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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 2, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Nashville Predators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 73% of the time.

NSH winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Pahlsson, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 0:37Goal by Umberger (Methot, Brassard)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Goc, Svatos, Klein, Kostitsyn · CBJ Klesla, Umberger, Methot, Brassard, Voracek

  4. P1 1:24Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  5. P1 7:31Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  6. P1 8:02Clark: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, O'Brien, Franson, Hornqvist, Wilson · CBJ Moreau, Clark, Pahlsson, Tyutin, Stralman

  7. P1 8:54Shot by Weber, saved by Mason5v4
  8. P1 9:19Shot by Svatos, saved by Mason5v4
  9. P1 12:45Shot by Dumont, saved by Mason
  10. P1 12:51Shot by O'Brien, saved by Mason
  11. P1 13:46Shot by Voracek, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 14:27Shot by Huselius, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 14:41Shot by Vermette, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 15:24Shot by Huselius, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 16:58Belak: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Belak, Dumont, O'Brien, Franson, O'Reilly · CBJ MacKenzie, Klesla, Methot, Boll, Dorsett

  16. P1 16:56Shot by Belak, saved by Mason
  17. P1 18:41Shot by Tyutin, saved by Rinne4v5
  18. P1 19:04Shot by Huselius, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:08Shot by Svatos, saved by Mason
  22. P2 2:59Goal by Weber (Wilson, Hornqvist)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Wilson · CBJ Huselius, Vermette, Tyutin, Nash, Stralman

  23. P2 4:49Shot by Belak, saved by Mason
  24. P2 5:56Shot by Ward, saved by Mason
  25. P2 6:57Legwand: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Wilson · CBJ Clark, Huselius, Vermette, Hejda, Russell

  26. P2 9:45Shot by Moreau, saved by Rinne
  27. P2 12:20Shot by Klein, saved by Mason
  28. P2 12:27Shot by Franson, saved by Mason
  29. P2 13:02Shot by Clark, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 13:49Shot by Weber, saved by Mason
  31. P2 13:51Goal by Spaling (Weber, Ward)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Ward, Suter, Weber, Spaling · CBJ Moreau, Vermette, Nash, Hejda, Russell

  32. P2 14:56Shot by Voracek, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 15:48Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason6v5
  34. P2 15:49Tyutin: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Dumont, Ward, O'Brien, Franson, O'Reilly, Hornqvist · CBJ Umberger, Tyutin, Stralman, Brassard, Voracek

  35. P2 16:47Shot by Weber, saved by Mason5v4
  36. P2 16:50Goal by Hornqvist (Weber, Suter)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Wilson · CBJ Moreau, Pahlsson, Klesla, Methot

  37. P2 17:33Shot by Vermette, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 19:23Bouillon: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Dumont, Bouillon, Legwand, Franson, Hornqvist · CBJ MacKenzie, Klesla, Methot, Boll, Dorsett

  39. P2 19:23Dorsett: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Dumont, Bouillon, Legwand, Franson, Hornqvist · CBJ MacKenzie, Klesla, Methot, Boll, Dorsett

  40. P2 19:29Shot by Tyutin, saved by Rinne4v4
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 0:22Shot by Brassard, saved by Rinne4v4
  44. P3 1:32Shot by Nash, saved by Rinne
  45. P3 2:12Franson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Franson, O'Reilly, Spaling · CBJ MacKenzie, Klesla, Methot, Boll, Dorsett

  46. P3 2:17Shot by Vermette, saved by Rinne4v5
  47. P3 4:33Shot by Klesla, saved by Rinne
  48. P3 4:54Shot by Dumont, saved by Mason
  49. P3 5:53Goal by Kostitsyn (Wilson, Legwand)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Klein, Kostitsyn, Wilson · CBJ Huselius, Vermette, Nash, Hejda, Russell

  50. P3 6:16Shot by Smithson, saved by Mason
  51. P3 7:32Shot by Dumont, saved by Mason
  52. P3 8:16Shot by Moreau, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 10:33Shot by Goc, saved by Mason
  54. P3 10:41Shot by Bouillon, saved by Mason
  55. P3 11:01Methot: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Svatos, O'Brien, Franson, Kostitsyn · CBJ Moreau, Clark, Pahlsson, Klesla, Methot

  56. P3 11:16Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason5v4
  57. P3 16:10Shot by Weber, saved by Mason
  58. P3 17:58Shot by Umberger, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 0:00Dorsett: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Belak, Smithson, O'Brien, Franson, Spaling · CBJ MacKenzie, Hejda, Boll, Stralman, Dorsett

  60. P3 19:43Shot by Hejda, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Final