Fri, Jan 14, 2011·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Detroit Red Wings 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 08 | 210 | 09 | 01 | 0 | 228 |
| CBJ | 214 | 09 | 06 | 03 | 1 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:05CBJJakub VoracekAssists: Rick Nash, Derick Brassard · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 11:51CBJGrant ClitsomePPAssists: Fedor Tyutin, Kristian Huselius · Slap, 0.13 xG0–2
- P2 5:14DETDrew MillerSHAssists: Justin Abdelkader · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–2
- P2 8:05DETJiri HudlerAssists: Valtteri Filppula · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Rick Nash stopped
- 2. DET Jiri Hudler stopped
- 3. CBJ Kyle Wilson stopped
- 4. DET Todd Bertuzzi stopped
- 5. CBJ Kristian Huselius stopped
- 6. DET Henrik Zetterberg stopped
- 7. CBJ Antoine Vermette scored
- 8. DET Johan Franzen stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 9:53DETJiri Hudler: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 10:36DETJonathan Ericsson: High sticking2 min
- P1 14:43CBJJan Hejda: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:52CBJSamuel Pahlsson: Interference2 min
- P2 3:57DETRuslan Salei: Holding2 min
- P2 5:36CBJGrant Clitsome: Holding2 min
- P2 10:38DETHenrik Zetterberg: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:29DETJonathan Ericsson: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pahlsson won the faceoff against Zetterberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Abdelkader – Mursak7:13
xG 0.15–0.08 (66%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Filppula – Hudler8:16
xG 0.40–0.50 (45%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Draper – Eaves – Helm6:43
xG 0.18–0.40 (32%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Holmstrom – Zetterberg – Franzen11:53
xG 0.18–0.46 (29%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLidstrom – Kronwall12:37
xG 0.55–0.44 (56%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Salei – Kindl12:03
xG 0.41–0.30 (57%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Rafalski – Ericsson11:55
xG 0.21–0.46 (31%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNash – Brassard – Voracek9:02
xG 0.77–0.40 (66%)attempts 12–9goals 1–1
- Wilson – Boll – Calvert4:25
xG 0.28–0.05 (84%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Clark – Pahlsson – Dorsett8:52
xG 0.31–0.10 (76%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Boll – Brassard – Calvert3:04
xG 0.26–0.08 (77%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlesla – Tyutin13:26
xG 0.91–0.67 (57%)attempts 16–13goals 1–0
- Hejda – Methot12:38
xG 0.35–0.23 (60%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Klesla – Hejda2:19
xG 0.13–0.08 (62%)attempts 5–2goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).