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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 11, 2010·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Vancouver Canucks 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.

VAN winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Shot by Hall, saved by Schneider
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Thompson, saved by Schneider
  4. P1 1:03Shot by Gagne, saved by Schneider
  5. P1 1:05Shot by Malone, saved by Schneider
  6. P1 2:36Shot by Glass, saved by Ellis
  7. P1 3:18Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Schneider
  8. P1 3:44Shot by Rome, saved by Ellis
  9. P1 4:58Shot by Bieksa, saved by Ellis
  10. P1 8:02Shot by Purcell, saved by Schneider5v6
  11. P1 8:03Sedin: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Malone, Jones, Purcell, Stamkos

  12. P1 9:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Schneider4v5
  13. P1 10:23Goal by Sedin (Sedin, Burrows)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Alberts, Rome, Burrows · TBL Moore, Thompson, Jones, Tyrell, Hedman

  14. P1 13:09Shot by Tyrell, saved by Schneider
  15. P1 13:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Schneider
  16. P1 14:05Shot by Malone, saved by Schneider
  17. P1 14:05Goal by Thompson (Malone, Jones)+17 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Ballard, Burrows, Edler · TBL Kubina, Malone, Thompson, Jones, Tyrell

  18. P1 14:31Shot by Hansen, saved by Ellis
  19. P1 15:01Shot by St. Louis, saved by Schneider
  20. P1 15:12Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Ellis
  21. P1 16:46Shot by Smaby, saved by Schneider
  22. P1 16:52Shot by Jones, saved by Schneider
  23. P1 17:11Shot by Alberts, saved by Ellis
  24. P1 19:53Torres: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Torres, Alberts, Rome, Hansen · TBL Ohlund, Moore, Bergenheim, Smaby, Tyrell

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:05Shot by Purcell, saved by Schneider4v5
  28. P2 1:05Goal by Clark (Moore, Purcell)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows, Kesler · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Moore, Purcell, Stamkos

  29. P2 2:28Shot by Gagne, saved by Schneider
  30. P2 3:02Goal by Stamkos (Lundin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows · TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Pouliot, Lundin, Stamkos

  31. P2 3:16Hall: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Torres, Alberts, Rome, Hansen · TBL Clark, Hall, Moore, Bergenheim, Hedman

  32. P2 3:34Shot by Sedin, saved by Ellis5v4
  33. P2 4:17Shot by Malhotra, saved by Ellis5v4
  34. P2 4:47Shot by Ballard, saved by Ellis5v4
  35. P2 4:59Goal by Malhotra (Samuelsson, Schneider)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Samuelsson, Ballard, Burrows, Tambellini · TBL Moore, Bergenheim, Jones, Hedman

  36. P2 5:25Shot by Sedin, saved by Ellis
  37. P2 8:45Shot by Torres, saved by Ellis
  38. P2 10:03Shot by Andersson, saved by Ellis
  39. P2 11:18Shot by Sedin, saved by Ellis
  40. P2 13:01Goal by Purcell (Stamkos, St. Louis)+14 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Torres, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Hansen · TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Lundin, Purcell, Stamkos

  41. P2 14:29Hedman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Samuelsson, Alberts, Rome, Kesler, Tambellini · TBL Clark, Hall, Moore, Bergenheim, Hedman

  42. P2 16:53Shot by Malhotra, saved by Ellis
  43. P2 17:17Smaby: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Bieksa, Alberts, Glass, Hansen · TBL Kubina, Gagne, Malone, Smaby, Thompson

  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:33Shot by Kesler, saved by Ellis
  47. P3 1:43Shot by Edler, saved by Ellis
  48. P3 7:27Shot by Alberts, saved by Ellis
  49. P3 8:32Pouliot: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Bieksa, Burrows, Edler · TBL Clark, Hall, Moore, Bergenheim, Hedman

  50. P3 9:38Goal by Sedin (Sedin, Schneider)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Samuelsson, Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Kesler · TBL Malone, Moore, Lundin, Hedman

  51. P3 10:21Shot by Jones, saved by Schneider
  52. P3 12:08Shot by Bieksa, saved by Ellis
  53. P3 14:13Goal by Ballard, unassisted+37 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Andersson, Ballard, Kesler, Edler, Hansen · TBL Kubina, Hall, Moore, Bergenheim, Jones

  54. P3 15:55Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Ellis
  55. P3 16:48Shot by Tambellini, saved by Ellis
  56. P3 17:30Shot by Ballard, saved by Ellis
  57. P3 18:27Shot by Hansen, saved by Ellis
  58. P3 19:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Schneider5v6
  59. P3 19:23Kesler: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: VAN Samuelsson, Ballard, Burrows, Kesler, Edler · TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Bergenheim, Lundin, Purcell, Stamkos

  60. P3 19:34Shot by Malone, saved by Schneider4v5
  61. P3 19:50Shot by Edler, saved by Ellis4v5
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. OT 0:00Period start
  64. OT 0:34Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis, Malone)3v4+47 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Ballard, Edler · TBL St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos

  65. OT 0:34Period end
  66. OT 0:34Final