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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 21, 2010·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Anaheim Ducks 2, Buffalo Sabres 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 87% of the time.

BUF winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Parros, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:54Shot by Rivet, saved by McElhinney
  4. P1 2:10Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  5. P1 3:45Blake: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Stafford, Myers · ANA Lilja, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Sbisa

  6. P1 4:43Goal by Stafford (Roy, Myers)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Stafford, Myers · ANA Lydman, Lilja, Perry, Ryan

  7. P1 5:26Shot by Myers, saved by McElhinney
  8. P1 6:38Shot by Ryan, saved by Miller
  9. P1 7:20Shot by Montador, saved by McElhinney
  10. P1 7:22Shot by Montador, saved by McElhinney
  11. P1 8:46Shot by Stafford, saved by McElhinney
  12. P1 10:00Shot by Gerbe, saved by McElhinney
  13. P1 10:03Shot by Rivet, saved by McElhinney
  14. P1 10:05Goal by Gerbe (Rivet, Gaustad)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Rivet, Gaustad, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber · ANA Marchant, Green, Sutton, Lupul, Sbisa

  15. P1 12:14Shot by Perry, saved by Miller
  16. P1 13:36Blake: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Montador, Kaleta, Gerbe · ANA Blake, Parros, Visnovsky, Chipchura, Fowler

  17. P1 13:36Blake: Game misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Montador, Kaleta, Gerbe · ANA Blake, Parros, Visnovsky, Chipchura, Fowler

  18. P1 13:40Shot by Roy, saved by McElhinney5v4
  19. P1 13:47Shot by Vanek, saved by McElhinney5v4
  20. P1 15:28Shot by Sekera, saved by McElhinney5v4
  21. P1 16:55Shot by Sekera, saved by McElhinney5v4
  22. P1 16:57Goal by Ennis (Sekera, Leopold)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Sekera, Gerbe, Ennis · ANA Sutton, Perry, Sbisa, McMillan

  23. P1 17:33Shot by Leopold, saved by McElhinney5v4
  24. P1 17:51Shot by Ennis, saved by McElhinney5v4
  25. P1 18:36Shot by Gerbe, saved by McElhinney5v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:01Getzlaf: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, McCormick, Sekera, Myers · ANA Lilja, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Fowler

  29. P2 0:01McCormick: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, McCormick, Sekera, Myers · ANA Lilja, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Fowler

  30. P2 0:06Chipchura: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Gaustad, Sekera, Myers · ANA Lilja, Perry, Chipchura, Ryan, Fowler

  31. P2 0:06Gaustad: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Gaustad, Sekera, Myers · ANA Lilja, Perry, Chipchura, Ryan, Fowler

  32. P2 0:15Shot by Selanne, saved by Miller
  33. P2 0:30Montador: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Montador, Roy, Vanek, Ennis · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Marchant, Lydman, Visnovsky, McMillan

  34. P2 2:59Shot by Ryan, saved by Miller
  35. P2 4:28Shot by Vanek, saved by McElhinney
  36. P2 4:40Goal by Ennis (Roy, Leopold)+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Montador, Roy, Vanek, Ennis · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Lilja, McMillan, Fowler

  37. P2 5:30Shot by Stafford, saved by McElhinney
  38. P2 6:06Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  39. P2 6:37Shot by Grier, saved by McElhinney
  40. P2 7:36Shot by Montador, saved by McElhinney
  41. P2 7:40Shot by Stafford, saved by McElhinney
  42. P2 8:07Shot by Stafford, saved by McElhinney
  43. P2 8:12Shot by Roy, saved by McElhinney
  44. P2 8:18Shot by Vanek, saved by McElhinney
  45. P2 9:28Shot by McMillan, saved by Miller
  46. P2 9:58Weber: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Rivet, Grier, Gaustad, Gerbe, Weber · ANA Marchant, Sutton, Parros, Sbisa, McMillan

  47. P2 9:58Parros: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Rivet, Grier, Gaustad, Gerbe, Weber · ANA Marchant, Sutton, Parros, Sbisa, McMillan

  48. P2 11:31Shot by Hecht, saved by McElhinney
  49. P2 11:55Shot by Lilja, saved by Miller
  50. P2 12:28Shot by Roy, saved by McElhinney
  51. P2 13:48Shot by Hecht, saved by McElhinney
  52. P2 14:13Shot by McCormick, saved by McElhinney
  53. P2 15:56Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  54. P2 16:15Shot by Pominville, saved by McElhinney
  55. P2 16:30Hecht: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Grier, Hecht, Montador, Stafford, Sekera · ANA Green, Sutton, Lilja, Lupul, Chipchura

  56. P2 16:55Shot by Selanne, saved by Miller4v5
  57. P2 17:42Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Miller4v5
  58. P2 18:28Shot by Ryan, saved by Miller4v5
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:09Fowler: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pominville, Stafford, Sekera, Myers · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Visnovsky, McMillan, Fowler

  62. P3 1:32Shot by Myers, saved by McElhinney5v4
  63. P3 2:28Shot by Hecht, saved by McElhinney5v4
  64. P3 2:29Shot by Hecht, saved by McElhinney5v4
  65. P3 3:36Shot by Leopold, saved by McElhinney
  66. P3 5:36Shot by Montador, saved by McElhinney
  67. P3 6:06Perry: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Montador, Roy, Vanek, Ennis · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Sbisa, Fowler

  68. P3 6:29Shot by Lydman, saved by Miller5v4
  69. P3 7:13Shot by Myers, saved by McElhinney5v4
  70. P3 7:36Shot by Sbisa, saved by Miller5v4
  71. P3 8:50Shot by McMillan, saved by Miller
  72. P3 9:51Shot by Sutton, saved by Miller
  73. P3 9:59Shot by Sutton, saved by Miller
  74. P3 11:13Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Miller
  75. P3 11:31Shot by Pominville, saved by McElhinney
  76. P3 11:55Shot by Weber, saved by McElhinney
  77. P3 12:16Shot by Perry, saved by Miller
  78. P3 15:03Shot by Ryan, saved by Miller
  79. P3 15:22Hecht: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pominville, Stafford, Sekera, Myers · ANA Koivu, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Fowler

  80. P3 15:36Goal by Perry (Selanne, Fowler)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Grier, Leopold, Gaustad, Montador · ANA Selanne, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler

  81. P3 17:03Goal by Rivet (Niedermayer)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Rivet, Niedermayer, Grier, McCormick, Weber · ANA Lydman, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan

  82. P3 18:15Shot by Stafford, saved by McElhinney
  83. P3 18:58Montador: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Montador, Roy, Stafford, Ennis · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Sutton, Lilja, McMillan

  84. P3 19:20Shot by Hecht, saved by McElhinney4v5
  85. P3 19:51Goal by Perry (Selanne, Getzlaf)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Rivet, Hecht, Leopold, Pominville · ANA Selanne, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler

  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final