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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 2, 2011·Honda Center, Anaheim

San Jose Sharks 4, Anaheim Ducks 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 52% of the time.

ANA winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Heatley, saved by Hiller
  3. P1 0:14Goal by Heatley (Thornton, Murray)+17 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Koivu, Lydman, Blake, Visnovsky · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Heatley

  4. P1 1:17Shot by Lapierre, saved by Niemi
  5. P1 1:48Shot by McCarthy, saved by Hiller
  6. P1 2:14Shot by Lilja, saved by Niemi
  7. P1 3:41Shot by Clowe, saved by Hiller
  8. P1 4:14Shot by Sexton, saved by Niemi
  9. P1 4:21Shot by Sutton, saved by Niemi
  10. P1 4:57Sutton: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Marchant, Sutton, Parros, Voros, Sbisa · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Heatley

  11. P1 7:06Shot by Demers, saved by Hiller
  12. P1 7:09Shot by Clowe, saved by Hiller
  13. P1 7:21Shot by Vlasic, saved by Hiller
  14. P1 7:34Goal by Eager (Setoguchi, Boyle)+13 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Visnovsky, Lupul, Lapierre, Sexton, Fowler · SJS Nichol, Boyle, Murray, Eager, Ferriero

  15. P1 8:12Boyle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Koivu, Blake, Visnovsky, Fowler · SJS Nichol, Boyle, Huskins, Heatley, Eager

  16. P1 9:15Shot by Ryan, saved by Niemi5v4
  17. P1 9:55Shot by Lydman, saved by Niemi5v4
  18. P1 10:57Shot by Wellwood, saved by Hiller
  19. P1 11:15Goal by Demers (Clowe, Setoguchi)+9 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Lilja, Perry, Ryan, McMillan, Fowler · SJS Wallin, Clowe, Pavelski, Setoguchi, Demers

  20. P1 12:34Shot by Sutton, saved by Niemi
  21. P1 15:32Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Niemi
  22. P1 17:09Shot by Voros, saved by Niemi
  23. P1 17:44Clowe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Lilja, Lupul, Lapierre, Sexton, Fowler · SJS Boyle, Murray, Clowe, Pavelski, Setoguchi

  24. P1 18:40Shot by Koivu, saved by Niemi5v4
  25. P1 18:54Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Niemi5v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 3:45Shot by Boyle, saved by McElhinney
  29. P2 5:19Shot by McCarthy, saved by McElhinney
  30. P2 5:44Goal by Lupul (Lapierre, Sexton)+7 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Sutton, Visnovsky, Lupul, Lapierre, Sexton · SJS Mayers, Nichol, Boyle, Murray, McCarthy

  31. P2 6:07Shot by Marleau, saved by McElhinney
  32. P2 6:30Marleau: Boarding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: ANA Koivu, Lydman, Visnovsky, Perry, Ryan, McMillan · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Heatley, Wallin, Demers

  33. P2 7:36Shot by Fowler, saved by Niemi5v4
  34. P2 7:57Shot by Lupul, saved by Niemi5v4
  35. P2 8:05Shot by Sbisa, saved by Niemi5v4
  36. P2 9:03Shot by Marleau, saved by McElhinney
  37. P2 9:59Shot by Ferriero, saved by McElhinney
  38. P2 11:38Shot by Nichol, saved by McElhinney
  39. P2 13:57Fowler: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Koivu, Blake, Lilja, Fowler · SJS Wallin, Clowe, Pavelski, Setoguchi, Demers

  40. P2 15:37Shot by Boyle, saved by McElhinney4v5
  41. P2 15:39Goal by Clowe (Boyle, Pavelski)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Sutton, Perry, Lapierre, Sbisa · SJS Boyle, Wellwood, Clowe, Pavelski, Setoguchi

  42. P2 16:36Setoguchi: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Lilja, Lupul, Lapierre, Sexton, Fowler · SJS Mayers, Thornton, Wallin, McCarthy, Demers

  43. P2 17:17Shot by Selanne, saved by Niemi5v4
  44. P2 17:24Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Niemi5v4
  45. P2 17:32Shot by Fowler, saved by Niemi5v4
  46. P2 17:52Goal by Fowler (Perry, Koivu)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Koivu, Visnovsky, Perry, Fowler · SJS Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski

  47. P2 19:16Shot by Setoguchi, saved by McElhinney
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:20Shot by Boyle, saved by McElhinney
  51. P3 1:08Shot by Eager, saved by McElhinney
  52. P3 4:22Shot by Setoguchi, saved by McElhinney
  53. P3 4:24Shot by Pavelski, saved by McElhinney
  54. P3 4:56Shot by Eager, saved by McElhinney
  55. P3 5:28Shot by Heatley, saved by McElhinney
  56. P3 5:36Goal by Ryan (Perry, McElhinney)+13 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Lydman, Visnovsky, Perry, Ryan, McMillan · SJS Nichol, Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Heatley

  57. P3 7:17Shot by Sexton, saved by Niemi
  58. P3 7:33Shot by Ryan, saved by Niemi
  59. P3 9:24Shot by Lupul, saved by Niemi
  60. P3 9:29Eager: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Lilja, Lupul, Lapierre, Sexton, Fowler · SJS Murray, Wellwood, Eager, Ferriero, Demers

  61. P3 12:39Shot by McMillan, saved by Niemi
  62. P3 12:40Shot by McMillan, saved by Niemi
  63. P3 13:08Shot by Ryan, saved by Niemi
  64. P3 14:33Shot by Sexton, saved by Niemi
  65. P3 14:48Shot by Setoguchi, saved by McElhinney
  66. P3 15:54Shot by Clowe, saved by McElhinney
  67. P3 17:00Shot by Sutton, saved by Niemi
  68. P3 17:31Shot by Lapierre, saved by Niemi
  69. P3 18:47Shot by Setoguchi, saved by McElhinney
  70. P3 19:54Shot by Fowler, saved by Niemi6v5
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final