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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 4, 2010·Verizon Center, Washington

Atlanta Thrashers 3, Washington Capitals 1

Away

Atlanta Thrashers

3

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 68% of the time.

WSH winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Shot by Little, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:33Shot by Laich, saved by Pavelec
  4. P1 2:04Shot by Fehr, saved by Pavelec
  5. P1 3:17Shot by Backstrom, saved by Pavelec
  6. P1 4:14Shot by Stewart, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 4:20Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 7:06Shot by Carlson, saved by Pavelec
  9. P1 8:49Shot by Semin, saved by Pavelec
  10. P1 8:57Shot by Fehr, saved by Pavelec
  11. P1 8:58Enstrom: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Gordon, Fehr, Alzner, Carlson · ATL Thorburn, Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Little

  12. P1 9:55Shot by Green, saved by Pavelec5v4
  13. P1 9:57Shot by Laich, saved by Pavelec5v4
  14. P1 10:41Shot by Knuble, saved by Pavelec5v4
  15. P1 10:53Shot by Semin, saved by Pavelec5v4
  16. P1 11:03Shot by Carlson, saved by Pavelec
  17. P1 11:22Shot by Stapleton, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 11:24Shot by Boulton, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 11:45Shot by Chimera, saved by Pavelec
  20. P1 12:55Shot by Stewart, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 13:03Steckel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hendricks, Steckel, Schultz, Green · ATL Thorburn, Oduya, Stewart, Little, Bogosian

  22. P1 14:55Shot by Bogosian, saved by Varlamov4v5
  23. P1 16:18Shot by Fehr, saved by Pavelec
  24. P1 17:02Shot by Ladd, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 17:39Shot by Enstrom, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 18:25Shot by Steckel, saved by Pavelec
  27. P1 19:57Shot by Backstrom, saved by Pavelec
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:31Shot by Thorburn, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 0:37Shot by Oduya, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 1:06Shot by Peverley, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 1:26Shot by Knuble, saved by Pavelec
  34. P2 1:39Shot by Oduya, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 2:10Shot by Chimera, saved by Pavelec
  36. P2 2:43Shot by Chimera, saved by Pavelec
  37. P2 2:43Burmistrov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hannan, Chimera, Sloan, Gordon, Fehr · ATL Sopel, Antropov, Hainsey, Eager, Burmistrov

  38. P2 3:07Shot by Laich, saved by Pavelec5v4
  39. P2 4:04Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Pavelec5v4
  40. P2 4:10Shot by Green, saved by Pavelec5v4
  41. P2 4:14Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Pavelec5v4
  42. P2 4:22Shot by Chimera, saved by Pavelec5v4
  43. P2 4:52Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 4:46Shot by Chimera, saved by Pavelec
  45. P2 5:13Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 5:17Shot by Slater, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 7:11Shot by Stewart, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 7:57Goal by Peverley (Byfuglien, Ladd)+25 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Ovechkin, Schultz, Green, Backstrom · ATL Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley, Bergfors

  49. P2 8:42Shot by Ladd, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 9:29Goal by Burmistrov (Antropov, Eager)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hannan, Chimera, Sloan, Gordon, Fehr · ATL Sopel, Antropov, Hainsey, Eager, Burmistrov

  51. P2 10:22Shot by Green, saved by Pavelec
  52. P2 10:57Shot by Laich, saved by Pavelec
  53. P2 11:16Byfuglien: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WSH Laich, Semin, Ovechkin, Schultz, Green, Johansson · ATL Thorburn, Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Little

  54. P2 11:54Shot by Green, saved by Pavelec5v4
  55. P2 12:32Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Pavelec5v4
  56. P2 12:53Shot by Fehr, saved by Pavelec5v4
  57. P2 13:59Shot by Knuble, saved by Pavelec
  58. P2 15:21Shot by Backstrom, saved by Pavelec
  59. P2 16:53Shot by Sopel, saved by Varlamov
  60. P2 17:28Shot by Hainsey, saved by Varlamov
  61. P2 18:29Shot by Alzner, saved by Pavelec
  62. P2 18:55Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Pavelec
  63. P2 19:11Goal by Ovechkin (Semin, Carlson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Semin, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Alzner, Carlson · ATL Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley, Bergfors

  64. P2 19:47Shot by Hendricks, saved by Pavelec
  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:39Shot by Green, saved by Pavelec
  68. P3 1:43Shot by Eager, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 2:19Steckel: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hannan, Hendricks, Sloan, Steckel · ATL Boulton, Sopel, Slater, Enstrom, Stapleton

  70. P3 2:19Slater: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hannan, Hendricks, Sloan, Steckel · ATL Boulton, Sopel, Slater, Enstrom, Stapleton

  71. P3 2:19Steckel: Kneeing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hannan, Hendricks, Sloan, Steckel · ATL Boulton, Sopel, Slater, Enstrom, Stapleton

  72. P3 2:27Goal by Ladd (Peverley, Antropov)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Gordon, Schultz, Green, Backstrom · ATL Antropov, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley, Bogosian

  73. P3 3:14Shot by Alzner, saved by Pavelec
  74. P3 3:51Shot by Alzner, saved by Pavelec
  75. P3 5:16Shot by Fehr, saved by Pavelec
  76. P3 7:33Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Varlamov
  77. P3 7:46Shot by Stewart, saved by Varlamov
  78. P3 8:44Slater: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Laich, Schultz, Green, Johansson · ATL Boulton, Hainsey, Slater, Stapleton, Bogosian

  79. P3 9:00Shot by Laich, saved by Pavelec5v4
  80. P3 9:12Shot by Semin, saved by Pavelec5v4
  81. P3 10:11Shot by Bogosian, saved by Varlamov5v4
  82. P3 11:35Shot by Bradley, saved by Pavelec
  83. P3 11:43Byfuglien: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hannan, Chimera, Gordon, Schultz · ATL Hainsey, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley, Bergfors

  84. P3 12:12Shot by Green, saved by Pavelec5v4
  85. P3 13:56Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Varlamov
  86. P3 13:57Shot by Stewart, saved by Varlamov
  87. P3 14:17Shot by Eager, saved by Varlamov
  88. P3 14:53Shot by Bogosian, saved by Varlamov
  89. P3 15:33Shot by Carlson, saved by Pavelec
  90. P3 16:26Shot by Chimera, saved by Pavelec
  91. P3 16:39Shot by Ladd, saved by Varlamov
  92. P3 17:39Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Pavelec
  93. P3 18:12Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Varlamov
  94. P3 0:00Period end
  95. P3 0:00Final