Sat, Dec 11, 2010·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New York Rangers 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 012 | 111 | 010 | 133 |
| CBJ | 08 | 17 | 28 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 9:53NYRMarc StaalPPAssists: Ruslan Fedotenko, Brandon Dubinsky · Snap, 0.17 xG1–0
- P2 15:43CBJAntoine VermettePPAssists: R.J. Umberger, Rick Nash · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P3 14:51CBJRick NashGWGAssists: Jakub Voracek, Jan Hejda · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P3 18:48CBJRick NashAssists: Rostislav Klesla · Backhand, 0.17 xG1–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:24CBJDerek Dorsett: Charging2 min
- P2 1:56CBJMike Commodore: Holding2 min
- P2 4:15NYRSean Avery: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:09CBJAndrew Murray: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 14:41NYRErik Christensen: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 16:13CBJAntoine Vermette: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:28CBJRostislav Klesla: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Brassard won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Callahan – Anisimov10:41
xG 0.45–0.32 (58%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
- Fedotenko – Gaborik – Stepan12:13
xG 0.20–0.15 (57%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- White – Avery – Christensen3:59
xG 0.01–0.02 (40%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Frolov – Boyle – Prust8:28
xG 0.22–0.28 (43%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Del Zotto14:36
xG 0.78–0.10 (88%)attempts 17–6goals 0–0
- Sauer – Gilroy7:52
xG 0.35–0.26 (57%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Sauer – Del Zotto2:02
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Umberger – Sestito9:44
xG 0.32–0.15 (68%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Clark – MacKenzie – Murray6:09
xG 0.09–0.06 (61%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Moreau – Pahlsson – Dorsett10:46
xG 0.09–0.20 (31%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Nash – Brassard – Voracek10:24
xG 0.26–0.41 (38%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlesla – Methot16:44
xG 0.48–0.15 (77%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Commodore – Russell11:35
xG 0.23–0.54 (30%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Hejda15:44
xG 0.34–0.90 (27%)attempts 7–20goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).