Skinner, saved by DiPietro5v4
  70. P3 10:28Shot by Matsumoto, saved by DiPietro
  71. P3 13:34Shot by Konopka, saved by Ward
  72. P3 13:35Babchuk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Kostopoulos, Gleason, Babchuk, Matsumoto · NYI Hunter, Eaton, Martinek, Konopka, Martin

  73. P3 14:13Shot by Moulson, saved by Ward4v5
  74. P3 14:26Shot by Schremp, saved by Ward4v5
  75. P3 14:57Shot by Bailey, saved by Ward4v5
  76. P3 15:15Shot by Comeau, saved by Ward4v5
  77. P3 15:29Goal by Parenteau (Comeau, Schremp)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Harrison, LaRose, Staal · NYI Mottau, Parenteau, Schremp, Comeau, Tavares

  78. P3 17:58Shot by Sutter, saved by DiPietro
  79. P3 19:26Goal by Matsumoto (Samsonov)0 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Corvo, Kostopoulos, Harrison, Matsumoto · NYI Mottau, Parenteau, Wisniewski, Moulson, Schremp

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final