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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 28, 2010·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Dallas Stars 4, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 75% of the time.

NSH winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Raycroft
  3. P1 1:53Shot by Dumont, saved by Raycroft
  4. P1 2:09Belak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Belak, O'Brien, Franson, Spaling, Mueller · DAL Robidas, Barch, Petersen, Fistric, Gagnon

  5. P1 2:09Belak: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Belak, O'Brien, Franson, Spaling, Mueller · DAL Robidas, Barch, Petersen, Fistric, Gagnon

  6. P1 2:09Barch: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Belak, O'Brien, Franson, Spaling, Mueller · DAL Robidas, Barch, Petersen, Fistric, Gagnon

  7. P1 3:37Shot by Richards, saved by Rinne4v5
  8. P1 4:17Shot by Dumont, saved by Raycroft
  9. P1 4:40Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft
  10. P1 4:41Woywitka: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Dumont, Bouillon, Klein, O'Reilly, Hornqvist · DAL Ott, Woywitka, Daley, Neal, Benn

  11. P1 5:20Shot by Goc, saved by Raycroft5v4
  12. P1 6:26Shot by Franson, saved by Raycroft5v4
  13. P1 6:33Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft5v4
  14. P1 6:38Shot by Suter, saved by Raycroft5v4
  15. P1 6:44Shot by Daley, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 7:17Shot by Sutherby, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 8:59Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 9:06Shot by Petersen, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 9:14Shot by Robidas, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 9:34Shot by Barch, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 9:35Shot by Petersen, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 10:40Shot by Weber, saved by Raycroft
  23. P1 12:30Shot by Suter, saved by Raycroft
  24. P1 14:39Shot by Klasen, saved by Raycroft
  25. P1 15:16Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft
  26. P1 16:26Barch: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Ward, Suter, Klein, Wilson · DAL Barch, Skrastins, Petersen, Gagnon, Niskanen

  27. P1 16:53Dumont: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Dumont, Goc, Franson, O'Reilly, Klasen · DAL Robidas, Skrastins, Petersen, Burish

  28. P1 17:59Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft4v4
  29. P1 18:09Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft4v4
  30. P1 18:10Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft4v4
  31. P1 19:54Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Raycroft
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:53Shot by Eriksson, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 1:19Shot by Goc, saved by Raycroft
  36. P2 1:47Fistric: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Goc, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Klasen · DAL Robidas, Ott, Eriksson, Fistric, Neal

  37. P2 1:56Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft5v4
  38. P2 2:33Shot by Weber, saved by Raycroft5v4
  39. P2 2:55Shot by Suter, saved by Raycroft5v4
  40. P2 3:02Shot by Dumont, saved by Raycroft5v4
  41. P2 3:14Shot by Klasen, saved by Raycroft5v4
  42. P2 3:35Shot by Franson, saved by Raycroft5v4
  43. P2 4:26Shot by Ward, saved by Raycroft
  44. P2 4:39Goal by Ott (Eriksson, Richards)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Ward, Klein, Spaling · DAL Richards, Ott, Woywitka, Daley, Eriksson

  45. P2 4:59Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft
  46. P2 5:33Shot by O'Brien, saved by Raycroft
  47. P2 5:36Burish: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Dumont, O'Brien, Franson, O'Reilly, Hornqvist · DAL Robidas, Ott, Burish, Fistric, Neal

  48. P2 5:36O'Brien: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Dumont, O'Brien, Franson, O'Reilly, Hornqvist · DAL Robidas, Ott, Burish, Fistric, Neal

  49. P2 5:46Shot by Weber, saved by Raycroft4v4
  50. P2 7:21Daley: Interference (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Klein, Hornqvist, Wilson · DAL Ott, Woywitka, Daley, Neal

  51. P2 8:20Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Raycroft5v4
  52. P2 9:22Shot by Franson, saved by Raycroft
  53. P2 9:35Shot by Richards, saved by Rinne
  54. P2 10:38Shot by Morrow, saved by Rinne
  55. P2 11:08Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Rinne
  56. P2 11:57Shot by Weber, saved by Raycroft
  57. P2 13:25Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne
  58. P2 16:55Shot by Dumont, saved by Raycroft
  59. P2 17:38Shot by Neal, saved by Rinne
  60. P2 17:42O'Brien: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH O'Brien, Franson, Spaling, Mueller, Wilson · DAL Skrastins, Ott, Burish, Daley, Neal

  61. P2 17:42Ott: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH O'Brien, Franson, Spaling, Mueller, Wilson · DAL Skrastins, Ott, Burish, Daley, Neal

  62. P2 17:42Ott: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH O'Brien, Franson, Spaling, Mueller, Wilson · DAL Skrastins, Ott, Burish, Daley, Neal

  63. P2 19:00Goal by Wilson (Dumont, Kostitsyn)5v4+28 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Dumont, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Wilson · DAL Petersen, Burish, Daley, Fistric

  64. P2 19:23Shot by Spaling, saved by Raycroft
  65. P2 19:59Shot by Dumont, saved by Raycroft
  66. P2 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Period start
  68. P3 0:32Goal by Wilson (Ward, Smithson)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Ward, Klein, Wilson · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Woywitka, Daley, Benn

  69. P3 0:55Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft
  70. P3 1:44Goal by Eriksson (Benn, Skrastins)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Goc, Franson, Kostitsyn, Klasen · DAL Richards, Skrastins, Eriksson, Niskanen, Benn

  71. P3 3:27Shot by Morrow, saved by Rinne
  72. P3 3:27Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne
  73. P3 3:29Klein: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Dumont, Bouillon, Klein, O'Reilly, Hornqvist · DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Fistric, Benn

  74. P3 5:20Shot by Neal, saved by Rinne4v5
  75. P3 6:13Shot by Franson, saved by Raycroft
  76. P3 6:37Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne
  77. P3 8:02Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft
  78. P3 8:18Goal by Fistric, unassisted+33 pts WP

    On ice: NSH O'Brien, Franson, Spaling, Mueller, Wilson · DAL Robidas, Ott, Burish, Fistric, Neal

  79. P3 9:16Shot by Bouillon, saved by Raycroft
  80. P3 10:03Shot by Sutherby, saved by Rinne
  81. P3 10:05Goal by Barch (Sutherby, Niskanen)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Ward, Weber, Wilson · DAL Barch, Sutherby, Woywitka, Daley, Gagnon

  82. P3 10:58Shot by Weber, saved by Raycroft
  83. P3 11:01Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft
  84. P3 11:02Neal: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Dumont, Suter, Weber, O'Reilly, Hornqvist · DAL Ott, Woywitka, Daley, Eriksson, Neal

  85. P3 11:29Shot by Wilson, saved by Raycroft5v4
  86. P3 11:33Shot by Wilson, saved by Raycroft5v4
  87. P3 11:34Weber: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Wilson · DAL Robidas, Skrastins, Petersen, Burish

  88. P3 17:01Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft
  89. P3 17:11Shot by Richards, saved by Rinne
  90. P3 17:18Shot by Eriksson, saved by Rinne
  91. P3 19:28Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft6v5
  92. P3 19:58Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Raycroft6v5
  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final