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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 1, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

New York Rangers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 51% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Tyrell, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 3:24Shot by Avery, saved by Desjardins
  5. P1 5:10Shot by Prust, saved by Desjardins
  6. P1 5:39Shot by Clark, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 7:36Shot by Stepan, saved by Desjardins
  8. P1 7:40Shot by Gilroy, saved by Desjardins
  9. P1 8:40Moore: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Ritola, Purcell · NYR Rozsival, Frolov, Eminger, Anisimov, Zuccarello

  10. P1 9:44Shot by Frolov, saved by Desjardins4v5
  11. P1 10:23Shot by Tyrell, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  12. P1 3:27Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Desjardins
  13. P1 13:03Goal by Tyrell (Thompson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Hall, Thompson, Lundin, Tyrell · NYR Gaborik, Dubinsky, Sauer, Stepan, Gilroy

  14. P1 13:48Shot by Frolov, saved by Desjardins
  15. P1 14:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 14:36Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 15:19Shot by Clark, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 18:25Shot by Gagne, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 19:53Shot by Ohlund, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:58Smaby: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Smaby · NYR Rozsival, Frolov, Eminger, Anisimov, Zuccarello

  23. P2 3:08Shot by Gaborik, saved by Desjardins4v5
  24. P2 3:09Shot by Gilroy, saved by Desjardins4v5
  25. P2 3:38Shot by Stepan, saved by Desjardins4v5
  26. P2 4:03Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 4:13Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Desjardins
  28. P2 4:50Shot by Boyle, saved by Desjardins
  29. P2 5:35Shot by Gagne, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P2 5:38Weise: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Lundin, Hedman · NYR Drury, Rozsival, Avery, Eminger, Weise

  31. P2 5:54Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Desjardins5v4
  32. P2 6:13Shot by Staal, saved by Desjardins5v4
  33. P2 6:52Shot by Gagne, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  34. P2 9:05Shot by Ritola, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 9:24Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 10:08Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 11:09Shot by Anisimov, saved by Desjardins
  38. P2 11:20Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Desjardins
  39. P2 11:56Shot by Lundin, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 12:19Shot by Boyle, saved by Desjardins
  41. P2 13:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 13:36Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 13:43Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 13:47Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 14:41Shot by Weise, saved by Desjardins
  46. P2 16:15Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 16:26Dubinsky: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Moore, Lundin, Ritola, Purcell, Hedman · NYR Gaborik, Dubinsky, Staal, Girardi, Stepan

  48. P2 16:44Shot by Clark, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  49. P2 16:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  50. P2 16:59Shot by Prust, saved by Desjardins5v4
  51. P2 17:30Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  52. P2 19:11Shot by Stepan, saved by Desjardins
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:14Anisimov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Hedman · NYR Rozsival, Frolov, Eminger, Anisimov, Zuccarello

  56. P3 1:50Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  57. P3 3:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  58. P3 3:28Shot by Hall, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 5:02Shot by Kubina, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 5:26Shot by Anisimov, saved by Desjardins
  61. P3 5:30Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Desjardins
  62. P3 5:31Shot by Staal, saved by Desjardins
  63. P3 7:24Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Desjardins
  64. P3 7:34Shot by Prust, saved by Desjardins
  65. P3 7:53Shot by Frolov, saved by Desjardins
  66. P3 8:03Shot by Moore, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 9:12Shot by Gaborik, saved by Desjardins
  68. P3 9:53Shot by Anisimov, saved by Desjardins
  69. P3 11:57Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Desjardins
  70. P3 12:54Shot by Stepan, saved by Desjardins
  71. P3 13:10Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist
  72. P3 14:31Shot by Anisimov, saved by Desjardins
  73. P3 15:59Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Desjardins
  74. P3 16:38Shot by Boyle, saved by Desjardins
  75. P3 16:52Shot by Moore, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 18:09Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Desjardins
  77. P3 19:14Goal by Gaborik (Girardi)5v6+47 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Lundin · NYR Gaborik, Dubinsky, Staal, Girardi, Anisimov, Stepan

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. OT 0:00Period start
  80. OT 0:19Goal by Thompson (Tyrell, Lundin)4v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Thompson, Lundin, Tyrell · NYR Gaborik, Sauer, Stepan, Gilroy

  81. OT 0:19Period end
  82. OT 0:19Final