Sat, Jan 8, 2011·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Los Angeles Kings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 09 | 112 | 313 | 434 |
| LAK | 311 | 111 | 214 | 636 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:13LAKDustin BrownAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 9:24LAKMarco SturmPPAssists: Alec Martinez, Jack Johnson · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–2
- P1 15:50LAKJarret StollAssists: Drew Doughty, Ryan Smyth · Tip-in, 0.05 xG0–3
- P2 7:12LAKJarret StollSHAssists: Marco Sturm, Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–4
- P2 13:30CBJMatt CalvertUnassisted · Tip-in, 0.06 xG1–4
- P3 6:47CBJRick NashAssists: Jakub Voracek, Anton Stralman · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–4
- P3 10:58CBJFedor TyutinAssists: Antoine Vermette, R.J. Umberger · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–4
- P3 16:29LAKRyan SmythGWGAssists: Justin Williams, Michal Handzus · Tip-in, 0.21 xG3–5
- P3 17:27CBJRick NashAssists: Jakub Voracek, Kris Russell · Wrist, 0.52 xG4–5
- P3 19:29LAKJustin WilliamsENAssists: Jack Johnson, Michal Handzus · Wrist, 0.67 xG4–6
Penalties (13)
- P1 7:37CBJAntoine Vermette: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 11:02CBJDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:02LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:27CBJFedor Tyutin: Interference2 min
- P1 16:27LAKWayne Simmonds: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:49LAKJarret Stoll: Holding2 min
- P2 2:58CBJKyle Wilson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 5:45LAKKyle Clifford: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:04LAKMichal Handzus: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 0:37CBJRick Nash: High sticking2 min
- P3 10:00LAKAnze Kopitar: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:00CBJJared Boll: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:24CBJKyle Wilson: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Handzus won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNash – Brassard – Voracek11:10
xG 0.89–0.44 (67%)attempts 11–11goals 2–0
- Huselius – Vermette – Umberger6:14
xG 0.18–0.03 (85%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Clark – Pahlsson – Dorsett6:39
xG 0.45–0.63 (42%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Wilson – Boll – Calvert6:35
xG 0.12–0.45 (21%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Tyutin – Stralman13:33
xG 0.34–0.53 (39%)attempts 12–15goals 1–0
- Klesla – Russell11:15
xG 0.55–0.85 (39%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Hejda – Methot13:43
xG 0.27–0.82 (25%)attempts 10–18goals 1–3
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestPonikarovsky – Brown – Kopitar10:58
xG 0.59–0.28 (68%)attempts 14–9goals 1–2
- Smyth – Handzus – Williams9:16
xG 0.52–0.26 (66%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
- Lewis – Westgarth – Clifford2:36
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Sturm – Stoll – Simmonds9:26
xG 0.11–0.71 (14%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Doughty12:19
xG 0.71–0.39 (65%)attempts 13–15goals 2–0
- Greene – Martinez11:27
xG 0.25–0.39 (39%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Johnson11:37
xG 0.55–0.89 (38%)attempts 13–15goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).