Wed, Feb 2, 2011·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Vancouver Canucks 6, Phoenix Coyotes 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 18 | 213 | 312 | 633 |
| PHX | 09 | 08 | 06 | 023 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:46VANAlexandre BurrowsGWGAssists: Daniel Sedin · Tip-in, 0.26 xG1–0
- P2 1:38VANJannik HansenAssists: Lee Sweatt, Mason Raymond · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–0
- P2 12:06VANCody HodgsonAssists: Jeff Tambellini, Dan Hamhuis · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–0
- P3 6:41VANRyan KeslerAssists: Mikael Samuelsson · Wrist, 0.12 xG4–0
- P3 11:37VANMason RaymondAssists: Mikael Samuelsson · Wrist, 0.18 xG5–0
- P3 17:32VANRyan KeslerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG6–0
Penalties (4)
- P2 16:20VANRyan Kesler: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:25PHXMichal Rozsival: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:31PHXKeith Yandle: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:05VANTanner Glass: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Malhotra won the faceoff against Belanger
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSamuelsson – Kesler – Raymond12:28
xG 0.82–0.38 (68%)attempts 18–13goals 3–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows10:51
xG 0.64–0.26 (71%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Tambellini – Glass – Hodgson9:28
xG 0.14–0.11 (56%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
- Malhotra – Torres – Hansen12:22
xG 0.24–0.62 (28%)attempts 5–20goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Tanev3:35
xG 0.35–0.03 (92%)attempts 5–2goals 2–0
- Hamhuis – Ehrhoff2:02
xG 0.20–0.14 (59%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Ehrhoff – Ballard2:24
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestWhitney – Upshall – Hanzal3:25
xG 0.28–0.02 (92%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Hanzal9:36
xG 0.44–0.32 (58%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Doan – Korpikoski – Ebbett7:25
xG 0.42–0.31 (58%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Bissonnette – Korpikoski – Ebbett3:00
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Ekman-Larsson17:35
xG 1.08–0.24 (82%)attempts 22–7goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Lepisto16:29
xG 0.40–0.75 (35%)attempts 14–16goals 0–1
- Morris – Yandle15:42
xG 0.33–0.93 (26%)attempts 18–19goals 0–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).