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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 1, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh

Florida Panthers 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Florida Panthers

1

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 84% of the time.

CAR winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Stillman, saved by Clemmensen
  3. P1 1:44Shot by Harrison, saved by Clemmensen
  4. P1 2:41Shot by Hordichuk, saved by Ward
  5. P1 4:39Shot by LaRose, saved by Clemmensen
  6. P1 5:25Goal by Stillman (Cole, Pitkanen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Cole, Harrison, Pitkanen, Staal · FLA Weaver, Hordichuk, Jessiman, Garrison, Timmins

  7. P1 6:28Shot by Sutter, saved by Clemmensen
  8. P1 7:26Shot by Weaver, saved by Ward
  9. P1 8:29Bodie: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Allen, Dwyer, Bodie, Samson · FLA Hordichuk, Callahan, Jessiman, Ellerby, Timmins

  10. P1 8:29Jessiman: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Allen, Dwyer, Bodie, Samson · FLA Hordichuk, Callahan, Jessiman, Ellerby, Timmins

  11. P1 9:24Shot by McArdle, saved by Ward
  12. P1 9:51Shot by Repik, saved by Ward
  13. P1 13:29Shot by Reasoner, saved by Ward
  14. P1 13:34Shot by Garrison, saved by Ward
  15. P1 13:40Hordichuk: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Gleason, LaRose, Skinner · FLA Samsonov, Weaver, Hordichuk, Garrison, Timmins

  16. P1 14:55Goal by Staal (Stillman, Corvo)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Corvo, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal · FLA Weiss, Sulzer, Santorelli, Kulikov

  17. P1 15:46Shot by Tlusty, saved by Clemmensen
  18. P1 17:48Shot by Cole, saved by Clemmensen
  19. P1 18:56Shot by Booth, saved by Ward
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:37Shot by Sutter, saved by Clemmensen
  23. P2 0:51Shot by Booth, saved by Ward
  24. P2 2:32Shot by Harrison, saved by Clemmensen
  25. P2 3:08Shot by Hordichuk, saved by Ward
  26. P2 3:19Shot by Booth, saved by Ward
  27. P2 3:58Goal by Weiss (Booth, Garrison)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Jokinen, Tlusty, Sutter · FLA Weaver, Weiss, Booth, Bergfors, Garrison

  28. P2 4:50Shot by LaRose, saved by Clemmensen
  29. P2 5:17Shot by Kulikov, saved by Ward
  30. P2 5:30Shot by Samsonov, saved by Ward
  31. P2 6:22Shot by Ellerby, saved by Ward
  32. P2 6:23Shot by Callahan, saved by Ward
  33. P2 6:43Staal: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Corvo, Cole, Gleason, Staal · FLA Samsonov, Callahan, Bernier, Santorelli, Ellerby

  34. P2 7:36Shot by Repik, saved by Ward4v5
  35. P2 8:30Shot by Samsonov, saved by Ward4v5
  36. P2 8:57Shot by Santorelli, saved by Ward
  37. P2 9:12Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Clemmensen
  38. P2 10:07Shot by LaRose, saved by Clemmensen
  39. P2 10:09Shot by LaRose, saved by Clemmensen
  40. P2 10:19Shot by Skinner, saved by Clemmensen
  41. P2 10:30Shot by Bergfors, saved by Ward
  42. P2 13:42Shot by Booth, saved by Ward
  43. P2 13:48Shot by Timmins, saved by Ward
  44. P2 14:06Shot by Ellerby, saved by Ward
  45. P2 14:08Shot by Booth, saved by Ward
  46. P2 14:41Shot by Bergfors, saved by Ward
  47. P2 16:20Repik: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Allen, Harrison, Dwyer, Staal, Bodie, Samson · FLA Reasoner, Sulzer, McArdle, Repik, Kulikov

  48. P2 18:47Shot by Harrison, saved by Clemmensen
  49. P2 19:27Shot by Gleason, saved by Clemmensen
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:20Shot by Sutter, saved by Clemmensen
  53. P3 1:05Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Clemmensen
  54. P3 1:18Shot by Bernier, saved by Ward
  55. P3 1:53Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Clemmensen
  56. P3 2:12Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Clemmensen
  57. P3 2:47Shot by Bergfors, saved by Ward
  58. P3 2:54Shot by Bodie, saved by Clemmensen
  59. P3 4:31Shot by McArdle, saved by Ward
  60. P3 4:39Shot by Repik, saved by Ward
  61. P3 4:37Shot by Repik, saved by Ward
  62. P3 5:04Shot by Bernier, saved by Ward
  63. P3 5:52Shot by Ellerby, saved by Ward
  64. P3 7:18Shot by Weiss, saved by Ward
  65. P3 9:25Shot by Booth, saved by Ward
  66. P3 12:47Shot by Santorelli, saved by Ward
  67. P3 13:51Shot by Ellerby, saved by Ward
  68. P3 13:52Shot by Weiss, saved by Ward
  69. P3 15:14Shot by Santorelli, saved by Ward
  70. P3 18:03Shot by Santorelli, saved by Ward
  71. P3 18:31Shot by Bergfors, saved by Ward
  72. P3 19:25Shot by Reasoner, saved by Ward5v6
  73. P3 19:32Shot by Reasoner, saved by Ward5v6
  74. P3 19:43Shot by Kulikov, saved by Ward5v6
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final