Mon, Dec 27, 2010·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Minnesota Wild 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 111 | 114 | 111 | 04 | 1 | 340 |
| CBJ | 07 | 16 | 28 | 01 | 3 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:59MINChuck KobasewAssists: Nick Schultz, Brad Staubitz · Wrist, 0.30 xG1–0
- P2 9:16CBJDerick BrassardAssists: Kristian Huselius, Rick Nash · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 19:58MINMikko KoivuAssists: Antti Miettinen, Marek Zidlicky · Tip-in, 0.04 xG2–1
- P3 6:54CBJFedor TyutinAssists: Jared Boll, Rick Nash · Slap, 0.02 xG2–2
- P3 7:35CBJAndrew MurrayAssists: Marc Methot, Samuel Pahlsson · Wrap-around, 0.04 xG2–3
- P3 11:38MINCal ClutterbuckAssists: Marek Zidlicky, Chuck Kobasew · Tip-in, 0.03 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Rick Nash scored
- 2. MIN Mikko Koivu stopped
- 3. CBJ Kyle Wilson scored
- 4. MIN Pierre-Marc Bouchard scored
- 5. CBJ Kristian Huselius scored
Penalties (17)
- P1 9:29CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:29MINBrad Staubitz: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:10CBJMarc Methot: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:29CBJSamuel Pahlsson: Holding2 min
- P2 2:48CBJMike Commodore: Boarding5 min
- P2 5:24MINKyle Brodziak: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 6:57CBJFedor Tyutin: Elbowing2 min
- P2 10:05CBJSamuel Pahlsson: Interference2 min
- P2 18:33CBJJared Boll: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:33MINBrad Staubitz: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:27MINBrad Staubitz: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:27CBJTom Sestito: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:15CBJMarc Methot: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:15CBJMarc Methot: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:15MINCam Barker: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:49MINAndrew Brunette: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:49CBJDerick Brassard: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Pahlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestCullen – Kobasew – Staubitz2:43
xG 0.38–0.04 (91%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Madden – Kobasew – Nystrom2:05
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Madden – Nystrom – Clutterbuck8:04
xG 0.04–0.10 (29%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Havlat – Bouchard – Brodziak9:30
xG 0.13–0.30 (29%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Scandella12:49
xG 0.62–0.11 (84%)attempts 18–6goals 0–1
- Schultz – Zanon13:06
xG 0.70–0.37 (66%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Zidlicky – Barker10:47
xG 0.11–0.68 (14%)attempts 3–11goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMoreau – Clark – Pahlsson4:34
xG 0.50–0.16 (76%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Umberger – Sestito – Brassard6:18
xG 0.18–0.11 (62%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Huselius – Vermette – Nash10:57
xG 0.33–0.28 (54%)attempts 13–7goals 0–1
- Moreau – Pahlsson – Murray3:31
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHejda – Methot12:13
xG 0.67–0.35 (66%)attempts 9–13goals 1–0
- Commodore – Russell10:24
xG 0.19–0.18 (52%)attempts 9–4goals 1–1
- Tyutin – Stralman14:02
xG 0.42–0.42 (50%)attempts 14–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).