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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 11, 2010·Verizon Center, Washington

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Washington Capitals 6

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

WSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:02Shot by Semin, saved by Ellis
  3. P1 2:10Shot by Erskine, saved by Ellis
  4. P1 2:46Shot by Laich, saved by Ellis
  5. P1 2:49Shot by Green, saved by Ellis
  6. P1 4:35Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  7. P1 6:49Shot by Erskine, saved by Ellis
  8. P1 8:02Shot by Hall, saved by Neuvirth
  9. P1 8:09Shot by Stamkos, saved by Neuvirth
  10. P1 8:03Shot by Hall, saved by Neuvirth
  11. P1 8:58Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  12. P1 9:26Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  13. P1 9:27Goal by Purcell (Bergenheim, Thompson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Poti, Erskine, Laich, Fleischmann, Semin · TBL Ohlund, Bergenheim, Smaby, Purcell, Stamkos

  14. P1 10:04Shot by St. Louis, saved by Neuvirth
  15. P1 10:32Shot by Alzner, saved by Ellis
  16. P1 11:54Shot by Ritola, saved by Neuvirth
  17. P1 14:44Knuble: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Poti, Erskine, Ovechkin, Backstrom · TBL Clark, Kubina, St. Louis, Hall, Purcell, Stamkos

  18. P1 15:51Shot by Kubina, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  19. P1 16:30Shot by Semin, saved by Ellis4v5
  20. P1 17:12Carlson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Alzner, Carlson · TBL Hall, Thompson, Lundin, Tyrell, Hedman

  21. P1 18:13Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  22. P1 18:26Shot by Moore, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  23. P1 19:07Shot by Green, saved by Ellis4v5
  24. P1 19:53Shot by Thompson, saved by Neuvirth
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:56Shot by Laich, saved by Ellis
  28. P2 2:20Shot by Semin, saved by Ellis
  29. P2 2:21Goal by Poti (Semin, Backstrom)+23 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Poti, Erskine, Semin, Ovechkin, Backstrom · TBL Malone, Moore, Jones, Lundin, Tyrell

  30. P2 3:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Neuvirth
  31. P2 4:17Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Ellis
  32. P2 5:19Shot by Kubina, saved by Neuvirth
  33. P2 5:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Neuvirth
  34. P2 7:51Goal by Knuble (Laich, Fleischmann)+21 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Laich, Fleischmann, Schultz, Green · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Hall, Lundin, Stamkos

  35. P2 8:48Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  36. P2 9:02Shot by Backstrom, saved by Ellis
  37. P2 9:12Shot by Carlson, saved by Ellis
  38. P2 10:28Laich: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Steckel, Laich, Semin, Schultz, Green · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Jones, Stamkos

  39. P2 12:02Shot by Chimera, saved by Ellis4v5
  40. P2 12:12Shot by Hedman, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  41. P2 13:04Shot by Tyrell, saved by Neuvirth
  42. P2 13:14Shot by Malone, saved by Neuvirth
  43. P2 14:36Bradley: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hendricks, Steckel, Alzner, Carlson · TBL Kubina, Hall, Moore, Lundin, Ritola

  44. P2 14:36Hall: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hendricks, Steckel, Alzner, Carlson · TBL Kubina, Hall, Moore, Lundin, Ritola

  45. P2 16:16Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  46. P2 16:36Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  47. P2 16:58Shot by Hedman, saved by Neuvirth
  48. P2 17:36Shot by Clark, saved by Neuvirth
  49. P2 19:00Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:21Shot by Fehr, saved by Ellis
  53. P3 0:54Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  54. P3 2:02Shot by Lundin, saved by Neuvirth
  55. P3 2:03Erskine: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Poti, Erskine, Laich, Fleischmann · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Malone, Moore, Lundin, Stamkos

  56. P3 2:06Shot by Stamkos, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  57. P3 2:29Shot by Clark, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  58. P3 2:36Shot by St. Louis, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  59. P3 2:42Shot by St. Louis, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  60. P3 2:43Goal by Malone (St. Louis, Stamkos)4v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Poti, Laich, Schultz · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Ritola, Stamkos

  61. P3 3:17Shot by Alzner, saved by Ellis
  62. P3 3:42Shot by Bradley, saved by Ellis
  63. P3 4:17Moore: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Poti, Erskine, Semin, Ovechkin, Backstrom · TBL Ohlund, Moore, Bergenheim, Jones, Purcell

  64. P3 4:33Goal by Semin (Backstrom, Ovechkin)5v4+27 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Laich, Semin, Ovechkin, Green, Backstrom · TBL Ohlund, Hall, Thompson, Jones

  65. P3 5:18Shot by Chimera, saved by Ellis
  66. P3 5:25Shot by Carlson, saved by Ellis
  67. P3 7:58Shot by Malone, saved by Neuvirth
  68. P3 8:16Shot by Purcell, saved by Neuvirth
  69. P3 8:28Shot by Hall, saved by Neuvirth
  70. P3 9:24Shot by Hedman, saved by Neuvirth
  71. P3 10:46Goal by Semin (Backstrom, Ovechkin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Semin, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Alzner, Carlson · TBL Ohlund, Moore, Thompson, Jones, Tyrell

  72. P3 12:43Goal by Stamkos (Moore, St. Louis)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Fleischmann, Fehr, Schultz, Green · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Moore, Stamkos, Hedman

  73. P3 13:25Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ellis
  74. P3 15:08Goal by Ovechkin (Semin, Schultz)+11 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Poti, Erskine, Fleischmann, Semin, Ovechkin · TBL Kubina, Malone, Bergenheim, Purcell, Hedman

  75. P3 16:08Shot by Clark, saved by Neuvirth
  76. P3 18:23Shot by Kubina, saved by Neuvirth
  77. P3 18:37Shot by Malone, saved by Neuvirth5v6
  78. P3 19:10Shot by Malone, saved by Neuvirth5v6
  79. P3 19:44Goal by Semin (Backstrom, Carlson)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Semin, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Alzner, Carlson · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Bergenheim, Ritola, Purcell, Stamkos

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final