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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 1, 2011·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Calgary Flames 6, St. Louis Blues 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 63% of the time.

STL winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by Moss, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 1:55Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Kiprusoff
  4. P1 2:06Shot by Tanguay, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 2:14Shot by Cracknell, saved by Kiprusoff
  6. P1 3:26Shot by Jokinen, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 3:53Shot by Stajan, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 6:20Shot by Hagman, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 6:31Shot by Backlund, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 8:44Shot by Stewart, saved by Kiprusoff
  11. P1 9:41Shot by Jackman, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 9:45Shot by Regehr, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 9:57Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 9:47Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 11:25Janssen: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: STL Colaiacovo, Janssen, Strachan, Cracknell, Reaves · CGY Morrison, Iginla, Tanguay, Jackman, Giordano

  16. P1 12:31Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop4v5
  17. P1 13:12Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop4v5
  18. P1 13:35Shot by Hagman, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 14:29Shot by Jackman, saved by Kiprusoff
  20. P1 14:49Shot by McDonald, saved by Kiprusoff
  21. P1 14:54Shot by Backes, saved by Kiprusoff
  22. P1 14:55Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Kiprusoff
  23. P1 15:51Shot by Regehr, saved by Bishop
  24. P1 18:20Goal by Tanguay (Iginla)+22 pts WP

    On ice: STL Jackman, Polak, Oshie, Stewart, Berglund · CGY Staios, Morrison, Iginla, Tanguay, Babchuk

  25. P1 19:51Shot by Glencross, saved by Bishop
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:37Shot by McDonald, saved by Kiprusoff
  29. P2 2:40Shot by Berglund, saved by Kiprusoff
  30. P2 3:12Shot by Babchuk, saved by Bishop
  31. P2 5:54Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 7:33Kostopoulos: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: STL Colaiacovo, Janssen, Strachan, Cracknell, Reaves · CGY Staios, Sarich, Kostopoulos, Hagman, Backlund

  33. P2 8:55Shot by Steen, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  34. P2 9:54Shot by Stajan, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 9:54Backes: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: STL Jackman, Colaiacovo, Backes, Cracknell, Oshie · CGY Iginla, Sarich, Kostopoulos, Stajan, Giordano

  36. P2 10:50Shot by Tanguay, saved by Bishop4v5
  37. P2 10:52Shot by Iginla, saved by Bishop4v5
  38. P2 11:57Shot by Oshie, saved by Kiprusoff
  39. P2 16:43Sarich: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: STL Colaiacovo, Steen, Strachan, Oshie, Stewart, Berglund · CGY Sarich, Jokinen, Regehr, Moss, Glencross

  40. P2 17:50Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  41. P2 19:06Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Kiprusoff
  42. P2 19:58Shot by Crombeen, saved by Kiprusoff
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:57Shot by Sarich, saved by Bishop
  46. P3 2:01Shot by Polak, saved by Kiprusoff
  47. P3 3:01Shot by Crombeen, saved by Kiprusoff
  48. P3 3:46Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Kiprusoff
  49. P3 4:59Goal by Iginla (Morrison, Tanguay)+13 pts WP

    On ice: STL Jackman, Steen, Oshie, Berglund, Pietrangelo · CGY Staios, Morrison, Iginla, Tanguay, Babchuk

  50. P3 5:14Shot by Steen, saved by Kiprusoff
  51. P3 5:50Shattenkirk: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: STL Crombeen, Strachan, Porter, Reaves, Shattenkirk · CGY Kostopoulos, Regehr, Hagman, Bouwmeester, Bourque, Backlund

  52. P3 6:58Goal by Moss (Giordano)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: STL Steen, Crombeen, Strachan, Polak · CGY Morrison, Iginla, Tanguay, Moss, Giordano

  53. P3 7:46Janssen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: STL Colaiacovo, Janssen, Oshie, Berglund, Shattenkirk · CGY Kostopoulos, Regehr, Hagman, Babchuk, Backlund

  54. P3 7:46Kostopoulos: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: STL Colaiacovo, Janssen, Oshie, Berglund, Shattenkirk · CGY Kostopoulos, Regehr, Hagman, Babchuk, Backlund

  55. P3 8:32Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Kiprusoff
  56. P3 9:06Shot by Berglund, saved by Kiprusoff
  57. P3 10:48Goal by Iginla (Morrison, Tanguay)+1 pts WP

    On ice: STL Jackman, McDonald, Stewart, Berglund, Pietrangelo · CGY Morrison, Iginla, Sarich, Tanguay, Giordano

  58. P3 11:10Shot by Moss, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 12:18Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Kiprusoff
  60. P3 12:42Stewart: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: STL Jackman, Polak, Oshie, Stewart, Berglund · CGY Iginla, Sarich, Stajan, Giordano, Bourque

  61. P3 13:58Goal by Regehr (Morrison, Bourque)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: STL McDonald, Colaiacovo, Backes, Polak · CGY Morrison, Sarich, Tanguay, Regehr, Bourque

  62. P3 14:45Shot by Berglund, saved by Kiprusoff
  63. P3 16:34Shot by McDonald, saved by Kiprusoff
  64. P3 17:22Shot by Strachan, saved by Kiprusoff
  65. P3 17:44Shot by Babchuk, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 19:45Shot by McDonald, saved by Kiprusoff
  67. P3 19:55Goal by Hagman (Backlund)0 pts WP

    On ice: STL McDonald, Colaiacovo, Backes, Strachan, D'Agostini · CGY Staios, Kostopoulos, Hagman, Babchuk, Backlund

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final