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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 15, 2011·TD Garden, Boston

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Boston Bruins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 75% of the time.

BOS winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Lucic, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 0:29Shot by Lupul, saved by Thomas
  4. P1 0:33Shot by Grabovski, saved by Thomas
  5. P1 1:11Shot by Marchand, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 1:29Shot by Sjostrom, saved by Thomas
  7. P1 1:43Shot by Ryder, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 2:47Shot by Thornton, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 3:12Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 3:43Shot by Bozak, saved by Thomas
  11. P1 4:10Shot by Lucic, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 4:27Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Thomas
  13. P1 6:43Shot by Lucic, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 8:04Goal by Paille (Stuart, Campbell)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Thornton, Seidenberg, Campbell, Paille, Stuart · TOR Komisarek, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  15. P1 9:05Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 9:35Shot by Krejci, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 10:19Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Thomas
  18. P1 11:47Shot by Krejci, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 11:50Shot by Ference, saved by Reimer
  20. P1 12:34Shot by Lupul, saved by Thomas
  21. P1 13:46Shot by Ryder, saved by Reimer
  22. P1 15:18Krejci: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Ference, Seidenberg, Horton, Krejci, Lucic · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kessel, Aulie

  23. P1 15:26Shot by Lupul, saved by Thomas4v5
  24. P1 15:36Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Thomas4v5
  25. P1 16:04Shot by Kessel, saved by Thomas4v5
  26. P1 17:17Chara: Boarding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BOS Recchi, Chara, Stuart, Wheeler · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn

  27. P1 17:22Goal by Kessel (Phaneuf, Lupul)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Ference, Seidenberg, Bergeron, Krejci · TOR Kaberle, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  28. P1 19:56Shot by Wheeler, saved by Reimer
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P1 17:21Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Thomas4v5
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:11Shot by Horton, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 1:25Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Thomas
  34. P2 4:35Goal by Grabovski (Komisarek, Gunnarsson)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Thornton, Campbell, Paille, Kampfer · TOR Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson

  35. P2 5:32Shot by Crabb, saved by Thomas
  36. P2 5:49Shot by Rosehill, saved by Thomas
  37. P2 3:12Shot by Bozak, saved by Thomas
  38. P2 7:55Shot by Ryder, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 8:19Shot by Lucic, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 8:37Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 8:37Phaneuf: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Ference, Seidenberg, Horton, Krejci, Lucic · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Aulie, Bozak

  42. P2 9:21Shot by Bergeron, saved by Reimer5v4
  43. P2 10:13Shot by Brent, saved by Thomas5v4
  44. P2 10:51Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Thomas
  45. P2 12:26Shot by Wheeler, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 12:26Aulie: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Thornton, Wheeler, Kampfer, Seguin · TOR Sjostrom, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Hanson

  47. P2 14:28Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Reimer
  48. P2 16:44Grabovski: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Horton, Stuart, Krejci, Lucic · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Boyce, Grabovski, Aulie

  49. P2 17:26Shot by Bergeron, saved by Reimer5v4
  50. P2 17:34Shot by Chara, saved by Reimer5v4
  51. P2 18:32Shot by Marchand, saved by Reimer5v4
  52. P2 18:34Goal by Campbell (Marchand, Ryder)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Ference, Ryder, Seidenberg, Campbell, Marchand · TOR Crabb, Brent, Aulie, Schenn

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:38Shot by Ference, saved by Reimer
  56. P3 2:20Shot by Thornton, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 2:36Shot by Kessel, saved by Thomas
  58. P3 3:46Shot by Kulemin, saved by Thomas
  59. P3 4:07Shot by Kulemin, saved by Thomas
  60. P3 6:28Shot by Rosehill, saved by Thomas
  61. P3 6:45Shot by Kampfer, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 9:08Goal by Bergeron (McQuaid, Recchi)+32 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Recchi, Chara, Bergeron, McQuaid, Marchand · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  63. P3 9:06Shot by McQuaid, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 9:41Shot by MacArthur, saved by Thomas
  65. P3 9:48Shot by Kulemin, saved by Thomas
  66. P3 9:51Shot by Schenn, saved by Thomas
  67. P3 12:30Shot by Ryder, saved by Reimer
  68. P3 13:09Seidenberg: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Campbell, Paille, Horton, Stuart · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Hanson

  69. P3 13:27Goal by Kessel (Lupul, Kaberle)4v5+36 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Ference, Bergeron, Marchand · TOR Kaberle, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  70. P3 14:13Shot by Ryder, saved by Reimer
  71. P3 14:14Aulie: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Ryder, Stuart, Wheeler, Kampfer, Seguin · TOR MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie, Schenn

  72. P3 15:25Shot by Bergeron, saved by Reimer5v4
  73. P3 18:59Goal by Grabovski (MacArthur, Phaneuf)+44 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Recchi, Ference, Seidenberg, Bergeron, Marchand · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie

  74. P3 19:11Shot by Krejci, saved by Reimer
  75. P3 19:43Shot by Krejci, saved by Reimer6v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final