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Ice Lab

Left wing · #10

Brad Winchester

St. Louis Blues Anaheim Ducks San Jose Sharks(traded during the season)
Age
45
Shoots
Left
Height
196 cm
Weight
104 kg
Born
Madison, USA
Draft
2000, round 2, #35 (EDM)

Career · 2009–10 to 2011–12

Games
207
Goals
19
Points
34
TOI per game
9:11
xGF% (5v5)
46.9%
Goals above expected
−4.0
ShowAll teamsSt. Louis BluesAnaheim DucksSan Jose Sharks

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10STL64358+39:04694.3%27.5–
2010–11STL579514−910:296713.4%37.444.6%
2010–11ANA19112−910:28234.3%13.042.9%
2010–11All teams7610616−1810:299011.1%410.444.2%
2011–12SJS676410−57:48728.3%05.251.4%
Total3 teams207191534−209:112318.2%623.046.9%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.10.20.30.40.550100150200
6m8m10m12m14m50100150200Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2009–10 to 2011–12 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

Extra / AHL

14th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.6038th pct
  • Assists /600.4710th pct
  • ixG /600.7354th pct
  • Goals above expected−4.025th pct

Play-driving

Extra / AHL
  • xGF% (5v5)46.9%27th pct
  • CF% (5v5)47.9%31st pct
  • Relative xGF%−5.815th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.4110th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game9:119th pct
  • PP time share12.1%40th pct
  • Offensive zone starts61.2%64th pct
  • Quality of competition23.3%20th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Mike RuppPIT0.92
  2. Kyle CliffordLAK0.89
  3. Cody McLeodCOL0.89
  4. Cam JanssenSTL0.86
  5. Zac RinaldoPHI0.84
  6. Jody ShelleySJS/NYR/PHI0.83

Faceoffs

How often Winchester wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2011–12, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 610+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

47.2%

25–28 · below the 610 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

48.5%

Opponents won 51.3% of their draws; an average centre would have won 48.7% against them.

Wins above average

−1

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

1.3

53 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

67%3 · +0.855%11 · +4.729%14 · −1.9100%1 · –0%1 · –50%2 · +0.925%4 · −2.562%13 · +3.350%4 · −2.0Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone41.7% 10–14
  • Neutral zone45.5% 5–6
  • Defensive zone55.6% 10–8

By strength

  • Even strength46.2% 24–28

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: −16 after a win, −21 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.0 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–101225.0%26.5%
2010–11825.0%27.4%
2011–123360.6%61.6%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−4.0 goals above expected

051015202550100150200Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−200+20+40+60+80