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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 16, 2010·American Airlines Center, Dallas

San Jose Sharks 4, Dallas Stars 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 97% of the time.

DAL winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:55Shot by Marleau, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 3:17Shot by Huskins, saved by Lehtonen
  4. P1 3:23Shot by McGinn, saved by Lehtonen
  5. P1 4:32Shot by Morrow, saved by Niittymaki
  6. P1 6:03Woywitka: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Petersen, Ott, Woywitka, Daley, Eriksson · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Huskins, Heatley, Demers

  7. P1 6:24Petersen: Delaying game (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Skrastins, Petersen, Burish · SJS Boyle, Clowe, Pavelski, Ferriero, Couture

  8. P1 6:41Shot by Thornton, saved by Lehtonen3v5
  9. P1 6:53Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehtonen3v5
  10. P1 7:13Shot by Pavelski, saved by Lehtonen3v5
  11. P1 7:43Shot by Heatley, saved by Lehtonen3v5
  12. P1 7:54Shot by Thornton, saved by Lehtonen3v5
  13. P1 8:04Shot by Marleau, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  14. P1 8:12Shot by Woywitka, saved by Niittymaki4v5
  15. P1 9:31Shot by Eriksson, saved by Niittymaki
  16. P1 10:02Shot by Braun, saved by Lehtonen
  17. P1 10:05Goal by Setoguchi (Pavelski, Braun)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Skrastins, Segal, Fistric · SJS Wallin, Pavelski, Setoguchi, McGinn, Braun

  18. P1 11:07Shot by Eriksson, saved by Niittymaki
  19. P1 11:18Shot by Demers, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 11:29Shot by Huskins, saved by Lehtonen
  21. P1 12:34Burish: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Ott, Woywitka, Segal, Burish, Daley · SJS Boyle, Clowe, Vlasic, Ferriero, Couture

  22. P1 12:48Shot by Marleau, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  23. P1 14:43Shot by Wandell, saved by Niittymaki
  24. P1 16:37Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehtonen
  25. P1 16:46Shot by Thornton, saved by Lehtonen
  26. P1 18:35Mayers: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Richards, Eriksson, Grossmann, Neal · SJS Mayers, Nichol, Huskins, Clowe, Demers

  27. P1 19:09Goal by Morrow (Eriksson, Robidas)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Richards, Eriksson · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Vlasic

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:46Shot by Robidas, saved by Niittymaki
  31. P2 1:41Shot by Benn, saved by Niittymaki
  32. P2 4:14Shot by Richards, saved by Niittymaki
  33. P2 4:18Shot by Fistric, saved by Niittymaki
  34. P2 4:55Shot by Pavelski, saved by Lehtonen
  35. P2 4:57Shot by Pavelski, saved by Lehtonen
  36. P2 5:09Shot by Demers, saved by Lehtonen
  37. P2 5:25Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Niittymaki
  38. P2 8:35McGinn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Richards, Eriksson · SJS Wallin, Pavelski, Setoguchi, McGinn, Braun

  39. P2 9:26Goal by Eriksson (Richards, Robidas)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Richards, Eriksson · SJS Nichol, Marleau, Boyle, Vlasic

  40. P2 10:03Goal by Mitchell (Heatley, Huskins)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Petersen, Ott, Burish, Grossmann · SJS Thornton, Huskins, Heatley, Mitchell, Demers

  41. P2 11:49Goal by Setoguchi (Pavelski, Wallin)+26 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Richards, Woywitka, Daley, Eriksson, Neal · SJS Wallin, Pavelski, Setoguchi, McGinn, Braun

  42. P2 13:57Shot by Demers, saved by Lehtonen
  43. P2 19:28Shot by Demers, saved by Lehtonen
  44. P2 19:59Shot by Richards, saved by Niittymaki
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:52Shot by Daley, saved by Niittymaki
  48. P3 3:10Shot by Heatley, saved by Lehtonen
  49. P3 3:25Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehtonen
  50. P3 4:23Shot by Clowe, saved by Lehtonen
  51. P3 4:24Skrastins: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Richards, Skrastins, Ott, Burish, Fistric · SJS Marleau, Wallin, Clowe, Braun, Couture

  52. P3 5:27Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  53. P3 5:52Shot by Demers, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  54. P3 7:02Shot by Benn, saved by Niittymaki
  55. P3 7:47Shot by Neal, saved by Niittymaki
  56. P3 7:56Goal by Wandell (Ott)+32 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Ott, Woywitka, Burish, Daley, Wandell · SJS Nichol, Marleau, Boyle, Clowe, Vlasic

  57. P3 8:19Shot by Marleau, saved by Lehtonen
  58. P3 8:26Shot by Couture, saved by Lehtonen
  59. P3 9:55Shot by McGinn, saved by Lehtonen5v6
  60. P3 9:56Skrastins: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Skrastins, Ott, Burish, Fistric, Wandell · SJS Marleau, Boyle, Pavelski, Setoguchi, Vlasic, McGinn

  61. P3 10:02Shot by Pavelski, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  62. P3 11:09Shot by Clowe, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  63. P3 11:31Shot by Benn, saved by Niittymaki4v5
  64. P3 13:58Shot by Demers, saved by Lehtonen
  65. P3 14:25Shot by McGinn, saved by Lehtonen
  66. P3 15:24Shot by Clowe, saved by Lehtonen
  67. P3 18:31Shot by Pavelski, saved by Lehtonen
  68. P3 19:10Ribeiro: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Burish, Grossmann · SJS Thornton, Heatley, Wallin, Mitchell, Braun

  69. P3 19:29Shot by Pavelski, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  70. P3 19:43Shot by Marleau, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  71. P3 19:48Shot by Pavelski, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 0:55Shot by Marleau, saved by Lehtonen3v4
  75. OT 1:10Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehtonen3v4
  76. OT 1:20Goal by Couture (Boyle)3v4+47 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Burish, Grossmann · SJS Boyle, Clowe, Pavelski, Couture

  77. OT 1:20Period end
  78. OT 1:20Final