Sat, Jan 8, 2011·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
New York Rangers 2, St. Louis Blues 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 06 | 213 | 05 | 224 |
| STL | 02 | 115 | 08 | 125 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:13STLBrad WinchesterAssists: Eric Brewer, Brad Boyes · Tip-in, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 9:12NYRDerek StepanAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Brandon Dubinsky · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 15:26NYRSean AveryGWGAssists: Marian Gaborik, Brandon Dubinsky · Wrist, 0.44 xG2–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:37NYRDerek Stepan: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 7:56STLPatrik Berglund: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:15STLBrad Boyes: Cross checking2 min
- P2 2:29STLAlexander Steen: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:38NYRMarc Staal: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:28NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Cross checking2 min
- P2 18:46NYRBrandon Dubinsky: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:45STLMatt D'Agostini: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 10:20NYRSean Avery: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 19:09STLDavid Backes: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McClement won the faceoff against Boyle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestAvery – Gaborik – Anisimov6:18
xG 0.64–0.22 (74%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Fedotenko – Boyle – Prust5:52
xG 0.47–0.15 (75%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Drury – Frolov – Weise5:35
xG 0.11–0.05 (68%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Stepan – Zuccarello8:39
xG 0.12–0.23 (34%)attempts 4–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestMcDonagh – Gilroy10:37
xG 1.28–0.27 (83%)attempts 10–12goals 2–0
- Eminger – Sauer11:40
xG 0.46–0.09 (84%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Staal – Girardi15:04
xG 0.61–0.59 (51%)attempts 11–16goals 0–1
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSteen – Backes – D'Agostini6:02
xG 0.41–0.32 (56%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Boyes – Winchester – McClement6:11
xG 0.26–0.23 (53%)attempts 7–2goals 1–0
- Backes – Sobotka – D'Agostini2:58
xG 0.01–0.04 (25%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Sobotka – Hensick – Berglund3:30
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 6–1goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Colaiacovo – Pietrangelo3:30
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Colaiacovo – Johnson9:26
xG 0.40–0.44 (48%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Jackman – Polak2:19
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).