Wed, Dec 15, 2010·Prudential Center, Newark
Phoenix Coyotes 0, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 010 | 011 | 08 | 029 |
| NJD | 211 | 08 | 110 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:30NJDIlya KovalchukGWGAssists: Dainius Zubrus · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 13:18NJDMark FayneAssists: Patrik Elias, Travis Zajac · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–2
- P3 4:49NJDIlya KovalchukPPAssists: Travis Zajac, Patrik Elias · Slap, 0.13 xG0–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:12NJDRod Pelley: Interference2 min
- P1 13:51PHXKeith Yandle: Interference2 min
- P1 18:10NJDJamie Langenbrunner: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 2:56PHXShane Doan: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 4:41PHXSami Lepisto: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:28PHXMartin Hanzal: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 18:08NJDDavid Clarkson: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Rolston won the faceoff against Fiddler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestFiddler – Upshall – Korpikoski5:06
xG 0.38–0.30 (56%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Whitney – Doan – Belanger2:18
xG 0.07–0.05 (56%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Pyatt – Stempniak – Turris13:08
xG 0.44–0.52 (46%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Doan – Belanger – Wolski8:24
xG 0.15–0.27 (35%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMorris – Yandle16:07
xG 0.77–0.56 (58%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
- Lepisto – Ekman-Larsson11:51
xG 0.46–0.34 (58%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Jovanovski13:37
xG 0.28–0.78 (27%)attempts 10–15goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestArnott – Zubrus – Kovalchuk10:22
xG 0.65–0.11 (86%)attempts 11–2goals 1–0
- Langenbrunner – Elias – Zajac8:56
xG 0.34–0.21 (61%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Mair – Sestito – Pelley7:48
xG 0.14–0.12 (54%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Rolston – Clarkson – Tedenby6:01
xG 0.09–0.41 (17%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWhite – Tallinder15:41
xG 0.70–0.22 (76%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Fayne – Greene10:29
xG 0.31–0.29 (52%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Volchenkov – Salmela12:43
xG 0.59–0.86 (40%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).