Thu, Dec 30, 2010·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 5, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 17 | 28 | 210 | 525 |
| CHI | 110 | 28 | 011 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:44CHIPatrick SharpPPAssists: Tomas Kopecky, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.34 xG0–1
- P1 18:54SJSScott NicholAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 1:45SJSBenn FerrieroPPAssists: Logan Couture, Dan Boyle · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–1
- P2 13:46SJSDany HeatleyPPAssists: Jason Demers, Dan Boyle · Wrist, 0.23 xG3–1
- P2 19:37CHITroy BrouwerPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–2
- P2 19:59CHIBrian CampbellAssists: Dave Bolland, Bryan Bickell · Snap, 0.14 xG3–3
- P3 7:13SJSJoe ThorntonGWGAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Dany Heatley · Tip-in, 0.12 xG4–3
- P3 19:12SJSRyane CloweENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.57 xG5–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 1:45CHIViktor Stalberg: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 14:56SJSBrandon Mashinter: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 16:19CHIJohn Scott: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:47CHITomas Kopecky: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 0:18CHIBrent Seabrook: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:53SJSLogan Couture: Holding2 min
- P2 8:30SJSDan Boyle: Interference2 min
- P2 12:26CHINick Boynton: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 18:09SJSJamie McGinn: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 0:48SJSScott Nichol: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:06CHIJassen Cullimore: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Dowell
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Heatley – McGinn3:26
xG 0.13–0.06 (68%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Marleau – Setoguchi – Mashinter3:25
xG 0.05–0.03 (66%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Clowe – Ferriero – Couture9:41
xG 0.02–0.33 (6%)attempts 2–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoyle – Murray13:15
xG 0.64–0.20 (77%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Wallin – Demers8:48
xG 0.49–0.32 (60%)attempts 5–9goals 0–1
- Huskins – Vlasic11:32
xG 0.17–0.27 (38%)attempts 5–8goals 2–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Kopecky – Stalberg8:11
xG 0.32–0.16 (67%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Bolland – Bickell – Brouwer5:04
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Sharp – Dowell – Kane3:12
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Sharp – Brouwer – Kane7:40
xG 0.09–0.36 (20%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCampbell – Hjalmarsson10:30
xG 0.26–0.02 (92%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook13:01
xG 0.50–0.54 (48%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Cullimore – Boynton5:03
xG 0.04–0.17 (18%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).