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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 2, 2010·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Washington Capitals 1, Dallas Stars 2

Away

Washington Capitals

1

Final

Home

Dallas Stars

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 56% of the time.

DAL winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Fehr, saved by Raycroft
  3. P1 0:34Shot by Hendricks, saved by Raycroft
  4. P1 3:41Shot by Backstrom, saved by Raycroft
  5. P1 3:50Shot by Knuble, saved by Raycroft
  6. P1 3:52Shot by Morrow, saved by Neuvirth
  7. P1 4:05Shot by Neal, saved by Neuvirth
  8. P1 4:32Shot by Fehr, saved by Raycroft
  9. P1 8:14Shot by Richards, saved by Neuvirth
  10. P1 8:45Shot by Chimera, saved by Raycroft
  11. P1 9:42Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Raycroft
  12. P1 10:22Shot by Gordon, saved by Raycroft
  13. P1 10:27Shot by Green, saved by Raycroft
  14. P1 12:19Shot by Alzner, saved by Raycroft
  15. P1 12:16Shot by Semin, saved by Raycroft
  16. P1 13:33Shot by Burish, saved by Neuvirth
  17. P1 13:34Shot by Burish, saved by Neuvirth
  18. P1 14:41Segal: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Barch, Woywitka, Segal, Daley, Wandell · WSH Bradley, Hendricks, Alzner, Carlson, Johansson

  19. P1 14:41Hendricks: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Barch, Woywitka, Segal, Daley, Wandell · WSH Bradley, Hendricks, Alzner, Carlson, Johansson

  20. P1 16:12Shot by Schultz, saved by Raycroft
  21. P1 16:13Shot by Semin, saved by Raycroft
  22. P1 16:44Shot by Burish, saved by Neuvirth
  23. P1 17:33Shot by Carlson, saved by Raycroft
  24. P1 19:03Shot by Eriksson, saved by Neuvirth
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P1 0:00Ovechkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Petersen, Ott, Burish, Grossmann · WSH Fehr, Ovechkin, Schultz, Green, Johansson

  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:58Shot by Robidas, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  29. P2 1:56Shot by Semin, saved by Raycroft5v4
  30. P2 2:00Niskanen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Richards, Ott, Eriksson, Niskanen, Neal · WSH Hendricks, Semin, Alzner, Carlson

  31. P2 2:35Shot by Backstrom, saved by Raycroft4v5
  32. P2 2:44Shot by Green, saved by Raycroft4v5
  33. P2 3:36Shot by Green, saved by Raycroft4v5
  34. P2 4:01Shot by Alzner, saved by Raycroft
  35. P2 4:23Shot by Alzner, saved by Raycroft
  36. P2 4:14Shot by Carlson, saved by Raycroft
  37. P2 4:45Shot by Skrastins, saved by Neuvirth
  38. P2 5:45Shot by Daley, saved by Neuvirth
  39. P2 6:20Shot by Knuble, saved by Raycroft
  40. P2 6:54Knuble: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Petersen, Ott, Burish, Grossmann · WSH Knuble, Steckel, Gordon, Schultz, Green

  41. P2 7:51Shot by Benn, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  42. P2 9:08Shot by Knuble, saved by Raycroft
  43. P2 9:47Schultz: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Richards, Eriksson, Niskanen · WSH Knuble, Ovechkin, Schultz, Green, Backstrom

  44. P2 12:12Hannan: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Petersen, Burish, Grossmann, Wandell · WSH Hannan, Chimera, Erskine, Hendricks, Schultz

  45. P2 12:07Shot by Grossmann, saved by Neuvirth
  46. P2 13:27Shot by Richards, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  47. P2 13:29Goal by Ribeiro (Richards, Neal)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Richards, Daley, Neal · WSH Semin, Schultz, Green, Johansson

  48. P2 15:01Shot by Fehr, saved by Raycroft
  49. P2 15:44Shot by Neal, saved by Neuvirth
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:44Alzner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Skrastins, Niskanen, Benn · WSH Laich, Semin, Ovechkin, Alzner, Carlson

  53. P3 3:57Shot by Grossmann, saved by Neuvirth
  54. P3 4:19Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Raycroft
  55. P3 4:26Shot by Fehr, saved by Raycroft
  56. P3 4:33Woywitka: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Woywitka, Segal, Daley · WSH Hannan, Erskine, Hendricks, Fehr, Ovechkin, Johansson

  57. P3 6:44Shot by Wandell, saved by Neuvirth
  58. P3 7:50Shot by Knuble, saved by Raycroft
  59. P3 7:58Shot by Chimera, saved by Raycroft
  60. P3 8:22Niskanen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Ott, Burish, Grossmann, Niskanen, Wandell · WSH Knuble, Ovechkin, Schultz, Green, Backstrom

  61. P3 8:25Shot by Green, saved by Raycroft4v5
  62. P3 8:56Shot by Ott, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  63. P3 9:07Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Raycroft4v5
  64. P3 9:48Shot by Benn, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  65. P3 10:18Goal by Knuble (Green, Fehr)4v5+33 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Skrastins, Ott, Eriksson · WSH Knuble, Hendricks, Fehr, Green, Carlson

  66. P3 10:38Goal by Segal (Morrow, Woywitka)+34 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Woywitka, Segal, Daley · WSH Bradley, Chimera, Alzner, Carlson, Johansson

  67. P3 11:58Shot by Backstrom, saved by Raycroft
  68. P3 12:03Shot by Semin, saved by Raycroft
  69. P3 12:38Shot by Chimera, saved by Raycroft
  70. P3 12:43Shot by Laich, saved by Raycroft
  71. P3 14:11Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Raycroft
  72. P3 17:24Shot by Johansson, saved by Raycroft
  73. P3 18:04Shot by Ott, saved by Neuvirth
  74. P3 18:45Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Raycroft5v6
  75. P3 19:52Hendricks: Abuse of officials (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Morrow, Skrastins, Ott, Burish · WSH Laich, Semin, Ovechkin, Green, Backstrom, Carlson

  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final