Thu, Dec 23, 2010·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Vancouver Canucks 7, Columbus Blue Jackets 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 317 | 37 | 16 | 730 |
| CBJ | 05 | 16 | 216 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:08VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Deflected, 0.20 xG1–0
- P1 12:04VANChristian EhrhoffAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexandre Burrows · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–0
- P1 13:13VANRaffi TorresAssists: Andrew Alberts · Tip-in, 0.01 xG3–0
- P2 4:13VANDaniel SedinGWGAssists: Alexander Edler, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.16 xG4–0
- P2 8:43VANRyan KeslerAssists: Jannik Hansen, Jeff Tambellini · Wrist, 0.15 xG5–0
- P2 12:46VANHenrik SedinAssists: Daniel Sedin, Alexandre Burrows · Wrist, 0.07 xG6–0
- P2 15:49CBJR.J. UmbergerAssists: Antoine Vermette · Wrap-around, 0.03 xG6–1
- P3 6:46VANRaffi TorresPPAssists: Dan Hamhuis, Mikael Samuelsson · Tip-in, 0.26 xG7–1
- P3 9:08CBJR.J. UmbergerAssists: Jakub Voracek · Wrist, 0.05 xG7–2
- P3 12:20CBJTom SestitoAssists: Kris Russell, Kyle Wilson · Tip-in, 0.37 xG7–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 19:20CBJTom Sestito: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:20CBJTom Sestito: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:20VANKevin Bieksa: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:04VANJeff Tambellini: Holding2 min
- P2 13:43CBJJakub Voracek: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 18:45CBJRick Nash: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:51CBJAntoine Vermette: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 4:51CBJAntoine Vermette: Cross checking2 min
- P3 0:00VANKeith Ballard: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:00CBJDerek Dorsett: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Malhotra won the faceoff against Wilson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows10:17
xG 0.92–0.66 (58%)attempts 12–9goals 4–0
- Bolduc – Glass – Volpatti7:30
xG 0.17–0.24 (41%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Kesler – Tambellini – Hansen9:47
xG 0.43–0.60 (41%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Malhotra – Samuelsson – Torres9:06
xG 0.06–0.80 (6%)attempts 5–10goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Hamhuis – Bieksa16:27
xG 0.56–0.79 (41%)attempts 16–17goals 2–0
- Alberts – Ballard14:48
xG 0.08–0.43 (16%)attempts 6–14goals 1–0
- Ehrhoff – Edler12:42
xG 0.79–1.39 (36%)attempts 13–17goals 3–2
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestUmberger – Brassard – Voracek12:56
xG 0.98–0.09 (91%)attempts 16–7goals 1–0
- Huselius – Vermette – Nash12:46
xG 0.59–0.19 (76%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Wilson – Boll – Sestito8:08
xG 0.38–0.22 (64%)attempts 2–6goals 1–2
- Moreau – Pahlsson – Dorsett7:34
xG 0.50–0.74 (41%)attempts 10–13goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- bestHejda – Methot10:39
xG 1.42–0.27 (84%)attempts 20–6goals 1–1
- Klesla – Tyutin9:53
xG 0.25–0.15 (62%)attempts 11–7goals 0–2
- Russell – Stralman15:01
xG 0.19–0.24 (44%)attempts 7–14goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).