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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 20, 2010·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Atlanta Thrashers 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.

TOR winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Shot by Little, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 2:24Goal by Modin (Hainsey, Slater)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Komisarek, Sjostrom, Armstrong, Brent · ATL Modin, Sopel, Hainsey, Thorburn, Slater

  4. P1 2:45Orr: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Orr, Phaneuf, Mitchell, Lebda, Gunnarsson · ATL Boulton, Thorburn, Oduya, Slater, Bogosian

  5. P1 2:52Goal by Enstrom (Byfuglien)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf · ATL Antropov, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley

  6. P1 5:52Shot by Schenn, saved by Pavelec
  7. P1 7:27Shot by Peverley, saved by Gustavsson
  8. P1 8:04Shot by Armstrong, saved by Pavelec
  9. P1 8:12Shot by Kaberle, saved by Pavelec
  10. P1 8:33Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Gustavsson
  11. P1 8:59Shot by Slater, saved by Gustavsson
  12. P1 10:05Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 10:13Shot by Schenn, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 10:24Shot by MacArthur, saved by Pavelec
  15. P1 10:46Shot by Kulemin, saved by Pavelec
  16. P1 11:24Shot by Armstrong, saved by Pavelec
  17. P1 12:51Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  18. P1 13:26Shot by Mitchell, saved by Pavelec
  19. P1 15:21Shot by Stapleton, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P1 17:45Shot by Versteeg, saved by Pavelec
  21. P1 18:18Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  22. P1 18:41Shot by Sjostrom, saved by Pavelec
  23. P1 0:00Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Gustavsson
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 2:53Shot by Boulton, saved by Gustavsson
  27. P2 4:23Shot by Antropov, saved by Gustavsson
  28. P2 5:05Shot by Schenn, saved by Pavelec
  29. P2 6:23Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Pavelec
  30. P2 6:34Slater: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Mitchell, Lebda, Kessel, Schenn · ATL Boulton, Thorburn, Oduya, Slater, Bogosian

  31. P2 7:37Shot by Oduya, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  32. P2 8:15Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Pavelec5v4
  33. P2 8:49Shot by Kane, saved by Gustavsson
  34. P2 10:21Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Pavelec
  35. P2 10:28Shot by Versteeg, saved by Pavelec
  36. P2 10:43Shot by Stapleton, saved by Gustavsson
  37. P2 12:35Shot by Stapleton, saved by Gustavsson
  38. P2 13:07Byfuglien: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Sjostrom, Armstrong, Brent, Schenn · ATL Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Kane, Burmistrov

  39. P2 13:52Shot by MacArthur, saved by Pavelec5v4
  40. P2 14:20Shot by Kaberle, saved by Pavelec5v4
  41. P2 14:22Goal by Mitchell (Kessel, Kaberle)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Mitchell, Versteeg, Grabovski, Kessel · ATL Modin, Sopel, Oduya, Kane

  42. P2 15:44Shot by Komisarek, saved by Pavelec
  43. P2 15:53Shot by Kulemin, saved by Pavelec
  44. P2 16:32Kane: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Mitchell, Lebda, Versteeg, Gunnarsson, Schenn · ATL Antropov, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Peverley, Kane

  45. P2 17:12Shot by Peverley, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  46. P2 19:04Goal by Modin (Enstrom, Byfuglien)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Sjostrom, Armstrong, Brent, Gunnarsson, Schenn · ATL Modin, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Stapleton, Burmistrov

  47. P2 19:59Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:35Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec
  51. P3 0:56Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  52. P3 2:42Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Pavelec
  53. P3 3:00Shot by Mitchell, saved by Pavelec
  54. P3 3:04Goal by Stewart (Little)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Mitchell, Lebda, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · ATL Oduya, Stewart, Little, Bogosian, Kane

  55. P3 4:19Goal by Enstrom (Little, Stewart)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, Versteeg, Kessel, Bozak · ATL Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Little, Kane

  56. P3 5:02Shot by Brent, saved by Pavelec
  57. P3 5:56Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec
  58. P3 6:44Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec
  59. P3 7:10Shot by Peverley, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 10:44Shot by Boulton, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 12:06Shot by Thorburn, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 12:46Enstrom: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, MacArthur, Grabovski, Gunnarsson · ATL Antropov, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley

  63. P3 12:55Goal by Grabovski (MacArthur, Kaberle)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Versteeg, Grabovski, Kulemin · ATL Sopel, Oduya, Little, Kane

  64. P3 13:10Goal by Kulemin (Versteeg, Grabovski)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Versteeg, Grabovski, Kulemin · ATL Sopel, Oduya, Little, Kane

  65. P3 13:30Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  66. P3 13:09Shot by Versteeg, saved by Pavelec5v4
  67. P3 14:27Shot by Thorburn, saved by Reimer
  68. P3 15:50Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec
  69. P3 15:52Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec
  70. P3 18:10Shot by Mitchell, saved by Pavelec6v5
  71. P3 18:19Shot by Versteeg, saved by Pavelec6v5
  72. P3 18:23Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec6v5
  73. P3 19:35Goal by Ladd (Thorburn, Enstrom)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kessel, Kulemin · ATL Thorburn, Slater, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final