Sat, Nov 27, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 07 | 110 | 16 | 223 |
| LAK | 09 | 03 | 110 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 10:36CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–0
- P3 1:06CHIPatrick KaneGWGAssists: Tomas Kopecky, Patrick Sharp · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–0
- P3 14:58LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Jack Johnson, Ryan Smyth · Snap, 0.15 xG2–1
Penalties (12)
- P1 8:58LAKWayne Simmonds: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 19:59CHIPatrick Sharp: Hooking2 min
- P2 1:41LAKMichal Handzus: Interference2 min
- P2 11:44LAKKevin Westgarth: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:44CHIJohn Scott: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:45CHIViktor Stalberg: Boarding2 min
- P3 4:26CHIJassen Cullimore: Holding2 min
- P3 13:22CHIJonathan Toews: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 13:22CHIJonathan Toews: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:22LAKDustin Brown: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:54CHIDave Bolland: High sticking2 min
- P3 19:50LAKDrew Doughty: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDowell – Skille – Scott5:23
xG 0.72–0.10 (88%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Hossa – Kopecky – Sharp8:22
xG 0.19–0.02 (92%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Bolland – Bickell – Brouwer2:29
xG 0.09–0.02 (84%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Stalberg – Toews – Kane8:51
xG 0.25–0.29 (46%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoynton – Hjalmarsson2:42
xG 0.53–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook15:57
xG 0.51–0.49 (51%)attempts 18–14goals 0–0
- Cullimore – Boynton8:15
xG 0.08–0.16 (35%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestHandzus – Lewis – Clifford5:57
xG 0.37–0.05 (88%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Simmonds12:01
xG 0.42–0.27 (61%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Smyth – Williams – Stoll7:00
xG 0.19–0.17 (53%)attempts 7–2goals 0–1
- Smyth – Handzus – Williams2:17
xG 0.54–0.54 (50%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Johnson15:17
xG 0.73–0.37 (66%)attempts 8–15goals 0–0
- Greene – Drewiske8:49
xG 0.27–0.19 (58%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Johnson – Doughty2:17
xG 0.04–0.09 (28%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).