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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 25, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 1:17Shot by Versteeg, saved by Roloson
  4. P1 2:09Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 3:20Shot by Hall, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 3:32Shot by Hall, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 4:05Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 4:56Shot by Schenn, saved by Roloson
  9. P1 5:11Goal by Gagne (Hedman, Purcell)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Gagne, Purcell, Hedman · TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Versteeg, Schenn, Bozak

  10. P1 5:32Shot by Ohlund, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 6:37Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson
  12. P1 7:13Shot by Purcell, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 7:18Shot by Purcell, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 9:14Shot by Tyrell, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 9:45Shot by Brent, saved by Roloson
  16. P1 9:59Shot by Gagne, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 10:53Kessel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Beauchemin, Crabb, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  18. P1 11:27Shot by Downie, saved by Reimer5v4
  19. P1 12:42Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Reimer5v4
  20. P1 12:44Goal by Purcell (Clark, Bergenheim)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Gagne, Bergenheim, Purcell, Hedman · TOR Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Schenn

  21. P1 14:33Grabovski: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Hall, Thompson, Tyrell, Hedman · TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin

  22. P1 14:51Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer5v4
  23. P1 15:44Shot by Gagne, saved by Reimer5v4
  24. P1 16:30Shot by Clark, saved by Reimer5v4
  25. P1 17:33Kaberle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hall, Thompson, Jones, Lundin, Tyrell · TOR Kaberle, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 3:13Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson
  29. P2 5:32Shot by Brown, saved by Roloson
  30. P2 6:08Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer
  31. P2 7:31Shot by Brown, saved by Roloson
  32. P2 8:31Shot by Rosehill, saved by Roloson
  33. P2 10:20Shot by Bozak, saved by Roloson
  34. P2 10:40Shot by Purcell, saved by Reimer
  35. P2 11:42Shot by Moore, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 13:36Shot by Brent, saved by Roloson
  37. P2 14:07Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson
  38. P2 14:11Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson
  39. P2 14:17Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson
  40. P2 14:29Kaberle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Kaberle, Boyce, Versteeg, Kessel, Schenn

  41. P2 16:02Gagne: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Clark, Gagne, Bergenheim, Purcell, Hedman · TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, Brown, Bozak

  42. P2 16:06Shot by Schenn, saved by Roloson4v4
  43. P2 16:27Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Roloson4v4
  44. P2 18:27Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Roloson
  45. P2 19:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 19:19MacArthur: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin

  47. P2 19:19Downie: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin

  48. P2 19:44Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson4v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:49Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer4v4
  52. P3 1:16Shot by Versteeg, saved by Roloson4v4
  53. P3 1:29Shot by Kulemin, saved by Roloson
  54. P3 1:53MacArthur: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Moore, Bergenheim, Lundin, Tyrell, Hedman · TOR Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson

  55. P3 2:07Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Reimer5v4
  56. P3 2:39Shot by Bozak, saved by Roloson5v4
  57. P3 4:42Shot by Tyrell, saved by Reimer
  58. P3 8:13Shot by Moore, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 8:36Shot by Hall, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 9:26Shot by Armstrong, saved by Roloson
  61. P3 10:27Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Roloson
  62. P3 10:44Shot by Gagne, saved by Reimer
  63. P3 11:07Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 11:44Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 11:49Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 12:44Shot by Komisarek, saved by Roloson
  67. P3 13:57Armstrong: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Jones, Downie, Stamkos · TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  68. P3 13:57Downie: Instigator (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Jones, Downie, Stamkos · TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  69. P3 13:57Downie: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Jones, Downie, Stamkos · TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  70. P3 13:57Downie: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Jones, Downie, Stamkos · TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  71. P3 16:56Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson
  72. P3 17:28Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer
  73. P3 17:36Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson
  74. P3 18:30Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson5v6
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final