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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 9, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Stamkos: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Bergenheim, Thompson, Jones, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kessel, Kulemin, Schenn

  3. P1 1:21Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Ellis4v5
  4. P1 2:08Thompson: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Clark, Malone, Thompson, Hedman · TOR Beauchemin, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn

  5. P1 3:33Shot by Schenn, saved by Ellis4v5
  6. P1 4:54Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Giguere
  7. P1 6:44Shot by Versteeg, saved by Ellis
  8. P1 7:04Shot by St. Louis, saved by Giguere
  9. P1 7:31Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Giguere
  10. P1 7:35Shot by Kubina, saved by Giguere
  11. P1 8:08Shot by Grabovski, saved by Ellis
  12. P1 8:21Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ellis
  13. P1 8:47Shot by St. Louis, saved by Giguere
  14. P1 10:19Shot by Tyrell, saved by Giguere6v5
  15. P1 10:20Holzer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Malone, Moore, Lundin, Tyrell, Stamkos · TOR Orr, Brent, Lebda, Holzer, Caputi

  16. P1 10:46Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Giguere5v4
  17. P1 11:10Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis, Lecavalier)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Stamkos · TOR Beauchemin, Komisarek, Sjostrom, Mitchell

  18. P1 11:39Goal by Thompson (Lundin, Tyrell)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Moore, Thompson, Lundin, Tyrell, Hedman · TOR Kaberle, Versteeg, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak

  19. P1 12:27Shot by Stamkos, saved by Giguere
  20. P1 12:33Shot by Caputi, saved by Ellis
  21. P1 13:09Shot by Purcell, saved by Giguere
  22. P1 13:17Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Giguere
  23. P1 13:56Shot by Brown, saved by Ellis
  24. P1 14:51Ohlund: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Hall, Jones, Stamkos · TOR Beauchemin, Komisarek, Versteeg, Kessel, Bozak

  25. P1 14:58Shot by Kaberle, saved by Ellis4v5
  26. P1 18:42Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Giguere
  27. P1 19:13Goal by Moore (Jones, Malone)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Malone, Moore, Bergenheim, Jones, Lundin · TOR Orr, Komisarek, Brent, Lebda, Versteeg

  28. P1 19:36Shot by Kessel, saved by Ellis
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:19Shot by Hall, saved by Giguere
  32. P2 1:08Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Giguere
  33. P2 1:08Brown: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Bergenheim, Thompson, Hedman · TOR Komisarek, Lebda, Versteeg, Brown, Bozak

  34. P2 1:08Thompson: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Bergenheim, Thompson, Hedman · TOR Komisarek, Lebda, Versteeg, Brown, Bozak

  35. P2 2:06Shot by Schenn, saved by Ellis
  36. P2 4:12Shot by MacArthur, saved by Ellis
  37. P2 6:25Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Giguere
  38. P2 6:50Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Giguere
  39. P2 9:38Shot by Smaby, saved by Giguere
  40. P2 9:51Shot by Versteeg, saved by Ellis
  41. P2 9:56Shot by Mitchell, saved by Ellis
  42. P2 10:02Shot by Versteeg, saved by Ellis
  43. P2 10:50Shot by Lebda, saved by Ellis
  44. P2 11:21MacArthur: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Hall, Malone, Tyrell, Hedman · TOR MacArthur, Lebda, Grabovski, Holzer, Kulemin

  45. P2 13:07Hedman: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Moore, Ritola, Purcell, Hedman · TOR Beauchemin, Grabovski, Holzer, Kulemin

  46. P2 14:09Shot by Kessel, saved by Ellis4v5
  47. P2 15:28Shot by Lebda, saved by Ellis
  48. P2 15:56Shot by Brent, saved by Ellis
  49. P2 16:28Shot by Malone, saved by Giguere
  50. P2 16:58Shot by Grabovski, saved by Ellis
  51. P2 17:17Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ellis
  52. P2 17:47Shot by Thompson, saved by Giguere
  53. P2 18:13Shot by Bozak, saved by Ellis
  54. P2 18:15Shot by Bozak, saved by Ellis
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:37Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Ellis
  58. P3 2:50Shot by MacArthur, saved by Ellis
  59. P3 5:44Shot by Hall, saved by Giguere
  60. P3 5:46Goal by Stamkos (Hall, Ohlund)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Hall, Jones, Stamkos · TOR MacArthur, Lebda, Grabovski, Holzer, Kulemin

  61. P3 9:27Shot by Schenn, saved by Ellis
  62. P3 10:38Shot by Mitchell, saved by Ellis
  63. P3 11:17Shot by Versteeg, saved by Ellis
  64. P3 13:14Moore: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Malone, Moore, Lundin, Tyrell · TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak

  65. P3 14:29Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Ellis4v5
  66. P3 15:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Giguere
  67. P3 15:55Shot by St. Louis, saved by Giguere
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final