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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 22, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh

New York Rangers 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 74% of the time.

CAR winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Callahan, saved by Ward
  3. P1 0:42Shot by Cole, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 1:04Shot by Wolski, saved by Ward
  5. P1 2:08Goal by Prust (Avery)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, LaRose, Dwyer, Carson, Skinner · NYR Avery, Newbury, Prust, Sauer, McDonagh

  6. P1 2:07Shot by Avery, saved by Ward
  7. P1 3:19Shot by Staal, saved by Ward
  8. P1 3:57Shot by Wolski, saved by Ward
  9. P1 5:38Shot by McBain, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 6:52Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 7:06Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Ward
  12. P1 7:43Shot by Stepan, saved by Ward
  13. P1 10:05Shot by Prospal, saved by Ward
  14. P1 10:30Shot by Samson, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 10:43Prospal: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Gleason, LaRose, McBain, Skinner · NYR Prospal, Boyle, Sauer, McDonagh, Zuccarello

  16. P1 11:52Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  17. P1 11:54Shot by Ruutu, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  18. P1 12:22Shot by Samsonov, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  19. P1 14:14Shot by Bodie, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 14:50Shot by Samson, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 16:35Goal by Harrison (Sutter)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Harrison, Carson, Tlusty, Sutter · NYR Prospal, Christensen, Boyle, Del Zotto, Gilroy

  22. P1 16:40Shot by Callahan, saved by Ward
  23. P1 16:53Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Ward
  24. P1 17:16Shot by McBain, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 18:15Pitkanen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Pitkanen, Tlusty, McBain, Sutter · NYR Wolski, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello

  26. P1 18:23Shot by Cole, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  27. P1 18:32Shot by Prospal, saved by Ward4v5
  28. P1 18:48Shot by Christensen, saved by Ward4v5
  29. P1 18:49Shot by Prospal, saved by Ward4v5
  30. P1 18:59Shot by Christensen, saved by Ward4v5
  31. P1 19:23Shot by Prospal, saved by Ward4v5
  32. P1 19:33Shot by Girardi, saved by Ward4v5
  33. P1 19:42Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Ward4v5
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:19Shot by Girardi, saved by Ward
  37. P2 0:32Shot by Anisimov, saved by Ward
  38. P2 2:01Shot by Wolski, saved by Ward
  39. P2 2:21Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ward
  40. P2 3:46Shot by Staal, saved by Ward
  41. P2 4:24Shot by Prospal, saved by Ward
  42. P2 5:21Shot by Gleason, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 5:46Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 5:51Shot by Jokinen, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 6:33Shot by Carson, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 7:44Shot by Dwyer, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 9:23Shot by Skinner, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 9:26Skinner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Harrison, LaRose, Skinner · NYR Dubinsky, Callahan, Staal, Girardi, Anisimov

  49. P2 11:32Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ward
  50. P2 13:34Shot by Prospal, saved by Ward
  51. P2 13:41Boyle: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Tlusty, Sutter, Skinner · NYR Prospal, Christensen, Boyle, Del Zotto, Gilroy

  52. P2 14:33Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  53. P2 17:46Cole: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Cole, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain · NYR Prospal, Christensen, Boyle, Staal, Girardi

  54. P2 19:06Shot by Christensen, saved by Ward4v5
  55. P2 19:14Pitkanen: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Harrison, LaRose, Pitkanen, Staal · NYR Prospal, Christensen, Wolski, Callahan, Staal

  56. P2 19:32Shot by Prospal, saved by Ward3v5
  57. P2 19:46Goal by Callahan (Zuccarello, Prospal)4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Harrison, Staal · NYR Prospal, Wolski, Callahan, Stepan, Zuccarello

  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:25Shot by McBain, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 1:27McDonagh: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Ruutu, Pitkanen, Tlusty, McBain · NYR Christensen, Boyle, Wolski, Sauer, McDonagh

  62. P3 3:32Goal by Jokinen (McBain, Cole)+31 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Samsonov, Cole, Gleason, Jokinen, McBain · NYR Dubinsky, Callahan, Sauer, McDonagh, Gilroy

  63. P3 3:51Shot by McBain, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 3:56Shot by Corvo, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 4:52Shot by Boyle, saved by Ward
  66. P3 5:36Shot by Prust, saved by Ward
  67. P3 6:10Goal by Jokinen (Harrison, Cole)+30 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Cole, Harrison, Jokinen, Staal, Carson · NYR Christensen, Dubinsky, Callahan, Sauer, McDonagh

  68. P3 6:39Shot by Sutter, saved by Lundqvist
  69. P3 8:01Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ward
  70. P3 8:32Shot by Dwyer, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 9:35Shot by Anisimov, saved by Ward
  72. P3 10:12Shot by Boyle, saved by Ward
  73. P3 10:47Shot by Jokinen, saved by Lundqvist
  74. P3 12:16Shot by LaRose, saved by Lundqvist
  75. P3 13:17Shot by Boyle, saved by Ward
  76. P3 13:45Shot by Prospal, saved by Ward
  77. P3 14:52Shot by Stepan, saved by Ward
  78. P3 14:55Shot by Sauer, saved by Ward
  79. P3 15:04Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ward
  80. P3 16:20Shot by Callahan, saved by Ward
  81. P3 16:25Shot by Callahan, saved by Ward
  82. P3 17:04Shot by Christensen, saved by Ward
  83. P3 18:10Goal by Wolski (McDonagh)+44 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Harrison, LaRose, McBain, Skinner · NYR Wolski, Sauer, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello

  84. P3 18:28Shot by Sutter, saved by Lundqvist
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. OT 0:00Period start
  87. OT 0:20Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  88. OT 0:38Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Ward4v4
  89. OT 0:47Shot by Cole, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  90. OT 0:59Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ward4v4
  91. OT 1:53Shot by McBain, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  92. OT 3:06Shot by Cole, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  93. OT 4:55Shot by Girardi, saved by Ward4v4
  94. OT 5:00Period end
  95. SO Period start
  96. SO Shot by Skinner, saved by Lundqvistother
  97. SO Shot by Christensen, saved by Wardother
  98. SO Shot by Jokinen, saved by Lundqvistother
  99. SO Shot by Samsonov, saved by Lundqvistother
  100. SO Goal by Wolski, unassistedother
  101. SO Period end
  102. SO Final