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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 7, 2011·American Airlines Center, Dallas

New York Rangers 3, Dallas Stars 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 74% of the time.

DAL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:55Shot by Morrow, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 2:56Shot by Morrow, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 3:56Shot by Gilroy, saved by Lehtonen
  5. P1 3:57Daley: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Ott, Woywitka, Burish, Daley, Wandell · NYR Avery, Gaborik, Anisimov, McDonagh, Gilroy

  6. P1 4:40Shot by Staal, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  7. P1 6:25Shot by Larsen, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 7:25Shot by Burish, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 7:25Ott: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Ott, Woywitka, Burish, Daley, Wandell · NYR Avery, Anisimov, McDonagh, Weise, Gilroy

  10. P1 7:25Weise: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Ott, Woywitka, Burish, Daley, Wandell · NYR Avery, Anisimov, McDonagh, Weise, Gilroy

  11. P1 7:55Goal by Sutherby (Segal, Barch)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Barch, Sutherby, Segal, Fistric, Larsen · NYR Avery, Gaborik, Anisimov, McDonagh, Gilroy

  12. P1 9:32Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 9:44Shot by Frolov, saved by Lehtonen
  14. P1 10:24Shot by Avery, saved by Lehtonen
  15. P1 10:46Shot by Anisimov, saved by Lehtonen
  16. P1 11:16Shot by Gilroy, saved by Lehtonen
  17. P1 11:34Stepan: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Richards, Eriksson, Grossmann, Neal · NYR Dubinsky, McDonagh, Stepan, Gilroy, Zuccarello

  18. P1 13:34Shot by Robidas, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 14:26Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 15:05Shot by Barch, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 15:18Shot by Drury, saved by Lehtonen
  22. P1 17:09Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen
  23. P1 17:47Shot by Gaborik, saved by Lehtonen
  24. P1 18:23Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 18:29Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:30Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehtonen
  29. P2 1:00Dubinsky: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Richards, Eriksson, Fistric, Neal, Larsen · NYR Dubinsky, Staal, Girardi, Stepan, Zuccarello

  30. P2 1:16Shot by Larsen, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  31. P2 2:13Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  32. P2 2:49Goal by Fedotenko, unassisted5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Ott, Daley, Neal, Benn · NYR Drury, Fedotenko, Staal, Girardi

  33. P2 3:38Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen
  34. P2 4:02Shot by Frolov, saved by Lehtonen
  35. P2 4:46Shot by Frolov, saved by Lehtonen
  36. P2 5:17Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 5:27Shot by Richards, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 7:41Shot by Anisimov, saved by Lehtonen
  39. P2 8:26Eminger: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Grossmann, Benn · NYR Avery, Gaborik, Eminger, Sauer, Anisimov

  40. P2 9:09Shot by Prust, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  41. P2 10:20Goal by Ribeiro (Eriksson, Woywitka)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Woywitka, Eriksson, Larsen · NYR Drury, Dubinsky, Sauer, Gilroy

  42. P2 10:36Shot by Wandell, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 12:25Shot by Richards, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 12:36Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 13:25Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P2 15:17Shot by Frolov, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P2 18:02Shot by Girardi, saved by Lehtonen
  48. P2 18:34Ott: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Richards, Ott, Eriksson, Grossmann · NYR Dubinsky, Staal, Sauer, Stepan, Zuccarello

  49. P2 19:46Shot by Girardi, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:10Shot by Grossmann, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  53. P3 0:17Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  54. P3 0:26Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  55. P3 0:59Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 1:19Prust: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Richards, Eriksson, Fistric, Neal, Larsen · NYR Fedotenko, Boyle, Prust, Sauer, Girardi

  57. P3 2:25Shot by Richards, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  58. P3 3:45Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehtonen
  59. P3 4:02Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen
  60. P3 4:16Shot by Barch, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 5:52Shot by Frolov, saved by Lehtonen
  62. P3 6:32Segal: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Barch, Sutherby, Woywitka, Segal, Daley · NYR Fedotenko, Eminger, Boyle, Prust, Sauer

  63. P3 6:55Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  64. P3 8:04Goal by Anisimov (Staal, Lundqvist)4v5+31 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Grossmann · NYR Frolov, Dubinsky, Staal, Girardi, Anisimov

  65. P3 8:44Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Lehtonen
  66. P3 11:25Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 11:50Shot by Wandell, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 12:32Shot by Gilroy, saved by Lehtonen
  69. P3 13:35Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Lehtonen
  70. P3 14:29Neal: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Richards, Woywitka, Eriksson, Fistric, Neal · NYR Fedotenko, Boyle, Prust, McDonagh, Gilroy

  71. P3 16:36Shot by Richards, saved by Lundqvist
  72. P3 16:38Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 16:39Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist
  74. P3 17:43Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist
  75. P3 18:11Shot by Wandell, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. OT 0:00Period start
  78. OT 1:59Shot by Larsen, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  79. OT 5:00Period end
  80. SO Period start
  81. SO Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvistother
  82. SO Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonenother
  83. SO Shot by Richards, saved by Lundqvistother
  84. SO Goal by Zuccarello, unassistedother
  85. SO Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Lundqvistother
  86. SO Period end
  87. SO Final