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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 20, 2011·Philips Arena, Atlanta

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Atlanta Thrashers 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.

ATL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Peverley, saved by Roloson
  3. P1 1:14Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec
  4. P1 2:44Shot by Lundin, saved by Pavelec
  5. P1 4:43Shot by Cormier, saved by Roloson
  6. P1 4:52Shot by St. Louis, saved by Pavelec
  7. P1 5:15Shot by Stapleton, saved by Roloson
  8. P1 5:23Shot by Meyer, saved by Roloson
  9. P1 5:26Goal by Bergfors (Meyer, Dawes)+14 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Hainsey, Meyer, Dawes, Bergfors, Stapleton · TBL Kubina, Gagne, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos

  10. P1 6:07Shot by Moore, saved by Pavelec
  11. P1 8:17Shot by Oduya, saved by Roloson
  12. P1 8:48Shot by Gagne, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 9:33Shot by Ladd, saved by Roloson
  14. P1 9:38Shot by Peverley, saved by Roloson
  15. P1 10:37Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Roloson
  16. P1 12:40Shot by Ladd, saved by Roloson
  17. P1 16:18Shot by Purcell, saved by Pavelec
  18. P1 17:10Shot by Hedman, saved by Pavelec
  19. P1 17:13Goal by Stamkos, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley, Bergfors · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos, Hedman

  20. P1 17:48Shot by Thompson, saved by Pavelec
  21. P1 18:47Shot by Antropov, saved by Roloson
  22. P1 19:57Shot by Boulton, saved by Roloson
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:50Shot by Tyrell, saved by Pavelec
  26. P2 4:52Shot by St. Louis, saved by Pavelec
  27. P2 5:50Shot by Malone, saved by Pavelec
  28. P2 6:02Shot by Downie, saved by Pavelec
  29. P2 6:05Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Pavelec
  30. P2 6:40Shot by Thorburn, saved by Roloson
  31. P2 7:33Shot by Dawes, saved by Roloson
  32. P2 9:41Shot by Little, saved by Roloson
  33. P2 10:34Shot by Stewart, saved by Roloson
  34. P2 11:17Shot by Hall, saved by Pavelec
  35. P2 11:39Shot by Moore, saved by Pavelec
  36. P2 11:40Boulton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Boulton, Sopel, Thorburn, Oduya, Burmistrov · TBL Clark, Gagne, Malone, Moore, Hedman

  37. P2 11:40Moore: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Boulton, Sopel, Thorburn, Oduya, Burmistrov · TBL Clark, Gagne, Malone, Moore, Hedman

  38. P2 12:46Shot by Enstrom, saved by Roloson4v4
  39. P2 13:25Shot by Ladd, saved by Roloson4v4
  40. P2 13:38Ohlund: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: ATL Oduya, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley · TBL Ohlund, Lecavalier, Lundin, Stamkos

  41. P2 14:09Shot by Sopel, saved by Roloson5v4
  42. P2 14:10Shot by Antropov, saved by Roloson5v4
  43. P2 14:12Goal by Stewart (Antropov, Sopel)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Sopel, Antropov, Stewart, Enstrom, Little · TBL Kubina, Hall, Moore, Jones

  44. P2 14:41Shot by Meyer, saved by Roloson
  45. P2 18:23Shot by Jones, saved by Pavelec
  46. P2 19:59Shot by Moore, saved by Pavelec
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:31Shot by Downie, saved by Pavelec
  50. P3 0:32Goal by Stamkos (Downie, Kubina)+27 pts WP

    On ice: ATL Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley, Bergfors · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Jones, Downie, Stamkos

  51. P3 1:01Byfuglien: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: ATL Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Little, Cormier · TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Lundin

  52. P3 1:16Shot by Ladd, saved by Roloson4v5
  53. P3 3:10Shot by Purcell, saved by Pavelec
  54. P3 3:45Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Roloson
  55. P3 4:41Shot by St. Louis, saved by Pavelec
  56. P3 5:23Shot by Stewart, saved by Roloson
  57. P3 5:55Shot by Purcell, saved by Pavelec
  58. P3 7:44Cormier: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ATL Sopel, Oduya, Stewart, Little, Cormier · TBL Kubina, Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Jones

  59. P3 8:56Shot by Downie, saved by Pavelec4v5
  60. P3 10:28Shot by Hall, saved by Pavelec
  61. P3 13:07Shot by Lundin, saved by Pavelec
  62. P3 14:20Shot by Hall, saved by Pavelec
  63. P3 14:25Shot by Jones, saved by Pavelec
  64. P3 14:54Shot by Moore, saved by Pavelec
  65. P3 14:58Shot by Purcell, saved by Pavelec
  66. P3 15:43Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Roloson
  67. P3 16:15Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Roloson
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. OT 0:00Period start
  70. OT 0:41Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Roloson4v4
  71. OT 2:41Shot by Tyrell, saved by Pavelec4v4
  72. OT 2:58Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Roloson4v4
  73. OT 4:49Kubina: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: ATL Hainsey, Enstrom, Ladd, Peverley · TBL Kubina, Gagne, Malone, Hedman

  74. OT 5:00Period end
  75. SO Period start
  76. SO Goal by Little, unassistedother
  77. SO Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Rolosonother
  78. SO Goal by Hall, unassistedother
  79. SO Shot by Ladd, saved by Rolosonother
  80. SO Shot by Malone, saved by Pavelecother
  81. SO Shot by Dawes, saved by Rolosonother
  82. SO Goal by Moore, unassistedother
  83. SO Period end
  84. SO Final