Sat, Nov 20, 2010·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, San Jose Sharks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 110 | 19 | 18 | 327 |
| SJS | 015 | 09 | 011 | 035 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:31CBJRick NashPPGWGAssists: Derick Brassard, Anton Stralman · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 15:55CBJRick NashAssists: Jakub Voracek, Fedor Tyutin · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–0
- P3 19:05CBJRick NashENAssists: R.J. Umberger, Marc Methot · Wrist, 0.66 xG3–0
Penalties (11)
- P1 2:50SJSJamal Mayers: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 18:15CBJAntoine Vermette: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 4:42SJSDan Boyle: Boarding2 min
- P2 6:57SJSDany Heatley: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:19CBJMike Commodore: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:49CBJDerick Brassard: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:52CBJR.J. Umberger: Slashing2 min
- P3 1:25SJSJoe Pavelski: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:38CBJRostislav Klesla: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:23SJSRyane Clowe: Fighting5 min
- P3 11:23CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Mitchell won the faceoff against Pahlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Umberger – Filatov10:03
xG 0.81–0.50 (62%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Nash – Brassard – Voracek11:02
xG 0.86–0.90 (49%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Clark – Pahlsson – Murray10:35
xG 0.22–0.27 (45%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Wilson – Boll6:03
xG 0.28–0.57 (33%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHejda – Stralman11:10
xG 0.45–0.23 (66%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Commodore – Tyutin13:35
xG 1.02–1.14 (47%)attempts 14–18goals 0–0
- Klesla – Methot17:22
xG 0.70–1.06 (40%)attempts 10–16goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Marleau – Heatley6:39
xG 0.67–0.18 (78%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Mitchell – McGinn – McCarthy4:57
xG 0.22–0.05 (82%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Mayers – Mitchell – McGinn2:31
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Thornton – Marleau – Setoguchi5:26
xG 0.17–0.13 (56%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoyle – Vlasic12:06
xG 0.95–0.42 (69%)attempts 15–12goals 0–1
- Wallin – Joslin9:19
xG 0.38–0.34 (53%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Boyle – Joslin2:47
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).