Fri, Feb 4, 2011·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Detroit Red Wings 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 19 | 17 | 18 | 324 |
| DET | 08 | 014 | 012 | 034 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:29CBJAntoine VermetteGWGAssists: Matt Calvert, R.J. Umberger · Slap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 13:11CBJJared BollAssists: Andrew Murray, Derek MacKenzie · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–0
- P3 18:48CBJAndrew MurrayENAssists: Antoine Vermette, Jan Hejda · Snap, 0.66 xG3–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:02DETJiri Hudler: Holding2 min
- P1 7:57CBJR.J. Umberger: Interference2 min
- P1 13:21CBJDerick Brassard: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 5:42CBJDerek MacKenzie: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 7:24DETTodd Bertuzzi: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 9:36DETJohan Franzen: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:33CBJAntoine Vermette: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:27CBJJan Hejda: Boarding2 min
- P3 3:05CBJGrant Clitsome: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Helm won the faceoff against Pahlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestClark – Pahlsson – Dorsett8:51
xG 0.47–0.37 (56%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Murray – Boll5:10
xG 0.34–0.28 (54%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Nash – Brassard – Voracek11:37
xG 0.25–0.25 (51%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Vermette – Umberger – Calvert8:54
xG 0.23–0.41 (37%)attempts 3–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Methot10:49
xG 0.47–0.13 (78%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Hejda – Stralman10:11
xG 0.41–0.29 (59%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Hejda – Clitsome2:08
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Abdelkader – Mursak6:09
xG 0.40–0.14 (74%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Cleary – Filppula – Hudler10:21
xG 0.50–0.25 (66%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Draper – Eaves – Helm6:08
xG 0.26–0.39 (39%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Zetterberg – Franzen12:15
xG 0.29–0.53 (35%)attempts 9–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSalei – Kindl10:03
xG 0.45–0.22 (67%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Lidstrom – Kronwall10:21
xG 0.33–0.17 (66%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Kronwall – Kindl2:16
xG 0.17–0.07 (70%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).