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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 7, 2011·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Ottawa Senators 2, Vancouver Canucks 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 65% of the time.

VAN winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:16Shot by Michalek, saved by Luongo
  3. P1 2:34Shot by Shannon, saved by Luongo
  4. P1 2:56Shot by Shannon, saved by Luongo
  5. P1 3:18Rome: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Torres, Ehrhoff, Rome, Hansen · OTT Gonchar, Fisher, Neil, Kelly, Campoli

  6. P1 4:29Shot by Spezza, saved by Luongo4v5
  7. P1 5:46Shot by Sedin, saved by Elliott
  8. P1 6:54Shot by Winchester, saved by Luongo
  9. P1 7:48Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Elliott
  10. P1 8:50Goal by Burrows (Sedin, Ehrhoff)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Ehrhoff, Alberts, Burrows · OTT Phillips, Fisher, Neil, Kelly, Karlsson

  11. P1 9:15Shot by Regin, saved by Luongo
  12. P1 9:50Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Elliott
  13. P1 10:00Goal by Kesler (Raymond, Samuelsson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Samuelsson, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Kesler, Raymond · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Lee, Foligno

  14. P1 11:03Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  15. P1 13:27Shot by Spezza, saved by Luongo
  16. P1 13:40Burrows: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Spezza, Foligno, Karlsson

  17. P1 15:45Shot by Spezza, saved by Luongo
  18. P1 15:51Shot by Kuba, saved by Luongo
  19. P1 16:33Neil: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Rome, Burrows · OTT Phillips, Neil, Kelly, Lee, Smith

  20. P1 16:33Rome: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Rome, Burrows · OTT Phillips, Neil, Kelly, Lee, Smith

  21. P1 16:33Rome: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Rome, Burrows · OTT Phillips, Neil, Kelly, Lee, Smith

  22. P1 16:33Rome: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Rome, Burrows · OTT Phillips, Neil, Kelly, Lee, Smith

  23. P1 17:13Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Luongo4v5
  24. P1 18:21Shot by Gonchar, saved by Luongo4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:39Shot by Torres, saved by Elliott
  28. P2 0:45Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Elliott
  29. P2 2:12Goal by Samuelsson (Kesler, Raymond)+8 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Samuelsson, Ehrhoff, Alberts, Kesler, Raymond · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Spezza, Lee, Foligno

  30. P2 2:52Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  31. P2 3:33Shot by Michalek, saved by Luongo
  32. P2 3:42Shot by Hansen, saved by Elliott
  33. P2 5:09Shot by Sedin, saved by Elliott
  34. P2 5:30Goal by Foligno (Spezza, Alfredsson)+8 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Samuelsson, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Kesler, Raymond · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Campoli, Foligno

  35. P2 7:16Shot by Spezza, saved by Luongo
  36. P2 7:17Goal by Spezza (Phillips)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Samuelsson, Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Ehrhoff · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Spezza, Foligno, Karlsson

  37. P2 8:12Shot by Bieksa, saved by Elliott
  38. P2 9:29Shot by Lee, saved by Luongo
  39. P2 11:09Shot by Burrows, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 11:42Shot by Kovalev, saved by Luongo
  41. P2 12:28Shot by Tambellini, saved by Elliott
  42. P2 13:40Shot by Sedin, saved by Elliott
  43. P2 13:42Torres: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Hansen · OTT Neil, Kelly, Campoli, Michalek, Lee

  44. P2 14:17Shot by Spezza, saved by Luongo4v5
  45. P2 14:27Shot by Malhotra, saved by Elliott4v5
  46. P2 15:52Shot by Phillips, saved by Luongo
  47. P2 16:03Shot by Neil, saved by Luongo
  48. P2 16:35Shot by Rome, saved by Elliott
  49. P2 16:39Phillips: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Samuelsson, Hamhuis, Rome, Kesler, Raymond · OTT Phillips, Neil, Kelly, Regin, Karlsson

  50. P2 16:55Shot by Sedin, saved by Elliott5v4
  51. P2 17:28Shot by Sedin, saved by Elliott5v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P2 0:00Alberts: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Alberts, Rome, Burrows · OTT Kovalev, Phillips, Regin, Smith, Karlsson

  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:34Shot by Spezza, saved by Luongo4v5
  56. P3 1:59Shot by Kovalev, saved by Luongo4v5
  57. P3 3:02Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  58. P3 4:19Shot by Kelly, saved by Luongo
  59. P3 4:46Shot by Malhotra, saved by Elliott
  60. P3 5:27Shot by Burrows, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 6:23Foligno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Samuelsson, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Kesler, Raymond · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Spezza, Lee, Foligno

  62. P3 8:00Shot by Raymond, saved by Elliott5v4
  63. P3 9:03Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Elliott6v5
  64. P3 9:04Fisher: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Torres, Ehrhoff, Rome, Kesler, Hansen · OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Fisher, Campoli, Regin

  65. P3 10:18Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Elliott5v4
  66. P3 10:56Shot by Raymond, saved by Elliott5v4
  67. P3 12:29Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  68. P3 13:10Shot by Sedin, saved by Elliott
  69. P3 13:13Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Elliott
  70. P3 14:48Shot by Michalek, saved by Luongo
  71. P3 15:17Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Elliott
  72. P3 16:28Shot by Phillips, saved by Luongo
  73. P3 17:12Shot by Raymond, saved by Elliott
  74. P3 18:08Shot by Torres, saved by Elliott
  75. P3 19:23Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Luongo5v6
  76. P3 19:28Goal by Samuelsson (Raymond)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Samuelsson, Sedin, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Raymond · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Fisher, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  77. P3 19:41Shot by Shannon, saved by Luongo
  78. P3 19:48Shot by Shannon, saved by Luongo
  79. P3 19:55Shot by Lee, saved by Luongo
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final